Daring-Stitch 0x1c40d2…04445c
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$243
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
80.3%
Resolved (30d)
8
Trades (30d)
54
480 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.44K
$28.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$585
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 10-29 16:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Tech
40% 50% +$1,987
Politics
27% 41% -$43
Other
21% 32% -$601
Crypto
11% 45% -$687
Sports
2% 50% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -894 -$329 20¢ $-174 +$154 10-26 05:51
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +143 $128 84¢ $121 -$7 10-28 19:55
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +305 $90 37¢ $113 +$22 10-25 19:34
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +194 $170 34¢ $66 -$104 10-27 16:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +55 $48 88¢ $48 +$0 10-26 18:49
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -40 -$37 94¢ $-37 -$1 07-11 22:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +65 $43 35¢ $23 -$20 10-26 16:40
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -48 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$1 07-11 22:42
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +60 $21 2¢ $1 -$20 10-27 12:52
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -14 $41 3¢ $-0 -$42 08-30 13:39