Realized P&L
-$227
Unrealized P&L
+$37
Hit rate
31.1%
Resolved
6
Trades
747
lifetime
Volume
$12.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$1.64K
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-22
last 07-01 14:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
75% 50% $-18
Politics
25% 75% $-210
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,032 $810 86¢ $882 +$73 07-01 10:46
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +773 $564 68¢ $522 $-42 07-01 09:53
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +200 $170 86¢ $173 +$3 06-02 10:04
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +40 $34 89¢ $36 +$2 06-05 08:59
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +20 $18 100¢ $20 +$2 06-03 20:47
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +10 $8 81¢ $8 +$1 06-02 11:44