Realized P&L
-$53
Unrealized P&L
+$56
Hit rate
4.2%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,277
lifetime
Volume
$9.10K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$2.17K
23 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 06-09 04:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
62% 33% $-53
Other
24%
Crypto
14%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -565 $-555 98¢ $-556 $-1 06-08 16:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +1,394 $438 32¢ $453 +$15 06-08 17:06
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +404 $260 62¢ $253 $-8 06-09 04:10
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +977 $215 20¢ $191 $-24 06-09 03:33
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +455 $150 34¢ $152 +$2 06-08 16:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -667 $-140 18¢ $-117 +$24 06-08 13:21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +75 $70 95¢ $71 +$1 05-30 15:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +70 $55 90¢ $64 +$8 06-05 09:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +77 $55 68¢ $52 $-3 06-06 20:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -58 $-50 82¢ $-48 +$2 06-02 18:08
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +44 $11 100¢ $44 +$33 06-08 16:43
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -204 $-58 20¢ $-40 +$18 06-08 13:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +47 $26 82¢ $39 +$12 05-29 15:27
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -31 $-31 99¢ $-31 $-0 06-08 16:42
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes -26 $-15 66¢ $-18 $-2 06-08 16:51
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -282 $-16 $-15 +$0 06-08 13:21
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No -9 $-8 98¢ $-8 $-0 06-08 16:42
New pandemic in 2026? No -8 $-7 88¢ $-7 $-0 06-08 16:40
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -50 $-5 11¢ $-5 $-1 06-01 19:08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -15 $-1 14¢ $-2 $-1 06-08 13:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +111 $2 $2 $-1 06-05 08:21
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$1 06-08 16:39
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +24 $20 $0 $-20 06-06 16:54