Deserted-Cottage 0x19f83e…62fa4d
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$462
Unrealized P&L
-$107
Hit rate
60.4%
Resolved
67
Trades
100
lifetime
Volume
$3.16K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$518
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-06 13:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Other
37% 50% -$400
Politics
31% 44% -$63
Pop-Culture
24% 100% +$168
Crypto
7% 67% -$167
Tech
1% — —
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-06).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +109 $100 98¢ $107 +$7 05-09 17:34
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +107 $100 96¢ $103 +$3 05-09 17:33
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +269 $100 38¢ $103 +$3 05-09 17:35
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +365 $90 18¢ $67 -$23 05-09 17:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +43 $10 88¢ $38 +$28 05-13 13:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +40 $25 94¢ $38 +$13 06-06 13:15
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +687 $70 4¢ $28 -$42 06-06 13:12
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +17 $10 82¢ $14 +$4 05-03 12:38
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +38 $10 17¢ $6 -$4 05-03 12:38
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +103 $30 6¢ $6 -$24 05-21 13:53
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,667 $10 0¢ $2 -$7 05-09 17:46
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,250 $10 0¢ $2 -$8 05-09 17:47
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +27 $20 4¢ $1 -$19 05-21 13:49
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +23 $10 4¢ $1 -$9 05-09 17:47
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +909 $10 0¢ $1 -$9 05-09 17:47
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +435 $10 0¢ $1 -$9 05-09 17:47
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +167 $10 0¢ $0 -$10 05-09 17:47