Realized P&L (30d)
-$138
Unrealized P&L
-$71
Hit rate
73.3%
Resolved (30d)
827
Trades (30d)
1,385
9,509 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$11.5K
$123.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$323
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 11-06 22:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 208 days
Categories
Other
58% 50% -$916
Sports
36% 40% -$1,399
Politics
5% 46% -$102
Crypto
0% 32% -$145
Tech
0% 43% -$24
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 401 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -200 -$145 90¢ $-179 -$34 07-27 06:06
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -100 -$86 98¢ $-98 -$12 05-17 19:09
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? No +36 $25 74¢ $27 +$2 10-10 10:54
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2028 elections? No +7 $5 76¢ $6 +$1 10-29 22:29
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +6 $4 90¢ $6 +$1 08-01 02:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +6 $4 74¢ $4 $0 08-01 02:39
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +457 $4 0¢ $2 -$1 10-15 03:25
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +14 $2 10¢ $1 -$1 10-17 03:39
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +33 $25 1¢ $0 -$25 11-01 03:57
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? No +7 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 08-01 09:37