Realized P&L
+$498
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
60.0%
Resolved
133
Trades
497
lifetime
Volume
$29.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$371
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 10-31 00:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Tech
38% 50% +$1,987
Politics
27% 41% -$43
Other
23% 35% -$735
Crypto
10% 45% -$687
Sports
1% 50% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +143 $128 90¢ $129 +$2 10-28 19:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -474 -$253 18¢ $-83 +$170 10-30 18:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +194 $170 34¢ $65 -$105 10-27 16:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +55 $48 97¢ $53 +$5 10-26 18:49
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -40 -$37 94¢ $-38 -$1 07-11 22:32
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +60 $21 2¢ $1 -$20 10-27 12:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -48 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$1 07-11 22:42
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -14 $41 3¢ $-0 -$42 08-30 13:39