Realized P&L
-$42
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
57.0%
Resolved
633
Trades
1,319
lifetime
Volume
$6.61K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$127
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 10-26 22:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
62% 48% -$239
Sports
21% 56% +$136
Politics
14% 55% +$133
Crypto
3% 28% -$69
Tech
1% 50% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +17 $3 90¢ $16 +$12 05-28 09:08
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +15 $11 86¢ $13 +$2 06-08 12:03
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-09 18:56
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +8 $2 90¢ $8 +$5 06-29 12:35
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +7 $3 98¢ $7 +$4 07-28 09:38
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? No +12 $6 55¢ $6 +$0 10-07 04:52
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +6 $4 98¢ $5 +$2 06-10 13:36
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-10 08:02
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +8 $5 70¢ $5 $0 10-01 17:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +29 $5 18¢ $5 +$0 06-07 19:05
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +6 $4 80¢ $5 +$0 07-16 00:25
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +5 $3 94¢ $5 +$2 06-08 12:45
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +31 $8 15¢ $4 -$4 06-06 08:15
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +33 $5 12¢ $4 -$1 07-15 23:45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +11 $3 24¢ $3 $0 10-08 22:18
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +3 $2 94¢ $3 +$0 09-15 16:05
will solana dip to 50 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +3 $1 96¢ $2 +$1 06-29 12:13
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 Yes +17 $11 13¢ $2 -$9 08-13 09:08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-08 16:37
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 $0 10-11 03:20
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +3 $2 70¢ $2 $0 10-07 00:14
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 70¢ $2 $0 10-07 00:14
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3 $2 60¢ $2 $0 10-26 22:01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +2 $2 80¢ $2 $0 09-29 03:41
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +2 $1 92¢ $2 +$0 10-01 20:20
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +27 $12 6¢ $2 -$10 06-06 03:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +4 $3 40¢ $2 -$2 08-10 12:31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 10-01 06:56
will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31 Yes +38 $3 4¢ $1 -$1 08-19 07:14
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-02 18:35