Authentic-Retrospective — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

355

lifetime

Volume

$352

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-25 10:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

63% — —

Politics

20% 0% $-0

Crypto

14% 0% $-0

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	19	$19	11	9	+1	open	—	07-11 01:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 07:25
nothing ever happens microstrategy	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-05 07:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	5	$6	2	4	-2	open	—	06-18 10:20
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-04 00:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-17 00:36
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 00:18
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-24 06:15
will usdai launch a token by march 31	5	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-13 06:19
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	5	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	03-19 04:17
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 06:11
bitcoin above 68k on april 18	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 07:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-07 01:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-23 00:47
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-16 10:07
GTA VI released before June 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 01:43
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-24 03:32
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 00:30
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-10 00:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-28 00:43
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 01:25
peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-23 00:49
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 06:19
nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 08:43
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase january 6 12	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-12 07:19
han duck soo in jail by january 31	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-21 03:20
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 01:03
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be greater than $150M at market close on IPO day?	4	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-13 02:27
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-28 09:40
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 07:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 10:09:54	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xbdd843…
07-25 10:09:34	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7e9013…
07-25 09:57:06	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb2736b…
07-25 09:56:25	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x342f40…
07-23 00:49:15	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x51e10f…
07-23 00:47:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x274ad9…
07-23 00:26:18	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b5312…
07-23 00:25:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x898e56…
07-20 02:41:01	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdbdc4b…
07-20 02:40:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf67183…
07-20 02:22:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x58f421…
07-20 02:21:34	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xce9946…
07-18 00:18:45	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb98464…
07-18 00:03:52	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd4d360…
07-17 00:36:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x23a847…
07-17 00:17:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8cede5…
07-16 00:21:37	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc546ca…
07-16 00:08:49	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4f357b…
07-15 01:01:58	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x11df77…
07-15 01:01:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfac5a6…
07-15 00:26:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb4ac6d…
07-15 00:24:34	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x76e3d5…
07-14 00:36:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfee079…
07-14 00:16:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf8d25b…
07-13 02:08:28	will trump say graham or platner this week 20260710153927791	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xba9bcd…
07-13 02:07:43	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x73d6d7…
07-13 01:47:07	will trump say graham or platner this week 20260710153927791	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9f9ca4…
07-13 01:46:05	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xff320a…
07-11 01:27:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x968c5e…
07-11 00:58:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7761bc…
07-10 00:33:40	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa48956…
07-10 00:13:23	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0fe6de…
07-09 00:23:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfdf31f…
07-09 00:09:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf76c1c…
07-08 00:25:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc09ca3…
07-08 00:08:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd5642b…
07-07 00:23:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa5e4ef…
07-07 00:07:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x605e3b…
07-06 01:23:28	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdb7396…
07-06 01:08:58	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2341d4…
07-04 00:43:29	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb693ea…
07-04 00:22:41	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe79be7…
07-03 01:37:49	will netanyahu be pardoned by december 31	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xe5f155…
07-03 01:24:50	will netanyahu be pardoned by december 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa2729a…
07-02 01:13:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7dee76…
07-02 00:29:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x94d043…
07-01 00:09:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x317a0c…
06-30 23:51:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x034ff0…
06-30 00:55:11	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x51e9ae…
06-30 00:54:32	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb411a7…
06-30 00:20:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa7bb34…
06-30 00:14:01	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x283322…
06-27 01:03:13	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa8b0b4…
06-27 00:55:04	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc739ba…
06-25 00:19:26	will benjamin netanyahu attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204734	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x498625…
06-25 00:18:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2db69e…
06-25 00:10:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf0315e…
06-25 00:08:10	will benjamin netanyahu attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204734	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5624e9…
06-24 10:22:05	QFEX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x47fa34…
06-24 10:21:43	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xfb6d2e…
06-24 10:21:08	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe57c52…
06-24 10:10:41	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa728c2…
06-24 10:09:28	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd8a491…
06-23 10:30:31	will xrp reach 1pt8 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x835531…
06-23 10:30:07	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc5cefe…
06-23 10:27:13	will xrp reach 1pt8 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfcbb75…
06-23 10:26:10	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc40357…
06-22 08:18:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5b081c…
06-22 08:18:26	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2c0dc1…
06-22 08:01:17	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc964e9…
06-22 08:00:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7b178b…
06-18 10:21:01	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4e2429…
06-18 10:20:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x84ff8e…
06-18 10:17:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1a785c…
06-18 10:16:34	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x242967…
06-17 09:40:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xef47d7…
06-17 09:32:26	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6fe559…
06-16 10:07:01	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa2e014…
06-16 10:06:34	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf8e25a…
06-16 09:57:01	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaa2f90…
06-16 09:55:09	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0080f5…
06-15 09:58:34	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2d9aec…
06-15 09:58:03	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x57eb0d…
06-13 09:30:04	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x36020e…
06-13 09:28:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x848f41…
06-13 09:16:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4ddde9…
06-13 09:16:00	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0ddc94…
06-12 10:10:19	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd616cf…
06-12 09:55:00	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb3dc3a…
06-11 10:16:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2b7ade…
06-11 10:05:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7400cd…
06-10 10:15:10	will solana reach 100 june 8 14 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfe1cbe…
06-10 10:13:15	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd573dd…
06-10 10:07:09	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfbc16b…
06-10 10:06:00	will solana reach 100 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x60c4dc…
06-09 09:15:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8d3531…
06-09 09:05:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8187e7…
06-08 08:46:13	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x8241c0…
06-08 08:42:33	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x307cae…
06-06 09:11:21	israeli forces enter tyre by june 7	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0789e5…