Realized P&L
+$568
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
59.8%
Resolved
131
Trades
495
lifetime
Volume
$29.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$436
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 10-30 16:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Tech
39% 50% +$1,987
Politics
27% 41% -$43
Other
23% 34% -$665
Crypto
10% 45% -$687
Sports
1% 50% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -894 -$329 18¢ $-156 +$172 10-26 05:51
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +143 $128 88¢ $125 -$3 10-28 19:55
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +194 $170 32¢ $63 -$107 10-27 16:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +55 $48 93¢ $51 +$3 10-26 18:49
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -40 -$37 94¢ $-38 -$1 07-11 22:32
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +60 $21 2¢ $1 -$20 10-27 12:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -48 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$1 07-11 22:42
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -14 $41 3¢ $-0 -$42 08-30 13:39