Realized P&L
-$91
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
46.1%
Resolved
79
Trades
973
lifetime
Volume
$5.30K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$81
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 07-20 18:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
62% 45% $-79
Sports
22% 75% $-13
Politics
12%
Crypto
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 +$0 06-09 18:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +31 $8 26¢ $8 +$0 06-06 08:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +17 $3 46¢ $8 +$5 05-28 09:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +29 $5 28¢ $8 +$3 06-07 19:05
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +33 $5 18¢ $6 +$1 07-15 23:45
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +27 $12 18¢ $5 $-7 06-06 03:52
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-10 08:02
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 06-28 17:28
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +6 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 06-10 13:36
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +6 $4 66¢ $4 $-1 07-16 00:25
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +5 $3 80¢ $4 +$1 06-08 12:45
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +8 $2 42¢ $4 +$1 06-29 12:35
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +10 $4 32¢ $3 $-1 06-10 13:37
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 $-0 06-28 21:01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $5 45¢ $2 $-3 06-28 16:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 06-08 16:37
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +2 $2 38¢ $1 $-1 06-29 02:22