(anonymous) 0x198052…e2baf8
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$173
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
93.4%
Resolved
145
Trades
230
lifetime
Volume
$5.43K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$231
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 10-29 22:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 86 days
Categories
Politics
77% 91% +$107
Other
21% 94% +$73
Tech
1% 67% -$4
Sports
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +51 $45 99¢ $50 +$5 10-13 10:09
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +38 $35 94¢ $35 +$0 10-29 22:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +32 $25 88¢ $28 +$3 10-13 10:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +28 $25 94¢ $27 +$2 10-13 10:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-13 10:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 +$0 10-13 10:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +22 $15 84¢ $19 +$4 09-05 05:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +16 $15 100¢ $16 +$1 09-06 04:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -33 -$4 18¢ $-6 -$2 06-17 22:26
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +7 $5 68¢ $5 $0 10-29 22:55
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +3 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 09-16 10:56
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +2 $2 73¢ $2 $0 09-16 10:54