Sneaky-Hydrofoil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$458

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

7.8%

Resolved

785

Trades

9,350

lifetime

Volume

$7.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

8 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 07-21 06:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

68% 10% -$207

Politics

21% 25% -$96

Tech

5% 0% -$12

Sports

4% 2% -$99

Crypto

2% 8% -$44

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	No	+0	$2	93¢	$0	-$2	05-12 07:49
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+0	$2	91¢	$0	-$2	05-10 13:36
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	16¢	$0	$0	05-08 11:14
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+0	$1	30¢	$0	-$1	05-10 15:23
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+0	$1	14¢	$0	-$1	05-12 18:45
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	+0	$2	6¢	$0	-$2	05-12 10:50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	+0	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	05-12 11:46
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+0	$3	5¢	$0	-$3	05-11 19:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	4	$310	314	314	+0	No	-$10	05-07 12:19
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	32	$304	936	936	+0	No	-$1	05-11 05:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$278	492	492	+0	No	-$3	05-11 04:06
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	12	$225	810	810	+0	No	-$4	05-10 18:00
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	12	$223	317	317	+0	Yes	-$4	05-07 21:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	8	$215	713	713	+0	Yes	-$8	05-14 06:48
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	8	$211	289	289	+0	No	-$1	05-10 09:23
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	17	$188	356	356	+0	Yes	-$1	05-11 16:22
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	8	$184	221	221	+0	open	—	05-12 07:49
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	17	$181	485	485	+0	No	-$2	05-09 11:05
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	6	$170	253	253	+0	No	+$2	05-13 04:15
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	4	$158	128	128	+0	Yes	-$3	05-12 07:49
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$152	800	800	+0	Yes	-$8	05-10 13:26
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	8	$150	431	431	+0	No	$0	05-13 15:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	10	$149	205	205	+0	Yes	-$1	05-11 06:44
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$145	85	85	+0	No	$0	05-10 08:33
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	2	$142	86	86	+0	No	-$1	05-07 11:23
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	4	$122	128	128	+0	Yes	-$3	05-07 15:11
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	4	$120	293	293	+0	No	-$3	05-10 18:05
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	8	$107	366	366	+0	Yes	-$39	05-07 13:05
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	6	$106	223	223	+0	No	$0	05-09 15:42
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$100	231	231	+0	No	-$3	05-11 18:08
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$99	72	72	+0	open	—	05-10 13:36
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	6	$90	81	81	+0	Yes	$0	05-09 05:12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	6	$88	331	331	+0	No	$0	05-08 05:01
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	4	$88	156	156	+0	Yes	-$2	05-09 21:38
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	2	$83	78	78	+0	Yes	-$9	05-11 06:19
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$81	173	173	+0	No	$0	05-13 07:56
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$79	115	115	+0	No	-$1	05-12 04:38
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	2	$79	254	254	+0	No	-$3	05-12 09:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 06:22:55	Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next?	Yes	SELL	63	6¢	$4	0x34fba1…
06-04 09:00:36	Will Oliver Suvanto be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x1c611e…
06-03 16:02:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x27f5a7…
06-03 09:34:04	Will Oliver Suvanto be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Yes	SELL	138	0¢	$0	0x6b34d8…
05-25 01:54:15	Will "You, Me & Tuscany" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?	Yes	SELL	636	0¢	$1	0x047680…
05-24 17:27:14	Will "Mother Mary" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?	Yes	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0x2d760c…
05-24 17:26:18	Will "Lorne" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0x52d85c…
05-20 18:48:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdc8bee…
05-18 06:31:41	Will Mohammed Kudus be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	117	0¢	$0	0x5260e1…
05-15 06:16:59	Will Liam Delap be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	392	0¢	$0	0xa78f1d…
05-15 06:14:37	Will Yoane Wissa be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	409	0¢	$0	0x1b542d…
05-14 06:48:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	223	9¢	$20	0xf251df…
05-14 06:44:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	223	12¢	$27	0x0d6d62…
05-14 06:43:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x572fde…
05-14 06:43:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xcecfbf…
05-14 06:33:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	405	7¢	$28	0xb05aaf…
05-14 06:29:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	405	10¢	$41	0x4ceddc…
05-14 06:07:57	Will Richarlison be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	419	0¢	$0	0x12bc99…
05-14 06:01:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	245	17¢	$42	0xdf9d47…
05-14 06:01:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	245	17¢	$42	0x268dc2…
05-14 00:53:59	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?	Yes	SELL	1,120	0¢	$1	0x10bae3…
05-14 00:21:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	224	18¢	$39	0xd193c1…
05-14 00:18:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	224	18¢	$40	0xf4dce6…
05-13 19:05:35	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	22	81¢	$18	0x663d18…
05-13 19:04:11	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x5647ca…
05-13 19:00:37	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xcc05fb…
05-13 19:00:34	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0xa7c0d0…
05-13 18:59:36	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x6828e9…
05-13 18:59:33	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc54229…
05-13 18:55:29	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xb8f61a…
05-13 18:55:26	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd7327e…
05-13 18:51:05	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x4250b9…
05-13 18:51:03	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xc50e96…
05-13 18:51:00	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x98bdd3…
05-13 18:46:25	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	82	13¢	$11	0x6b38b0…
05-13 18:46:23	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	82	13¢	$11	0x3a2f4f…
05-13 17:05:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	166	14¢	$24	0xbea15f…
05-13 17:04:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	166	15¢	$25	0xe411e3…
05-13 16:19:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	265	10¢	$26	0xe7d25c…
05-13 16:18:20	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	265	13¢	$34	0x8059fc…
05-13 15:09:30	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	17¢	$5	0xb70483…
05-13 15:06:06	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xe46485…
05-13 14:04:07	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	18¢	$24	0x35ba4d…
05-13 14:02:38	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	18¢	$24	0x9f1e61…
05-13 14:02:36	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	18¢	$7	0x83f1f2…
05-13 14:02:31	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	18¢	$7	0x86b0d8…
05-13 12:48:38	Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	32¢	$37	0x67cf95…
05-13 12:48:22	Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	33¢	$38	0xe20893…
05-13 10:42:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	18¢	$11	0xf26430…
05-13 10:37:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x3a1430…
05-13 10:37:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	17¢	$10	0x373c82…
05-13 10:37:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x5557bb…
05-13 09:22:50	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	231	17¢	$39	0x6be9a1…
05-13 09:22:41	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	231	17¢	$39	0x1d1e0b…
05-13 08:58:04	Will Cole Palmer be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	422	0¢	$0	0xc16da8…
05-13 07:56:53	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	173	23¢	$41	0x234935…
05-13 07:56:39	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	24¢	$41	0xd92ff3…
05-13 04:15:53	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	34¢	$39	0xe731b3…
05-13 04:15:23	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	33¢	$38	0xc6595e…
05-12 18:45:21	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	23¢	$19	0x2d3ee4…
05-12 18:45:18	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xedc468…
05-12 18:16:58	Will Chris Wood be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	195	0¢	$0	0x1765ed…
05-12 15:42:43	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	34¢	$20	0x81a847…
05-12 15:39:46	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xc58ef6…
05-12 13:47:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	Yes	SELL	90	23¢	$21	0x5ce749…
05-12 13:43:25	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	Yes	BUY	90	24¢	$22	0xb26621…
05-12 13:27:02	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	239	9¢	$22	0xbb4cdd…
05-12 13:24:21	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	239	11¢	$26	0xaf7c3d…
05-12 13:06:58	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	34¢	$27	0x7d3b55…
05-12 13:05:23	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	34¢	$27	0xda088b…
05-12 11:46:15	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	20¢	$27	0x9bc15e…
05-12 11:41:13	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	21¢	$28	0xed900a…
05-12 10:50:49	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	208	14¢	$29	0xe0ecd0…
05-12 10:47:27	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	208	15¢	$31	0x1ce935…
05-12 09:40:24	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	37	70¢	$26	0xa98320…
05-12 09:35:37	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	37	85¢	$32	0xe8ab73…
05-12 09:10:13	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	254	15¢	$38	0x81ed5c…
05-12 09:09:15	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	254	16¢	$41	0xf7338f…
05-12 08:19:37	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Yes	SELL	41	16¢	$6	0xbdc61c…
05-12 08:14:36	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x516e03…
05-12 08:10:08	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Yes	BUY	46	19¢	$9	0x940f46…
05-12 08:06:29	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Yes	SELL	64	19¢	$12	0xaa1953…
05-12 08:06:24	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Yes	BUY	64	19¢	$12	0x4aafb0…
05-12 07:49:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	55	59¢	$32	0xba3290…
05-12 07:49:20	Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	No	SELL	27	40¢	$11	0x4108cf…
05-12 07:47:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	55	62¢	$34	0xfcaf6f…
05-12 07:45:10	Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	No	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0x49a374…
05-12 07:44:51	Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	No	SELL	27	40¢	$11	0xbda56c…
05-12 07:44:45	Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	No	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0x64da4c…
05-12 07:19:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	73	62¢	$45	0x43db1a…
05-12 07:16:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	73	64¢	$46	0x61d7ab…
05-12 06:18:57	Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	No	SELL	116	41¢	$47	0x5bc8fd…
05-12 06:17:17	Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	No	BUY	116	42¢	$49	0xcbf9ab…
05-12 04:38:09	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	52	33¢	$17	0x8956d2…
05-12 04:33:18	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	52	34¢	$18	0x6eab32…
05-12 03:12:15	Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	No	SELL	52	43¢	$22	0xbf0ded…
05-12 03:08:49	Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	No	BUY	52	44¢	$23	0x51cd04…
05-12 01:06:20	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	63	35¢	$22	0xa06dba…
05-12 01:04:49	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	63	35¢	$22	0x131a9e…
05-11 23:31:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x721027…