Realized P&L
-$663
Unrealized P&L
-$1.26K
Hit rate
55.2%
Resolved
133
Trades
747
lifetime
Volume
$110.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$148
Open exposure
$16.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 08:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 73 days
Categories
Other
67% 49% -$2,863
Politics
24% 61% +$1,414
Sports
5% 58% +$137
Crypto
2% 67% +$117
Tech
1% 50% +$532
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -3,077 -$2,134 78¢ $-2385 -$251 07-16 19:18
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,903 $1,585 84¢ $1.6K +$10 10-04 21:15
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +3,653 $3,221 44¢ $1.6K -$1,632 10-27 08:27
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +1,364 $856 97¢ $1.3K +$464 08-16 19:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1,165 $1,087 98¢ $1.1K +$54 06-17 06:09
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,057 $761 92¢ $978 +$217 06-17 06:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +730 $555 94¢ $683 +$128 08-24 17:37
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +2,382 $238 23¢ $556 +$318 08-24 17:36
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +516 $433 96¢ $495 +$62 06-12 18:57
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +494 $376 97¢ $478 +$103 08-22 17:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +509 $356 80¢ $404 +$48 08-23 18:28
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -466 -$290 82¢ $-384 -$94 08-08 20:19
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +441 $384 86¢ $381 -$2 08-18 17:27
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +1,674 $363 22¢ $361 -$3 08-23 18:27
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +1,005 $362 30¢ $306 -$55 08-20 18:55
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +1,651 $380 16¢ $264 -$116 08-12 17:29
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +479 $307 55¢ $263 -$43 08-27 05:46
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +250 $135 100¢ $249 +$114 07-02 06:51
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +774 $379 32¢ $244 -$135 08-12 17:29
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? Yes +2,058 $556 12¢ $237 -$319 08-23 18:27
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 No +260 $200 88¢ $227 +$27 08-12 17:28
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +273 $215 82¢ $225 +$10 06-13 06:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,115 -$201 19¢ $-212 -$11 06-10 12:51
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,363 $307 8¢ $201 -$106 08-06 19:40
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +302 $136 66¢ $201 +$65 06-11 06:18
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +1,072 $354 18¢ $198 -$155 08-23 18:29
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +205 $119 94¢ $192 +$73 07-24 07:14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +2,161 $303 8¢ $162 -$140 08-06 19:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +185 $74 88¢ $162 +$88 08-06 19:39
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +409 $127 38¢ $154 +$27 08-22 17:18