Excellent-Mythology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$177

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,861

lifetime

Volume

$934.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$327

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-11 11:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

64% 75% +$394

Other

33% 80% $-65

Crypto

3% 50% $-152

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	122	$69.8K	46,546	45,546	+1,000	open	—	03-29 08:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	101	$69.5K	63,212	58,449	+4,763	open	—	05-31 15:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	168	$68.6K	49,368	49,368	+0	open	—	05-15 17:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	37	$47.2K	43,090	43,090	+0	open	—	06-11 20:46
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	81	$46.9K	35,312	36,312	-1,000	open	—	03-18 00:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	56	$40.3K	31,687	31,687	+0	No	+$117	05-05 16:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	71	$37.6K	75,346	65,991	+9,355	open	—	08-04 17:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	43	$36.8K	21,681	23,423	-1,741	open	—	05-22 22:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	313	$34.8K	46,352	49,397	-3,046	open	—	03-30 20:23
bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	143	$30.9K	15,771	18,664	-2,893	open	—	03-16 08:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	113	$30.8K	22,169	22,169	+0	open	—	04-07 20:16
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	161	$26.6K	17,500	16,725	+775	open	—	03-18 05:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	46	$23.9K	26,000	22,000	+4,000	open	—	06-05 04:51
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	33	$22.1K	12,135	15,135	-3,000	open	—	03-14 21:28
netanyahu out by march 31 854	37	$17.5K	21,302	20,302	+1,000	open	—	03-17 21:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	117	$16.8K	31,905	38,016	-6,111	open	—	03-30 23:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	114	$15.9K	25,079	25,079	+0	open	—	03-20 17:49
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	24	$15.4K	9,800	9,800	+0	open	—	03-19 09:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	43	$14.8K	8,103	8,103	+0	open	—	04-29 09:44
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	14	$14.2K	8,078	7,078	+1,000	open	—	04-29 15:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	9	$13.1K	6,662	6,662	+0	open	—	05-27 03:59
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	49	$10.3K	7,030	7,030	+0	open	—	03-18 19:58
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	16	$10.2K	5,224	5,224	+0	open	—	03-13 08:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	49	$10.1K	12,628	11,628	+1,000	No	$-108	05-07 18:26
Iran leadership change by March 13?	15	$9.6K	22,167	23,167	-1,000	open	—	03-14 16:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	14	$7.9K	5,264	2,983	+2,281	open	—	04-22 04:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	31	$7.2K	17,658	14,658	+3,000	No	+$249	05-10 21:41
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	28	$7.0K	6,670	7,459	-788	open	—	03-10 19:40
us forces enter iran by march 7	7	$6.8K	3,468	3,468	+0	open	—	03-07 18:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	7	$6.0K	3,039	3,039	+0	open	—	04-30 19:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 11:02:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$973	0x1e8144…
08-11 11:01:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$985	0x43ad97…
08-11 10:24:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$986	0x2cb637…
08-10 19:53:49	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	89¢	$446	0x3ee067…
08-10 13:45:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x29a628…
08-10 13:35:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	362	98¢	$356	0xbe73bc…
08-10 13:34:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	294	98¢	$289	0x62b50e…
08-10 13:34:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	125	98¢	$123	0x9df66e…
08-10 09:37:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$985	0x00099d…
08-10 07:50:25	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	495	91¢	$450	0xcd381d…
08-09 18:50:00	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x82ec5a…
08-09 14:48:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$981	0xfd023b…
08-08 22:54:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	609	98¢	$595	0x3079cf…
08-08 22:54:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	391	98¢	$382	0x28bd58…
08-08 21:57:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa0ff67…
08-07 18:15:55	spx up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	500	94¢	$472	0x25b173…
08-07 18:07:48	spx up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	206	97¢	$199	0x58eb01…
08-07 17:54:03	spx up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xeffb34…
08-07 17:49:10	spx up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0x7bf6d1…
08-07 17:35:31	spx up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	64	96¢	$62	0x91be10…
08-04 17:38:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3,871	19¢	$735	0x249117…
08-04 17:36:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	55	19¢	$10	0xc43d4b…
08-04 17:33:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	108	19¢	$20	0xee21c9…
08-04 17:32:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x408cde…
08-04 17:32:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	19¢	$76	0xc3dec4…
08-04 17:30:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x3f316b…
08-04 17:30:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	531	19¢	$101	0xfdf1ac…
08-04 16:42:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,000	19¢	$950	0x14e8bd…
08-04 15:58:11	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	43	92¢	$40	0x12b0c6…
08-03 14:27:26	wti up or down on august 3 2026	Down	SELL	995	100¢	$993	0x228543…
08-03 12:04:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,500	21¢	$525	0x8e836f…
08-03 11:19:24	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9ff365…
08-03 09:34:42	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,563	88¢	$1,378	0xfda091…
08-03 09:31:20	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	207	92¢	$190	0x243c3f…
08-03 05:03:23	wti up or down on august 3 2026	Down	BUY	995	98¢	$975	0xbe4bc5…
08-02 21:50:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,500	20¢	$500	0x07167e…
08-01 21:46:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,000	25¢	$1,250	0x3e231b…
08-01 17:41:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	605	26¢	$157	0x075534…
08-01 07:32:47	will gleans valuation hit high 7pt5b by july 31 20260630205002624	No	BUY	318	99¢	$314	0x2cdc9b…
08-01 07:32:26	will gleans valuation hit high 7pt25b by july 31 20260630205002625	No	BUY	808	99¢	$800	0x0f2113…
08-01 07:31:02	will neuralinks valuation hit high 47pt5 by july 31 20260629184735358	No	BUY	355	94¢	$332	0x1079b8…
08-01 07:19:20	will canvas valuation hit high 43pt5 by july 31 20260629184737584	No	BUY	642	99¢	$636	0xc8c9bc…
08-01 07:18:53	will canvas valuation hit high 42 by july 31 20260629184737585	No	BUY	419	98¢	$410	0x30a11b…
08-01 07:18:30	will canvas valuation hit low 40 by july 31 20260629184737587	No	BUY	570	99¢	$562	0x613d41…
08-01 07:17:02	will canvas valuation hit low 39 by july 31 20260629184737588	No	BUY	746	98¢	$731	0xf22799…
08-01 07:14:03	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,239	86¢	$1,059	0x8ba925…
08-01 07:13:06	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	636	15¢	$95	0x094193…
08-01 07:05:53	will openais valuation hit high 900b by july 31 20260629222029481	No	BUY	878	99¢	$868	0x507128…
07-31 17:28:38	will openais valuation hit low 800b by july 31 20260629222029484	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x83ce2a…
07-31 09:37:53	will perplexitys valuation hit high 18 by july 31 20260629184740282	No	BUY	246	98¢	$241	0xd73543…
07-31 09:35:41	will perplexitys valuation hit high 18 by july 31 20260629184740282	No	BUY	51	95¢	$48	0x97c667…
07-31 09:35:41	will perplexitys valuation hit high 18 by july 31 20260629184740282	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x853849…
07-31 09:31:35	will canvas valuation hit low 39 by july 31 20260629184737588	No	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0x239674…
07-31 09:28:38	will openais valuation hit low 800b by july 31 20260629222029484	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xc2d9ab…
07-31 09:28:38	will openais valuation hit low 800b by july 31 20260629222029484	No	BUY	135	98¢	$133	0x0db9c8…
07-31 09:28:03	will openais valuation hit high 900b by july 31 20260629222029481	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xd8863e…
07-31 09:26:51	will openais valuation hit high 900b by july 31 20260629222029481	No	BUY	90	95¢	$86	0xf315ec…
07-30 17:45:26	will krakens valuation hit low 9 by july 31 20260629184742677	No	SELL	333	90¢	$300	0x5cd373…
07-30 16:37:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	605	25¢	$151	0x7e6a7f…
07-30 01:34:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,646	28¢	$461	0xeeae64…
07-30 01:22:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10,344	27¢	$2,793	0xb051d3…
07-29 11:36:56	spx opens up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0xb9be3b…
07-27 02:55:06	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	78¢	$390	0x8e4c5b…
07-25 18:57:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	471	27¢	$127	0xee651a…
07-25 18:57:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xfb6b33…
07-25 18:57:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x9f514d…
07-25 18:57:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	95	27¢	$26	0xcd535c…
07-25 18:57:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x08cb91…
07-25 18:40:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	27¢	$5	0x29825d…
07-25 18:39:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x127704…
07-25 18:39:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9,050	27¢	$2,444	0x239ddc…
07-25 13:59:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18,817	27¢	$5,080	0xad48ce…
07-25 13:55:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,183	27¢	$320	0xb8f10e…
07-25 08:59:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,646	28¢	$461	0x1012a6…
07-24 17:20:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20,000	28¢	$5,600	0x38fb3c…
07-24 16:26:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10,000	28¢	$2,800	0x53385f…
07-24 06:51:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	64	29¢	$19	0x83c053…
07-24 06:44:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	29¢	$6	0xbff206…
07-24 06:37:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0x733a22…
07-24 06:37:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x9fd95a…
07-24 06:34:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,670	29¢	$774	0xe0e5bf…
07-24 06:33:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10,000	29¢	$2,900	0x6d7710…
07-23 13:59:30	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	29	72¢	$21	0x2cab04…
07-22 20:42:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x5ef9a6…
07-22 20:42:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	63	28¢	$18	0x487855…
07-22 16:49:33	wti up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	390	94¢	$367	0x456593…
07-22 16:33:04	wti up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	442	95¢	$420	0xf17cf5…
07-22 14:30:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10,000	28¢	$2,800	0xe25710…
07-21 02:47:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,222	26¢	$578	0xb1bdc9…
07-21 02:43:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x7d2d84…
07-21 02:24:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	410	26¢	$107	0x20f54a…
07-21 02:09:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	26¢	$260	0xdf43be…
07-21 02:05:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xf17f51…
07-21 01:54:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	26¢	$78	0xc208b8…
07-21 01:33:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa9a120…
07-21 00:45:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xafc157…
07-21 00:09:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x6313a4…
07-21 00:07:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf9b030…
07-21 00:06:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x37f679…
07-20 23:52:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xa8f43e…