Sneaky-Hydrofoil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

5.3%

Resolved

Trades

5,756

lifetime

Volume

$3.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-03 16:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

63% 11% $-4

Politics

28% 0% $-1

Sports

5% 0% $-0

Crypto

3% 11% $-13

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 1164 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No		+15	$15	100¢	$15	+$0	06-03 16:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	4	$310	314	314	+0	open	—	05-07 12:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$278	492	492	+0	open	—	05-11 04:06
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	12	$225	810	810	+0	open	—	05-10 18:00
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	12	$223	317	317	+0	open	—	05-07 21:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	8	$215	713	713	+0	open	—	05-14 06:48
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	17	$188	356	356	+0	open	—	05-11 16:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	10	$149	205	205	+0	open	—	05-11 06:44
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	2	$142	86	86	+0	No	$-1	05-07 11:23
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	3	$126	128	73	+55	open	—	05-12 07:47
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	4	$120	293	293	+0	open	—	05-10 18:05
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	8	$107	366	366	+0	open	—	05-07 13:05
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$100	231	231	+0	open	—	05-11 18:08
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	2	$83	78	78	+0	open	—	05-11 06:19
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	5	$71	51	81	-30	open	—	05-09 05:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$69	363	363	+0	open	—	05-10 20:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$69	405	405	+0	open	—	05-14 06:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$65	105	105	+0	open	—	05-07 14:31
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	4	$65	65	65	+0	open	—	05-12 09:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	6	$65	196	196	+0	Yes	$-2	05-11 00:49
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$61	265	265	+0	open	—	05-13 16:19
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$58	164	164	+0	open	—	05-10 05:06
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$51	235	235	+0	open	—	05-07 16:31
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	2	$48	81	81	+0	open	—	05-08 14:31
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	11	$46	49	49	+0	open	—	05-13 19:05
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	2	$43	203	203	+0	open	—	05-09 21:28
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	2	$42	90	90	+0	open	—	05-12 13:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$38	30	30	+0	open	—	05-07 15:31
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	4	$34	66	66	+0	Yes	$-0	05-08 09:33
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$22	0	239	-239	open	—	05-12 13:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	06-03 16:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 16:02:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x27f5a7…
05-14 06:48:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	223	9¢	$20	0xf251df…
05-14 06:44:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	223	12¢	$27	0x0d6d62…
05-14 06:43:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x572fde…
05-14 06:43:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xcecfbf…
05-14 06:33:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	405	7¢	$28	0xb05aaf…
05-14 06:29:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	405	10¢	$41	0x4ceddc…
05-14 06:01:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	245	17¢	$42	0xdf9d47…
05-14 06:01:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	245	17¢	$42	0x268dc2…
05-14 00:21:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	224	18¢	$39	0xd193c1…
05-14 00:18:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	224	18¢	$40	0xf4dce6…
05-13 19:05:35	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	22	81¢	$18	0x663d18…
05-13 19:04:11	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x5647ca…
05-13 19:00:37	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xcc05fb…
05-13 19:00:34	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0xa7c0d0…
05-13 18:59:36	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x6828e9…
05-13 18:59:33	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc54229…
05-13 18:55:29	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xb8f61a…
05-13 18:55:26	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd7327e…
05-13 18:51:05	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x4250b9…
05-13 18:51:03	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xc50e96…
05-13 18:51:00	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x98bdd3…
05-13 16:19:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	265	10¢	$26	0xe7d25c…
05-13 16:18:20	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	265	13¢	$34	0x8059fc…
05-12 13:47:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	Yes	SELL	90	23¢	$21	0x5ce749…
05-12 13:43:25	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	Yes	BUY	90	24¢	$22	0xb26621…
05-12 13:27:02	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	239	9¢	$22	0xbb4cdd…
05-12 09:40:24	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	37	70¢	$26	0xa98320…
05-12 09:35:37	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	37	85¢	$32	0xe8ab73…
05-12 07:47:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	55	62¢	$34	0xfcaf6f…
05-12 07:19:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	73	62¢	$45	0x43db1a…
05-12 07:16:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	73	64¢	$46	0x61d7ab…
05-11 18:08:21	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	231	21¢	$48	0xcd6f8d…
05-11 18:03:17	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	231	22¢	$52	0x69449c…
05-11 16:22:06	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	24¢	$28	0x6c6195…
05-11 16:20:47	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	24¢	$28	0xd074ab…
05-11 13:19:27	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	26¢	$14	0xba6c14…
05-11 13:14:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	28¢	$15	0x416185…
05-11 13:14:26	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	28¢	$10	0x460ad5…
05-11 13:08:42	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	28¢	$9	0xc9476e…
05-11 13:05:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x8ee605…
05-11 13:05:19	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x3d407b…
05-11 13:04:19	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0xb4c9dd…
05-11 13:00:46	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0x0abed5…
05-11 12:38:57	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	28¢	$12	0x57d4f4…
05-11 12:38:16	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	28¢	$11	0x6e2c29…
05-11 12:33:05	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x514659…
05-11 12:23:45	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0x8c7725…
05-11 12:19:31	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x5a01ec…
05-11 11:40:49	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	28¢	$20	0x2e9544…
05-11 11:40:47	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xbd8ac8…
05-11 06:44:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	89	26¢	$23	0xbc9f25…
05-11 06:42:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	89	25¢	$22	0xf1886f…
05-11 06:19:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	No	SELL	78	48¢	$37	0xd7103f…
05-11 06:17:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	No	BUY	78	59¢	$46	0xd7735a…
05-11 05:39:09	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	27	13¢	$4	0x9a8e12…
05-11 05:39:04	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	27	13¢	$4	0x5fe0dc…
05-11 04:06:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	272	28¢	$76	0x401c82…
05-11 04:06:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	272	29¢	$79	0xf809d2…
05-11 00:49:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	89	10¢	$9	0x8a64bc…
05-11 00:45:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	89	10¢	$9	0x2cc2c8…
05-10 21:17:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	53	35¢	$19	0xcdda86…
05-10 21:12:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	53	36¢	$19	0xee6d93…
05-10 20:32:27	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	363	9¢	$33	0x628f7f…
05-10 20:28:15	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	363	10¢	$36	0xe50bd3…
05-10 20:17:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	44	20¢	$9	0x61ea18…
05-10 20:14:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	44	21¢	$9	0x5efaed…
05-10 19:26:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	62	22¢	$14	0x3e1bf9…
05-10 19:22:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0xe11ed1…
05-10 18:05:34	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	289	20¢	$58	0x20bff6…
05-10 18:02:30	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	289	21¢	$61	0x479609…
05-10 18:02:16	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xb6da1e…
05-10 18:02:14	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x03bb9e…
05-10 18:00:33	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	11¢	$10	0x578ea7…
05-10 17:59:56	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0x513459…
05-10 17:55:32	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0xbee8c7…
05-10 17:54:55	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x5fb26f…
05-10 17:50:33	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0x68fc5d…
05-10 17:49:54	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0xbd3e46…
05-10 17:47:15	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0xa8a371…
05-10 17:47:06	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x6bb43c…
05-10 17:19:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	220	28¢	$61	0x678434…
05-10 17:18:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	220	28¢	$61	0x4a1f97…
05-10 16:54:38	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	222	13¢	$29	0xefb0fd…
05-10 16:52:00	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	13¢	$29	0x762a3f…
05-10 14:07:22	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	424	15¢	$64	0x99b6d1…
05-10 14:07:06	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	424	16¢	$68	0x110421…
05-10 05:06:49	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	164	14¢	$24	0xd3bf7c…
05-10 05:06:05	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	164	21¢	$34	0x94acce…
05-10 00:44:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	17	51¢	$9	0xc13751…
05-10 00:42:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x17ba8e…
05-09 23:39:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	22	52¢	$11	0xba60d7…
05-09 23:36:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xe282e3…
05-09 21:28:26	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	203	12¢	$24	0xae0759…
05-09 21:25:06	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	203	10¢	$20	0x54b63c…
05-09 12:56:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0xac9407…
05-09 12:55:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x5fafe5…
05-09 05:12:57	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0x5544fe…
05-09 05:07:58	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xb83b3f…
05-08 19:13:17	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0x528e68…