Friendly-Conformation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$50

Hit rate

—

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

2,360 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$105.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$270

1 position

First seen

2026-02-07

last 09-01 05:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Sports

94% 48% +$8,182

Other

6% 12% -$4,484

Politics

0% 33% -$351

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+2,000	$220	14¢	$270	+$50	08-22 14:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	36	$20.7K	50,641	45,761	+4,880	Yes	+$11,465	07-17 14:54
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$10.7K	11,000	13,931	-2,931	No	+$505	06-07 14:27
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	233	$7.3K	268,721	140,133	+128,588	No	-$527	07-09 21:48
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	174	$7.2K	912,559	448,514	+464,045	No	-$1,517	07-01 02:32
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	95	$7.0K	34,399	35,200	-801	No	+$2,521	07-15 21:19
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	158	$6.1K	126,400	126,400	+0	No	+$1,111	07-06 14:19
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	131	$5.4K	164,669	106,938	+57,731	No	-$756	06-29 16:20
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	105	$4.3K	174,000	174,000	+0	No	+$264	06-11 06:44
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	129	$4.0K	384,924	234,398	+150,526	No	-$949	07-03 00:13
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$3.9K	14,000	21,500	-7,500	No	+$840	06-07 09:41
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	184	$3.3K	15,000	22,800	-7,800	No	+$736	06-07 15:22
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	146	$2.8K	22,500	30,300	-7,800	No	+$458	06-07 06:16
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	41	$2.5K	195,500	45,500	+150,000	No	-$1,294	06-14 12:47
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	42	$2.2K	300,000	0	+300,000	No	-$2,200	06-26 14:49
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	19	$2.1K	6,500	13,684	-7,184	No	+$752	06-07 23:45
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	45	$1.7K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	-$1,721	05-26 17:14
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	81	$1.5K	300,000	300,000	+0	No	+$300	06-30 21:00
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$1.5K	2,140	0	+2,140	Norway	-$1,498	07-05 19:48
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	173	$1.5K	16,521	24,821	-8,300	No	+$399	06-07 22:58
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	26	$1.3K	350,000	150,000	+200,000	No	-$200	06-30 18:37
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	23	$1.1K	1,634	1,634	+0	No	-$2	05-26 10:29
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$976	16,268	0	+16,268	No	-$976	07-09 13:40
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	2	$976	1,952	0	+1,952	No	-$976	07-17 15:00
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	110	$905	200,000	0	+200,000	No	-$905	07-01 11:14
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-08-25?	2	$656	400	400	+0	No	+$128	08-25 20:47
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	43	$614	15,862	3,053	+12,810	No	-$360	08-31 20:03
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	1	$500	1,250	0	+1,250	No	-$500	07-07 20:24
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	5	$430	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	08-20 21:36
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	38	$407	59,637	2,500	+57,137	No	-$351	08-27 22:09
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	1	$341	1,066	0	+1,066	No	-$341	07-05 22:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 05:43:55	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	No	BUY	360	15¢	$54	0x31de3d…
08-31 20:03:52	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	6¢	$55	0xffc3a2…
08-29 10:59:00	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	248	43¢	$107	0xfa5791…
08-29 09:11:45	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x696af7…
08-29 09:11:25	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	416	2¢	$8	0x157893…
08-29 05:31:30	Will Julian Alvarez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0xcd2784…
08-29 03:27:37	Will Julian Alvarez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	241	1¢	$2	0xd9a9b3…
08-28 21:24:43	Will Julian Alvarez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	255	2¢	$5	0xe6eaaf…
08-27 22:09:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,137	0¢	$7	0xe5f501…
08-27 22:08:48	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	988	0¢	$1	0x9fbc6d…
08-27 17:02:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x1250a7…
08-27 13:51:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	1¢	$55	0x1c03e3…
08-27 11:56:57	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xe61156…
08-27 11:56:57	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	142	3¢	$4	0xa1f959…
08-26 23:49:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,373	1¢	$21	0x364b3b…
08-26 10:01:06	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xea32dc…
08-26 09:48:25	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$12	0x97f742…
08-26 09:34:52	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,685	0¢	$23	0xb322fa…
08-26 09:34:45	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	305	0¢	$2	0xfb89e3…
08-26 09:32:10	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	SELL	128	4¢	$5	0xb657b6…
08-26 09:30:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x00c33d…
08-26 09:24:06	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0xb7c442…
08-26 09:15:57	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xc37280…
08-26 09:15:57	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	SELL	71	3¢	$2	0x975175…
08-26 02:00:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$14	0xe0bd75…
08-26 01:50:51	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	436	3¢	$13	0x6bb2a8…
08-26 01:40:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	336	3¢	$10	0xa1bc58…
08-26 01:18:01	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	SELL	184	1¢	$1	0xc31b6a…
08-26 00:29:03	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	SELL	459	1¢	$3	0x869acf…
08-26 00:25:31	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	SELL	507	1¢	$4	0x10edf2…
08-25 23:51:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	5¢	$6	0xa6c412…
08-25 22:33:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xad7ba4…
08-25 22:31:28	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa6f881…
08-25 22:29:39	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x94b516…
08-25 22:29:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xfe3bf5…
08-25 22:29:34	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x8dc59b…
08-25 22:29:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xb033a1…
08-25 22:29:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x5a1c65…
08-25 22:29:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x287bd0…
08-25 22:29:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	909	3¢	$27	0x9b7b3b…
08-25 22:29:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4e018a…
08-25 21:23:48	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	SELL	137	3¢	$5	0xdb6358…
08-25 21:21:22	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	SELL	156	3¢	$5	0x90b908…
08-25 21:13:03	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$16	0x90323f…
08-25 20:47:21	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-08-25?	No	SELL	400	98¢	$392	0x1eee23…
08-25 20:14:58	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	SELL	74	3¢	$2	0x89d15e…
08-25 19:38:39	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x514626…
08-25 17:42:43	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-08-25?	No	BUY	400	66¢	$264	0x65e14f…
08-25 17:39:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x0de0f0…
08-25 17:38:34	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	335	4¢	$14	0x0bd688…
08-25 17:36:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	155	4¢	$7	0xb2a6ee…
08-25 17:31:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x80b29d…
08-25 16:54:51	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xafa60d…
08-25 16:42:57	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	208	3¢	$6	0xae29c6…
08-25 16:42:52	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	739	3¢	$20	0x3a33ac…
08-25 16:36:27	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	53	3¢	$1	0x503d44…
08-25 16:31:57	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	634	3¢	$16	0xc7a88a…
08-25 16:21:33	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	996	2¢	$24	0x9852ca…
08-25 16:16:37	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$5	0x483db9…
08-25 16:16:36	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xcab41e…
08-25 16:16:34	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	952	4¢	$33	0x2bee98…
08-25 16:16:34	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	327	4¢	$11	0x004a8c…
08-25 15:50:10	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x03eb65…
08-25 15:19:33	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	952	4¢	$38	0xf7f29d…
08-25 14:25:25	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	3,159	3¢	$111	0x68ca18…
08-25 14:17:19	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x0f80d9…
08-25 12:31:57	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	SELL	120	4¢	$4	0xa3e615…
08-25 11:46:33	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	SELL	831	4¢	$30	0x12bc05…
08-25 10:53:49	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	2,528	2¢	$61	0xcf8763…
08-25 10:39:31	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x2d3c76…
08-25 09:37:49	Will Julian Alvarez join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	65	0¢	$0	0xf7ff1f…
08-25 08:56:21	Will Julian Alvarez join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x7eee0c…
08-25 08:47:12	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xaf38a2…
08-25 08:47:10	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x15fa52…
08-25 08:43:01	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x97895a…
08-25 08:43:01	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$0	0x64964b…
08-25 08:06:46	Will Julian Alvarez join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	935	0¢	$2	0x5d8d19…
08-25 07:51:22	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x80e039…
08-25 07:51:22	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x220ef3…
08-25 07:47:51	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x2ab943…
08-25 07:40:43	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0xef27f7…
08-25 07:40:43	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa4ce73…
08-25 07:40:43	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$1	0x87d485…
08-25 07:40:43	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x7f5b6d…
08-25 07:39:04	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xec3c69…
08-25 07:38:34	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xfa971d…
08-25 07:38:34	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$1	0x03cf66…
08-25 07:38:27	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	145	0¢	$1	0xf11f6b…
08-25 07:38:27	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	63	0¢	$0	0x54bc39…
08-25 07:38:09	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x040a42…
08-25 07:38:03	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x22837d…
08-25 07:38:03	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x136955…
08-25 07:30:34	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x6f972b…
08-25 07:29:43	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x47aa70…
08-25 07:25:42	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x3dc3f3…
08-25 06:45:54	Will Julian Alvarez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x8617cd…
08-25 06:45:19	Will Julian Alvarez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0xe3eb7c…
08-25 06:45:19	Will Julian Alvarez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x023237…
08-25 06:36:01	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x3c6c56…
08-25 06:35:15	Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xc65724…