Impure-Gadget — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

408 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$827

$4.68K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$379

26 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 11-12 07:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

54% 84% -$169

Politics

20% 81% +$39

Sports

15% 89% +$17

Crypto

9% 90% +$3

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (26) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 70 20260618224014045	Yes	+135	$115	99¢	$135	+$20	06-24 11:20
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+49	$40	87¢	$43	+$3	11-05 19:00
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	+36	$32	99¢	$36	+$4	07-05 06:07
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in November?	No	+31	$30	99¢	$31	+$1	11-04 16:36
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+26	$25	96¢	$24	-$1	10-02 18:40
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	+25	$21	98¢	$24	+$3	11-12 07:34
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?	No	+22	$20	99¢	$22	+$2	11-05 19:03
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+34	$25	31¢	$10	-$15	11-05 18:59
Trump goes to space in 2026?	No	+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	04-30 20:15
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+10	$10	98¢	$10	+$0	09-10 17:01
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+6	$6	96¢	$6	+$0	10-22 10:56
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	$0	11-05 19:01
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	$0	11-05 19:01
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+21	$3	10¢	$2	-$1	06-16 12:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	05-30 05:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+2	$2	100¢	$2	+$0	05-30 05:33
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+2	$2	98¢	$2	+$0	10-22 10:57
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	07-12 12:32
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	05-30 05:28
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	+1	$1	90¢	$1	+$0	06-16 12:04
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	05-30 05:32
Will Real Betis win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	09-10 17:01
Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	09-09 04:28
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	$0	09-10 17:01
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	$0	09-09 04:29
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+31	$21	2¢	$1	-$20	10-22 10:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$477	281	281	+0	Yes	+$78	04-13 11:44
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	1	$200	215	0	+215	Over	+$15	04-28 19:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	2	$139	72	72	+0	No	+$1	10-22 10:35
will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 70 20260618224014045	5	$115	135	0	+135	open	—	06-24 11:20
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	1	$100	114	0	+114	Yes	+$14	04-14 09:04
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	1	$98	111	0	+111	No	+$13	04-14 09:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$80	87	0	+87	No	+$7	05-20 05:24
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$79	81	0	+81	No	+$2	07-07 05:40
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$79	83	0	+83	No	+$4	07-05 06:15
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$78	83	0	+83	Yes	+$5	11-02 07:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$73	38	38	+0	No	+$3	06-24 11:19
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	9	$65	92	0	+92	Yes	+$27	09-18 20:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$62	33	33	+0	No	+$3	05-01 05:13
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	1	$62	95	0	+95	England	-$62	07-17 16:51
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$61	85	85	+0	No	+$1	07-05 06:04
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	04-28 09:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$59	80	2	+78	No	+$23	05-28 16:38
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	1	$53	55	0	+55	No	+$2	07-12 12:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	6	$52	58	0	+58	Yes	-$52	06-10 11:01
France vs. Italy: O/U 0.5	1	$51	53	0	+53	Over	+$2	10-02 18:38
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	1	$50	53	0	+53	Yes	+$3	04-14 09:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	04-21 12:19
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$49	29	29	+0	Yes	+$9	07-08 04:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	3	$40	4	36	-32	No	+$0	06-24 11:14
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$40	49	0	+49	open	—	11-05 19:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$40	42	0	+42	No	+$2	05-04 13:31
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	2	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$1	05-16 10:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$39	44	0	+44	No	+$5	05-20 05:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	2	$38	66	0	+66	Yes	-$38	06-01 14:43
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	1	$36	54	0	+54	No	-$36	05-04 15:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 07:34:33	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa45ad5…
11-05 19:04:00	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x8caa1e…
11-05 19:03:31	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x9fcb41…
11-05 19:01:24	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5717f5…
11-05 19:01:12	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0bc5ec…
11-05 19:00:58	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0xea1f32…
11-05 18:59:46	Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xa5d3af…
11-04 19:09:30	SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x50470f…
11-04 16:36:31	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in November?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x83fdbc…
11-04 16:35:30	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa56cb7…
11-04 07:36:01	PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x976699…
11-04 07:35:22	SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xabbd84…
11-04 07:33:43	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7ab0c3…
11-03 20:38:16	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x7ff8d5…
11-03 08:11:36	FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x1c40c8…
11-03 08:11:16	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: FC Barcelona O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x177e8f…
11-03 08:10:30	Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x37d2c2…
11-03 07:21:25	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0xcf2602…
11-02 07:57:18	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	23	73¢	$17	0x6015f7…
11-02 07:56:52	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb9bbc5…
10-27 07:38:45	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xba07ca…
10-26 18:53:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xcc36b5…
10-25 09:17:18	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: FC Barcelona O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x38bb8b…
10-25 09:16:50	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x9e8bc8…
10-22 10:58:59	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x0b38b8…
10-22 10:57:05	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc1662a…
10-22 10:56:50	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xdb2d89…
10-22 10:56:24	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xa4fc04…
10-22 10:53:12	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x047778…
10-22 10:51:59	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8ae0da…
10-22 10:45:08	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x990c74…
10-22 10:38:48	Will XRP reach $1.40 in October?	Yes	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xfd041c…
10-22 10:37:36	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc24664…
10-22 10:35:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	72	98¢	$70	0x79df33…
10-22 10:30:39	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc35692…
10-22 10:28:30	Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb3d73b…
10-22 09:57:14	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x789059…
10-22 09:56:27	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	27	67¢	$18	0x30b084…
10-22 09:55:39	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x024976…
10-13 19:01:46	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x592e0e…
10-13 19:01:04	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9d2ad6…
10-04 19:40:31	Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0aad16…
10-03 09:46:38	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0xc5a2b4…
10-03 09:45:38	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xfef8de…
10-02 18:41:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0xdf816e…
10-02 18:40:20	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xbf9b19…
10-02 18:39:36	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa2e92a…
10-02 18:38:56	France vs. Italy: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x29d1ee…
10-02 18:38:33	France vs. Italy: France O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xd7b8b9…
09-18 20:55:40	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xce5b0a…
09-11 06:26:06	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf0055c…
09-11 06:25:30	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8638c2…
09-11 06:25:21	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xcb0c52…
09-11 06:25:12	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xab60bd…
09-10 17:01:42	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfd46fb…
09-10 17:01:21	Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x801ce2…
09-10 17:01:15	Will Real Betis win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1dde7…
09-10 16:59:10	Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x78190b…
09-10 16:54:01	Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x516dc9…
09-09 04:31:28	Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc7e969…
09-09 04:31:06	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x9ff40b…
09-09 04:29:52	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x66fe86…
09-09 04:29:19	Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb6965a…
09-09 04:29:04	Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2bff77…
09-09 04:28:55	Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x94e722…
09-09 04:28:48	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd4a1a4…
08-06 15:32:56	will solana reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xc023cd…
07-21 16:31:22	will solana reach 110 in july 2026	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x8aed66…
07-21 10:37:18	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x45ee66…
07-19 18:35:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5d9a22…
07-19 14:44:42	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x5ef5dd…
07-19 06:00:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x90d0a7…
07-17 16:51:42	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	95	65¢	$62	0x486d8c…
07-15 12:29:08	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0x0a428a…
07-13 20:06:58	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x9658ef…
07-13 20:06:46	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x0ac199…
07-12 12:32:22	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2c2b60…
07-12 12:32:13	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0xe5067d…
07-12 12:23:40	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x12b88c…
07-12 04:43:22	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xb3bce7…
07-12 04:43:10	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1dd407…
07-11 09:05:04	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xfda175…
07-11 09:04:34	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Switzerland?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbdae12…
07-10 17:15:13	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x7fbded…
07-10 17:14:37	Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 England?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x56d7f2…
07-10 17:14:29	Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2abdbc…
07-10 06:08:17	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x11ceea…
07-10 06:08:11	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd2a71b…
07-10 06:08:08	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x501fc7…
07-10 06:07:58	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc07af9…
07-10 06:07:55	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb8b74f…
07-10 06:06:29	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x9a2115…
07-10 06:06:17	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x478021…
07-10 06:06:13	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2eb15c…
07-10 06:06:10	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9b3bb9…
07-10 06:06:05	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xae7ecd…
07-10 06:05:59	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x04392a…
07-10 06:05:55	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x35f75e…
07-10 06:05:46	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb5c1d2…
07-10 05:57:11	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x07b50e…