Realized P&L
-$91
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
46.1%
Resolved
79
Trades
967
lifetime
Volume
$5.27K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$128
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 06-30 00:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
62% 45% $-79
Sports
22% 75% $-13
Politics
12%
Crypto
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +11 $11 100¢ $11 +$0 06-09 18:51
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +27 $12 36¢ $10 $-2 06-06 03:52
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-09 18:56
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +9 $5 93¢ $8 +$3 06-29 01:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-09 19:01
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +8 $7 100¢ $7 +$0 06-06 08:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +7 $6 100¢ $7 +$1 06-07 06:04
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 06-10 03:45
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-10 15:28
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $5 91¢ $5 $-0 06-28 16:35
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +31 $8 16¢ $5 $-3 06-06 08:15
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-10 08:02
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 88¢ $5 $-0 06-28 17:28
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +6 $4 78¢ $4 +$1 06-10 13:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +29 $5 14¢ $4 $-1 06-07 19:05
Trump out as President by June 30? No +4 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 06-10 15:23
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +5 $3 69¢ $3 +$0 06-08 12:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +17 $3 18¢ $3 $-0 05-28 09:08
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 06-28 21:01
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 06-17 09:05
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +10 $4 27¢ $3 $-1 06-10 13:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-08 15:39
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +8 $2 28¢ $2 $-0 06-29 12:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 06-08 16:37
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +2 $2 70¢ $2 $-0 06-29 02:22
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-29 13:02
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +11 $2 $1 $-2 06-28 22:11
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +120 $4 $0 $-4 06-08 07:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +53 $6 $0 $-5 06-10 23:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +9 $4 $0 $-4 06-16 23:12