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Realized P&L (90d)
+$2.86K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.30K
Hit rate
82.2%
Resolved (90d)
24
Trades (90d)
340
578 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$65.4K
$87.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$152
Open exposure
$33.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 19:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
75% 50% +$1,469
Other
25% 50% -$910
Sports
0% 0% -$280
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +12,359 $11,824 98¢ $12.2K +$331 11-05 23:18
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -20,000 -$5,260 27¢ $-5450 -$190 11-05 08:07
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%? Yes +3,741 $678 70¢ $2.6K +$1,950 11-06 14:45
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +230,423 $1,781 1¢ $2.4K +$638 11-06 06:11
Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? Yes +2,400 $1,928 90¢ $2.1K +$220 11-06 14:29
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -7,909 -$1,065 19¢ $-1538 -$473 11-06 11:33
Will there be between 115m and 120m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? No +1,383 $1,227 90¢ $1.2K +$18 11-06 16:36
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? Yes +5,000 $2,555 23¢ $1.1K -$1,415 11-05 22:30
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? Yes +9,231 $1,205 11¢ $1.0K -$204 11-06 03:16
Will there be between 125m and 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? No +500 $475 97¢ $486 +$11 11-06 17:26
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +2,422 $484 20¢ $476 -$8 11-05 21:19
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,440 $349 5¢ $361 +$12 11-06 06:49
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,538 $238 5¢ $252 +$14 11-06 06:53
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? No +300 $82 77¢ $232 +$149 11-05 12:43
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -16,999 -$408 1¢ $-229 +$178 04-28 17:48
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +2,000 $272 11¢ $217 -$55 11-06 03:03
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -7,999 -$203 2¢ $-188 +$15 11-06 16:31
Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +220 $87 76¢ $166 +$80 11-05 08:50
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5,118 -$82 2¢ $-125 -$43 04-28 20:18
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -7,680 -$77 1¢ $-81 -$4 04-29 08:24
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -8,959 -$81 1¢ $-67 +$13 04-28 20:13
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -7,909 -$87 1¢ $-59 +$28 04-28 12:40
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6,972 -$63 1¢ $-52 +$10 04-29 08:22
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No -50 -$39 98¢ $-49 -$10 04-28 19:52
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? No +930 $51 5¢ $46 -$6 11-06 19:15
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -7,909 -$71 1¢ $-43 +$28 04-28 12:45
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,604 $49 1¢ $35 -$14 04-28 12:41
Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat? Yes +688 $38 5¢ $33 -$5 11-06 19:15
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -10,000 -$70 0¢ $-25 +$45 04-28 21:28
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +1,809 $36 1¢ $24 -$12 11-05 17:30