Realized P&L
+$279
Unrealized P&L
+$700
Hit rate
77.4%
Resolved
37
Trades
606
lifetime
Volume
$102.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$168
Open exposure
$21.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
78% 50% +$1,469
Other
22% 50% -$910
Sports
0% 0% -$280
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -20,000 -$5,260 26¢ $-5230 +$30 11-05 08:07
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%? Yes +4,341 $1,154 78¢ $3.4K +$2,216 11-08 00:48
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +230,423 $1,781 1¢ $2.4K +$638 11-06 06:11
Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? Yes +2,400 $1,928 96¢ $2.3K +$371 11-06 14:29
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -7,909 -$1,065 18¢ $-1388 -$323 11-06 11:33
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? Yes +5,000 $2,555 21¢ $1.1K -$1,502 11-05 22:30
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,000 $679 98¢ $984 +$305 11-07 21:08
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -26,995 -$697 3¢ $-823 -$126 11-07 00:37
Will there be between 125m and 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? No +500 $475 99¢ $496 +$21 11-06 17:26
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -10,000 -$440 5¢ $-465 -$25 11-06 20:27
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,440 $349 6¢ $435 +$86 11-06 06:49
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +2,422 $484 14¢ $327 -$157 11-05 21:19
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-23 House election by 0%-5%? Yes +415 $354 74¢ $307 -$47 11-07 18:55
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,538 $238 5¢ $291 +$53 11-06 06:53
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? No +300 $82 79¢ $237 +$154 11-05 12:43
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -16,999 -$408 1¢ $-229 +$178 04-28 17:48
Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat? Yes +2,228 $101 8¢ $187 +$86 11-07 22:49
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5,118 -$82 3¢ $-166 -$84 04-28 20:18
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? Yes +9,231 $1,205 2¢ $152 -$1,053 11-06 03:16
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -7,680 -$77 2¢ $-134 -$58 04-29 08:24
Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +220 $87 60¢ $131 +$44 11-05 08:50
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? No +1,020 $56 9¢ $91 +$36 11-06 20:04
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -8,959 -$81 1¢ $-76 +$4 04-28 20:13
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -7,909 -$87 1¢ $-55 +$32 04-28 12:40
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6,972 -$63 1¢ $-52 +$10 04-29 08:22
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No -50 -$39 98¢ $-49 -$10 04-28 19:52
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -7,909 -$71 1¢ $-43 +$28 04-28 12:45
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,604 $49 2¢ $39 -$10 04-28 12:41
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +2,000 $272 1¢ $29 -$243 11-06 03:03
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -10,000 -$70 0¢ $-25 +$45 04-28 21:28