Realized P&L
-$47
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
66.9%
Resolved
550
Trades
1,531
lifetime
Volume
$440
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$10
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 06-13 22:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
53% 37% -$24
Crypto
25% 94% +$7
Politics
11% 22% -$11
Sports
8% 15% -$9
Pop-Culture
2% 0% -$8
Tech
1% 33% -$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-13).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -20 -$11 18¢ $-4 +$7 06-13 22:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -166 -$10 2¢ $-3 +$7 06-13 22:46
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes -60 -$14 4¢ $-3 +$11 06-13 22:47
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 06-13 22:46
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -13 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 06-13 22:46
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -45 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-13 22:46