Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
2.0%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,523
lifetime
Volume
$411
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$58
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 06-13 22:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
53% 50% $-0
Crypto
27% 0% $-10
Politics
9%
Sports
7% 0% $-0
Pop-Culture
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes -60 $-14 24¢ $-14 $-0 06-13 22:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -166 $-10 $-9 +$2 06-13 22:46
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -20 $-11 42¢ $-8 +$2 06-13 22:47
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -10 $-5 59¢ $-6 $-1 06-13 22:46
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-13 22:46
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-13 22:46
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-13 22:46
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-13 22:46
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-0 $-1 $-0 06-13 22:46
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -13 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-13 22:46