Realized P&L
-$149
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
61.5%
Resolved
17
Trades
241
lifetime
Volume
$2.61K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$18
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 07-10 15:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
95% 50% $-152
Politics
4% 100% +$0
Crypto
1% 50% +$3
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -17 $-9 32¢ $-6 +$3 06-16 22:15
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $2 58¢ $3 +$1 06-03 16:25
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-04 06:20
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +38 $1 $1 +$0 07-09 05:56
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-20 19:33
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 07-10 15:40
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +3 $1 30¢ $1 $-0 07-10 15:41
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 07-03 09:31
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 07-04 11:51
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 07-02 23:18
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +6 $1 $0 $-1 06-04 06:20