Realized P&L
-$91
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
46.1%
Resolved
79
Trades
725
lifetime
Volume
$4.47K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$142
21 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 06-09 23:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
63% 45% $-79
Sports
24% 75% $-13
Politics
10%
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +22 $6 100¢ $22 +$16 06-07 16:25
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +27 $12 44¢ $12 +$0 06-06 03:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +11 $11 99¢ $11 +$0 06-09 18:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +16 $10 64¢ $10 +$0 06-09 16:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +11 $9 84¢ $9 +$0 06-06 18:36
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +31 $8 29¢ $9 +$1 06-06 08:15
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-09 18:56
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +8 $8 98¢ $8 $-0 06-09 19:01
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +8 $7 95¢ $7 $-0 06-06 08:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +7 $6 90¢ $6 +$0 06-07 06:04
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 06-10 03:45
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No +56 $5 $5 +$1 06-08 01:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +29 $5 18¢ $5 +$0 06-07 19:05
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 06-08 03:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +17 $3 22¢ $4 +$1 05-28 09:08
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +120 $4 $4 $-0 06-08 07:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +30 $4 10¢ $3 $-1 06-08 11:32
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +5 $3 57¢ $3 $-0 06-08 12:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 06-08 15:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 06-08 16:37
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-08 16:41