Realized P&L
-$15
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
77.4%
Resolved
155
Trades
330
lifetime
Volume
$2.46K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$156
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 10-25 18:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Other
42% 40% -$18
Politics
40% 62% -$27
Crypto
15% 50% +$10
Tech
3% 100% +$4
Sports
0% 67% +$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +40 $31 97¢ $39 +$8 09-14 17:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -30 -$26 97¢ $-29 -$3 05-15 11:23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +30 $26 96¢ $29 +$3 06-10 21:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 06-26 11:59
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$0 05-25 16:48
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026 No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 07-21 05:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$1 10-23 15:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +10 $7 86¢ $9 +$1 06-07 19:32
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +70 $10 8¢ $5 -$5 06-08 23:41
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10 $4 43¢ $4 +$1 09-07 20:22
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +46 $7 3¢ $1 -$6 08-28 17:30
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +20 $2 6¢ $1 $0 09-20 16:21
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2 -$1 39¢ $-1 +$0 10-25 18:27