(anonymous) 0x1df2b1…8dcdf4
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Realized P&L
-$227
Unrealized P&L
+$62
Hit rate
31.1%
Resolved
6
Trades
717
lifetime
Volume
$11.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$1.29K
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-22
last 06-11 10:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
76% 50% $-18
Politics
24% 75% $-210
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +923 $719 84¢ $771 +$52 06-11 10:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +200 $188 96¢ $191 +$3 06-04 18:31
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +200 $170 84¢ $167 $-3 06-02 10:04
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +122 $76 74¢ $91 +$15 06-05 00:15
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +40 $34 86¢ $34 +$0 06-05 08:59
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +20 $18 88¢ $18 $-0 06-03 20:47
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +20 $17 64¢ $13 $-4 06-02 08:02
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +10 $8 74¢ $7 $-0 06-02 11:44