Realized P&L
-$394
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
69.3%
Resolved
666
Trades
1,792
lifetime
Volume
$7.58K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$116
20 positions
First seen
2026-06-23
last 09-08 11:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
73% 60% -$253
Politics
15% 59% -$36
Crypto
6% 54% -$73
Sports
6% 48% -$34
Tech
1% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +22 $17 90¢ $20 +$3 09-04 18:59
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +18 $9 92¢ $16 +$7 08-23 03:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +14 $10 88¢ $13 +$2 09-01 17:45
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +12 $9 96¢ $11 +$3 08-23 20:25
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 07-07 21:40
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +10 $5 76¢ $8 +$3 09-06 16:42
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +8 $7 96¢ $8 +$1 08-26 19:57
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 08-09 07:56
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391 No +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$0 07-17 14:13
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +5 $4 95¢ $5 +$0 07-21 16:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 84¢ $4 +$2 09-04 21:43
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +4 $0 96¢ $4 +$4 06-30 15:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +17 $5 12¢ $2 -$3 07-24 19:49
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +9 $5 20¢ $2 -$3 07-11 03:04
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +54 $7 3¢ $1 -$6 08-19 21:50
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +27 $11 3¢ $1 -$11 09-01 20:55
trump meets with putin by december 31 No +4 $3 12¢ $0 -$2 08-22 23:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +13 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 07-16 04:54
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $4 4¢ $0 -$4 06-30 15:03
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +0 -$1 94¢ $0 +$1 08-30 13:38