Sunny-Dolphin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.76K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved

Trades

370

lifetime

Volume

$74.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$201

Open exposure

$22

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-03 23:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

69% 67% -$2,520

Politics

24% 81% -$167

Crypto

7% 20% -$2,075

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	-7	-$6	97¢	$-7	$0	05-27 17:43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	-5	-$4	96¢	$-5	-$1	05-07 01:13
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	-5	-$4	96¢	$-5	-$1	04-30 05:34
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-5	-$6	99¢	$-5	+$1	05-12 04:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	245	$27.7K	26,563	26,366	+197	No	+$4,429	04-11 05:48
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	5	$6.7K	10,787	0	+10,787	Yes	-$6,690	03-10 02:08
us forces enter iran by march 7	3	$5.9K	6,057	0	+6,057	No	+$195	03-06 08:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$5.1K	3,006	3,001	+5	No	+$450	04-16 13:17
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$4.0K	0	3,973	-3,973	No	-$4	02-21 03:23
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$3.9K	2,024	2,024	+0	Yes	+$53	03-09 08:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$3.6K	8,009	8,009	+0	Yes	-$561	03-19 07:56
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	1	$2.2K	0	2,182	-2,182	No	-$2	02-18 01:33
bitcoin above 66k on march 1	17	$2.1K	2,498	0	+2,498	Yes	-$2,073	02-28 11:17
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$2.0K	2,073	0	+2,073	No	+$88	02-26 07:47
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 440 459	1	$1.8K	0	1,796	-1,796	No	-$2	02-13 14:01
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$1.5K	4,235	0	+4,235	Yes	-$1,524	03-20 08:03
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 320 339	6	$1.4K	2,100	0	+2,100	No	+$739	03-09 13:00
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	Yes	+$14	01-24 02:23
bitcoin above 80k on february 4	2	$1.1K	0	1,100	-1,100	No	-$1	02-04 15:35
bitcoin above 70k on february 8	1	$1.1K	0	1,099	-1,099	Yes	-$1	02-08 16:59
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	1	$699	0	700	-700	No	-$1	02-06 16:44
highest temperature in london on february 8 2026 9c	4	$699	0	699	-699	No	-$1	02-08 06:19
will bitcoin dip to 86k january 19 25	1	$352	0	352	-352	No	$0	01-26 04:27
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	4	$304	157	157	+0	open	—	07-03 23:37
will bitcoin reach 98k january 26 1	3	$301	0	500	-500	No	+$1	01-30 12:42
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	16	$207	104	109	-5	open	—	05-12 04:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$124	135	0	+135	No	+$11	07-03 08:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$53	167	0	+167	Yes	+$114	04-02 04:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	4	$20	15	10	+5	No	+$1	04-16 13:19
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 560 579	1	$17	0	17	-17	No	$0	01-20 16:36
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 400 419	1	$17	0	17	-17	No	$0	01-23 01:24
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	3	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 14:22
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-13 20:05
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-12 18:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 23:37:47	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	92	98¢	$90	0x5ae7fe…
07-03 08:05:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	135	92¢	$124	0x516828…
06-14 02:48:39	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xf07697…
05-27 17:43:24	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x4fc3aa…
05-20 09:30:49	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	92	97¢	$89	0xe55631…
05-15 14:22:37	Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xbd4246…
05-15 07:35:32	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0xafd69c…
05-13 20:05:50	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x25763e…
05-13 19:20:54	Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x5aee02…
05-12 18:50:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xf37089…
05-12 14:15:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xf0db4b…
05-12 06:59:08	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	65	96¢	$62	0x95e635…
05-12 06:55:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa23da4…
05-12 06:54:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfc4311…
05-12 06:53:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x1ba826…
05-12 06:52:14	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x261b75…
05-12 06:51:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xb2d7a1…
05-12 06:50:16	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xbd628b…
05-12 06:49:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdfb638…
05-12 06:49:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6bee97…
05-12 06:48:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x686a6a…
05-12 05:23:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$3	0xfc5790…
05-12 04:57:50	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x25b9ab…
05-12 04:50:50	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x7cc14d…
05-12 04:44:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x45a767…
05-12 04:38:28	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x379119…
05-12 04:32:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x987ad5…
05-12 04:29:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x72b259…
05-12 04:25:03	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x163269…
05-12 04:19:15	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x38fb48…
05-12 04:15:08	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x107e20…
05-12 04:13:35	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x0373d0…
05-12 04:10:54	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x23fafb…
05-12 04:08:50	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0x6ffb35…
05-12 04:01:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xf4cd17…
05-12 03:53:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbaf92e…
05-12 03:52:25	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xb297f5…
05-12 03:51:45	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xc028ac…
05-12 03:50:38	Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x5e455a…
05-12 03:48:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4f25d9…
05-07 01:13:35	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xade29c…
04-30 05:34:12	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xec5758…
04-28 13:41:56	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x1ddb8c…
04-28 13:10:14	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x4c86a9…
04-16 17:55:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7a8969…
04-16 13:19:06	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb5d178…
04-16 13:17:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8c01ac…
04-16 13:16:56	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x31e85a…
04-16 13:16:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xfe1795…
04-12 03:17:49	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xa3650f…
04-12 03:12:55	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xbd8880…
04-12 02:48:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x1324e0…
04-11 05:48:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	16,000	79¢	$12,640	0x05b61d…
04-10 06:23:17	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x793370…
04-10 02:10:23	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd76489…
04-09 15:54:31	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x881786…
04-09 15:25:25	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xfce865…
04-09 11:49:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4dd725…
04-09 11:47:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xc85f8d…
04-09 11:47:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x33d47b…
04-09 11:44:25	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x07e61a…
04-09 11:39:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 10 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb7ba48…
04-09 11:33:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xbf7d4e…
04-09 11:30:35	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x963a8e…
04-09 05:59:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	651	73¢	$475	0x548fc0…
04-09 05:58:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	37	73¢	$27	0x0dfc13…
04-09 05:45:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	9	73¢	$6	0x3d4ddb…
04-09 05:44:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xfc4ffd…
04-09 05:40:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x55b1e8…
04-09 05:39:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4e27b0…
04-09 05:39:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x196497…
04-09 05:39:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x09f9bf…
04-09 05:32:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	26	73¢	$19	0x435cc3…
04-09 05:19:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	225	74¢	$166	0x0f4986…
04-09 05:15:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x718b3b…
04-09 05:14:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x3b7417…
04-09 05:13:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xc99e38…
04-09 05:04:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x01a176…
04-09 05:03:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0xd2bf32…
04-09 05:03:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	26	74¢	$20	0xb8ae77…
04-09 05:03:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x133a56…
04-09 05:02:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	23	74¢	$17	0x4fe189…
04-09 05:01:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	26	74¢	$20	0xb36dd9…
04-09 05:01:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x1b4c38…
04-09 05:00:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xf79f65…
04-09 04:59:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x8d3ca8…
04-09 04:58:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0xff851d…
04-09 04:58:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x09a78b…
04-09 04:58:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	470	74¢	$348	0xbfb807…
04-09 03:59:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xa5dd71…
04-09 03:58:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x8f6064…
04-09 03:57:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xb08421…
04-09 03:56:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xcf8b37…
04-09 03:53:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x59b9d0…
04-09 03:49:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x8a65f8…
04-09 03:43:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	192	74¢	$142	0xae2e2f…
04-09 03:42:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	627	74¢	$464	0x462fc8…
04-09 03:36:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	124	74¢	$92	0xb5e093…
04-09 01:25:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,000	75¢	$750	0xb2735a…
04-09 00:52:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xe6813e…