Realized P&L
-$53
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
4.2%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,409
lifetime
Volume
$10.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$168
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 06-26 13:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
66% 33% $-53
Other
22%
Crypto
12%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +75 $70 98¢ $74 +$3 05-30 15:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -58 $-50 84¢ $-49 +$0 06-02 18:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -25 $-20 86¢ $-22 $-2 06-14 21:17
New pandemic in 2026? No -8 $-7 94¢ $-7 $-1 06-08 16:40
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -282 $-16 $-6 +$10 06-08 13:21
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -50 $-5 $-3 +$2 06-01 19:08
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +5 $3 54¢ $3 $-0 06-17 20:35
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +5 $3 46¢ $2 $-1 06-15 21:53
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +2 $1 78¢ $2 +$1 06-08 16:39