Daring-Stitch 0x1c40d2…04445c
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$64
Unrealized P&L
+$121
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
36
465 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2.27K
$28.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$772
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 10-28 21:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Tech
41% 50% +$1,987
Politics
27% 41% -$43
Other
20% 30% -$612
Crypto
11% 45% -$687
Sports
2% 50% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -894 -$329 18¢ $-165 +$163 10-26 05:51
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +143 $128 94¢ $134 +$6 10-28 19:55
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +100 -$34 100¢ $100 +$134 10-27 20:26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +194 $170 42¢ $80 -$90 10-27 16:33
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +90 $49 84¢ $76 +$27 10-27 15:35
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +65 $53 87¢ $57 +$3 10-27 05:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +55 $48 97¢ $53 +$5 10-26 18:49
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +305 $90 14¢ $42 -$48 10-25 19:34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -40 -$37 95¢ $-38 -$1 07-11 22:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +65 $43 39¢ $25 -$17 10-26 16:40
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -48 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$1 07-11 22:42
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +60 $21 1¢ $1 -$20 10-27 12:52
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -14 $41 3¢ $-0 -$42 08-30 13:39