Realized P&L
-$56
Unrealized P&L
+$80
Hit rate
84.2%
Resolved
171
Trades
239
lifetime
Volume
$25.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$107
Open exposure
$2.48K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 11-03 02:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Politics
49% 83% +$346
Other
46% 82% +$5
Sports
6% 50% -$408
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +525 $500 97¢ $509 +$9 10-15 18:44
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +297 $250 96¢ $287 +$37 10-24 02:13
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +262 $200 84¢ $220 +$20 10-15 18:30
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No +235 $200 92¢ $217 +$17 07-04 23:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +238 $200 90¢ $215 +$15 10-15 18:45
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +179 $150 90¢ $161 +$11 10-24 03:12
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? Yes +222 $200 70¢ $156 -$44 10-15 18:37
Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026? No +139 $100 86¢ $121 +$21 10-15 18:12
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +133 $100 87¢ $116 +$16 10-15 18:43
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? No +128 $100 87¢ $112 +$12 10-24 04:20
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +132 $100 84¢ $111 +$11 11-03 00:46
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado by November 30? No +109 $100 94¢ $103 +$3 11-03 02:02
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +112 $100 90¢ $101 +$1 11-03 00:56
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027? Yes +132 $100 39¢ $52 -$48 10-15 17:35