Deserted-Cottage 0x19f83e…62fa4d Create alert
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Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$105
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
0
100 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$3.16K lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$510
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-06 13:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Other
37% 50% -$400
Politics
31% 44% -$63
Pop-Culture
24% 100% +$168
Crypto
7% 67% -$167
Tech
1% — —
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-06).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +109 $100 98¢ $107 +$7 05-09 17:34
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +107 $100 98¢ $106 +$6 05-09 17:33
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +269 $100 38¢ $101 +$1 05-09 17:35
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +365 $90 19¢ $70 -$20 05-09 17:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +43 $10 90¢ $39 +$29 05-13 13:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +40 $25 94¢ $38 +$13 06-06 13:15
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +687 $70 3¢ $22 -$48 06-06 13:12
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +17 $10 88¢ $15 +$5 05-03 12:38
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +38 $10 13¢ $5 -$5 05-03 12:38
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,250 $10 0¢ $2 -$8 05-09 17:47
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +909 $10 0¢ $1 -$9 05-09 17:47
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +103 $30 1¢ $1 -$29 05-21 13:53
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +435 $10 0¢ $1 -$9 05-09 17:47
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +23 $10 3¢ $1 -$9 05-09 17:47
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +27 $20 2¢ $1 -$19 05-21 13:49
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +167 $10 0¢ $0 -$10 05-09 17:47