Realized P&L
-$2.97K
Unrealized P&L
-$489
Hit rate
33.8%
Resolved
327
Trades
5,523
lifetime
Volume
$309.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$1.08K
4 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 06-03 19:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Politics
73%
45%
-$1,078
Other
21%
43%
-$2,007
Crypto
4%
56%
+$217
Sports
1%
56%
-$71
Tech
1%
50%
-$17
Pop-Culture
0%
67%
-$11
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-03).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -600 | -$352 | 96¢ | $-574 | -$222 | 06-02 15:54 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -399 | -$208 | 91¢ | $-363 | -$154 | 06-02 10:56 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -100 | $21 | 88¢ | $-88 | -$110 | 06-02 14:57 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -50 | -$48 | 99¢ | $-50 | -$2 | 06-02 14:18 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 328 | $23.6K | 21,664 | 18,979 | +2,685 | Yes | -$63 | 04-07 23:21 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 249 | $19.9K | 16,385 | 15,606 | +779 | Yes | -$111 | 04-08 16:08 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 245 | $17.1K | 18,934 | 18,934 | +0 | Yes | -$85 | 04-05 12:12 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 221 | $17.0K | 17,969 | 15,787 | +2,183 | Yes | -$63 | 04-08 00:17 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 104 | $10.9K | 7,527 | 6,818 | +708 | No | -$31 | 04-01 00:45 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 104 | $8.6K | 7,245 | 6,830 | +415 | Yes | -$76 | 04-08 14:11 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 91 | $8.4K | 7,467 | 6,918 | +549 | No | +$46 | 04-08 00:18 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677 | 78 | $8.2K | 7,641 | 6,931 | +710 | No | -$66 | 04-08 16:40 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659 | 62 | $6.6K | 5,616 | 5,016 | +600 | No | -$30 | 04-07 23:41 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | 96 | $6.4K | 7,184 | 5,899 | +1,284 | Yes | +$20 | 04-08 16:17 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 77 | $5.9K | 6,217 | 5,227 | +990 | Yes | -$23 | 04-08 16:10 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | 68 | $5.8K | 6,030 | 5,330 | +700 | No | +$79 | 04-08 21:32 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | 86 | $5.5K | 6,943 | 6,326 | +617 | Yes | -$58 | 04-08 04:00 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15 | 29 | $5.5K | 3,400 | 3,400 | +0 | No | +$13 | 04-08 11:26 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 237 | $5.4K | 5,106 | 5,106 | +0 | No | -$2 | 04-08 16:05 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 55 | $5.2K | 4,140 | 4,140 | +0 | No | +$9 | 04-01 02:09 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | 77 | $5.1K | 6,000 | 5,347 | +653 | Yes | -$48 | 04-08 00:17 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | 79 | $5.1K | 6,415 | 5,925 | +490 | Yes | -$26 | 04-07 23:18 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | 57 | $4.9K | 5,820 | 4,724 | +1,096 | Yes | +$13 | 04-08 16:54 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 51 | $3.5K | 3,625 | 3,625 | +0 | Yes | -$29 | 04-05 03:48 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st | 26 | $3.5K | 2,400 | 2,400 | +0 | No | +$22 | 03-31 02:37 |
| will the us invade iran by march 31 | 34 | $3.4K | 2,600 | 2,600 | +0 | No | +$55 | 04-01 00:31 |
| will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election | 100 | $3.3K | 3,736 | 3,736 | +0 | Yes | +$9 | 04-08 14:47 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 45 | $3.1K | 3,400 | 3,137 | +263 | No | -$81 | 04-04 10:03 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | 56 | $3.0K | 2,621 | 2,621 | +0 | No | -$17 | 04-08 16:07 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | 32 | $2.8K | 3,012 | 2,749 | +263 | Yes | +$8 | 04-08 01:14 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | 51 | $2.7K | 3,032 | 3,032 | +0 | Yes | +$22 | 04-08 16:09 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31 | 15 | $2.5K | 1,400 | 1,400 | +0 | No | +$30 | 03-29 00:36 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | 30 | $2.5K | 2,400 | 2,013 | +387 | No | +$18 | 04-08 04:18 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | 32 | $2.4K | 3,000 | 2,557 | +443 | Yes | +$21 | 04-08 00:54 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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