Excellent-Mythology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$177

Unrealized P&L

+$320

Hit rate

82.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,770

lifetime

Volume

$879.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$317

Open exposure

$1.53K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-21 02:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

64% 75% +$394

Other

33% 80% $-65

Crypto

2% 50% $-152

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+4,355	$1,099	30¢	$1.3K	+$186	07-21 02:47
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		-1,164	$-384	22¢	$-250	+$134	07-19 13:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	122	$69.8K	46,546	45,546	+1,000	open	—	03-29 08:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	101	$69.5K	63,212	58,449	+4,763	open	—	05-31 15:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	168	$68.6K	49,368	49,368	+0	open	—	05-15 17:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	37	$47.2K	43,090	43,090	+0	open	—	06-11 20:46
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	81	$46.9K	35,312	36,312	-1,000	open	—	03-18 00:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	56	$40.3K	31,687	31,687	+0	No	+$117	05-05 16:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	43	$36.8K	21,681	23,423	-1,741	open	—	05-22 22:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	313	$34.8K	46,352	49,397	-3,046	open	—	03-30 20:23
bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	143	$30.9K	15,771	18,664	-2,893	open	—	03-16 08:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	113	$30.8K	22,169	22,169	+0	open	—	04-07 20:16
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	161	$26.6K	17,500	16,725	+775	open	—	03-18 05:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	46	$23.9K	26,000	22,000	+4,000	open	—	06-05 04:51
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	33	$22.1K	12,135	15,135	-3,000	open	—	03-14 21:28
netanyahu out by march 31 854	37	$17.5K	21,302	20,302	+1,000	open	—	03-17 21:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	117	$16.8K	31,905	38,016	-6,111	open	—	03-30 23:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	114	$15.9K	25,079	25,079	+0	open	—	03-20 17:49
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	24	$15.4K	9,800	9,800	+0	open	—	03-19 09:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	43	$14.8K	8,103	8,103	+0	open	—	04-29 09:44
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	14	$14.2K	8,078	7,078	+1,000	open	—	04-29 15:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	9	$13.1K	6,662	6,662	+0	open	—	05-27 03:59
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	49	$10.3K	7,030	7,030	+0	open	—	03-18 19:58
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	16	$10.2K	5,224	5,224	+0	open	—	03-13 08:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	49	$10.1K	12,628	11,628	+1,000	No	$-108	05-07 18:26
Iran leadership change by March 13?	15	$9.6K	22,167	23,167	-1,000	open	—	03-14 16:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	14	$7.9K	5,264	2,983	+2,281	open	—	04-22 04:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	31	$7.2K	17,658	14,658	+3,000	No	+$249	05-10 21:41
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	28	$7.0K	6,670	7,459	-788	open	—	03-10 19:40
us forces enter iran by march 7	7	$6.8K	3,468	3,468	+0	open	—	03-07 18:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	7	$6.0K	3,039	3,039	+0	open	—	04-30 19:39
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	29	$6.0K	5,693	5,891	-198	open	—	03-09 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 02:47:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,222	26¢	$578	0xb1bdc9…
07-21 02:43:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x7d2d84…
07-21 02:24:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	410	26¢	$107	0x20f54a…
07-21 02:09:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	26¢	$260	0xdf43be…
07-21 02:05:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xf17f51…
07-21 01:54:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	26¢	$78	0xc208b8…
07-21 01:33:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa9a120…
07-21 00:45:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xafc157…
07-21 00:09:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x6313a4…
07-21 00:07:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf9b030…
07-21 00:06:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x37f679…
07-20 23:52:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xa8f43e…
07-20 23:51:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xca2470…
07-20 23:20:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	296	26¢	$77	0xace331…
07-20 19:55:03	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0x6912a9…
07-20 16:01:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0x879995…
07-20 15:52:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,108	27¢	$299	0x229eda…
07-20 15:47:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x03f86c…
07-20 15:44:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x99427c…
07-20 15:43:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	190	27¢	$51	0x25081a…
07-20 15:40:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	481	27¢	$130	0x440dd0…
07-20 15:38:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	539	27¢	$145	0x5c11b2…
07-20 15:35:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	967	27¢	$261	0xf24743…
07-20 15:33:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0x5c6991…
07-20 15:33:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,600	26¢	$416	0xe49e54…
07-20 15:32:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x2d2e13…
07-20 15:32:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	35	26¢	$9	0x812d21…
07-20 15:31:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,000	26¢	$1,300	0x3d821c…
07-20 15:29:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	744	27¢	$201	0xe9c32c…
07-20 15:26:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	27¢	$4	0x6502d8…
07-20 15:22:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	27¢	$5	0xce79da…
07-20 15:22:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	399	27¢	$108	0xed1dec…
07-20 15:16:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x6ea852…
07-20 15:16:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,169	27¢	$316	0xf51776…
07-19 13:09:13	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	436	30¢	$131	0xfa2aa7…
07-18 01:32:18	untitled market 1 20260629172613097	No	SELL	254	100¢	$253	0x792d27…
07-17 16:23:07	will nflx dip to 65 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	262	99¢	$260	0xbd0ffd…
07-17 14:41:37	will nflx dip to 65 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	20	93¢	$18	0xc11ce2…
07-17 14:23:03	untitled market 1 20260629172613097	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x93f8f1…
07-17 14:21:25	will nflx dip to 65 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	250	90¢	$225	0xc23802…
07-17 13:30:01	will nflx dip to 67 50 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x8d0602…
07-17 13:26:43	will nflx dip to 67 50 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xff4fc5…
07-17 11:37:37	will openais valuation hit high 950b by july 31 20260629222029480	No	BUY	730	98¢	$715	0xecadc4…
07-17 11:11:18	will nflx dip to 65 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	532	53¢	$282	0x787425…
07-17 10:59:51	will pltr reach 138 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	115	90¢	$104	0xef94b5…
07-17 09:41:18	will openais valuation hit high 900b by july 31 20260629222029481	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x796edd…
07-17 09:40:54	will openais valuation hit high 950b by july 31 20260629222029480	No	BUY	305	97¢	$296	0xce8bd9…
07-16 20:05:10	will openais valuation hit high 950b by july 31 20260629222029480	Yes	BUY	83	8¢	$7	0xec45d9…
07-16 20:05:02	will openais valuation hit high 950b by july 31 20260629222029480	Yes	BUY	217	8¢	$17	0xc34ade…
07-16 17:28:05	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	300	28¢	$84	0xb6e5a7…
07-16 09:07:56	will krakens valuation hit low 9 by july 31 20260629184742677	No	BUY	333	70¢	$232	0x9ab5a5…
07-16 09:07:04	will krakens valuation hit high 11 by july 31 20260629184742675	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x06e36a…
07-16 09:06:17	will krakens valuation hit high 12 by july 31 20260629184742673	No	BUY	154	95¢	$146	0x250ef7…
07-16 05:40:40	will openais valuation hit high 950b by july 31 20260629222029480	No	BUY	239	88¢	$210	0x552c3b…
07-16 05:24:08	will lambdas valuation hit high 9 by july 31 20260629184508149	No	BUY	305	91¢	$276	0xe4d656…
07-16 05:23:38	will lambdas valuation hit high 10 by july 31 20260629184508148	No	BUY	281	95¢	$267	0xb3b5b2…
07-14 17:38:46	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x9fb6c8…
07-14 17:37:47	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	240	71¢	$170	0xaf585d…
07-13 18:21:40	wti closes above 71 on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	1,060	100¢	$1,058	0x919aad…
07-13 12:10:34	spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x9de368…
07-13 12:05:05	spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	Down	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x97e0be…
07-13 11:41:26	spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	Down	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x34e78c…
07-13 10:31:28	spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	Down	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0x42a5c4…
07-13 10:31:17	spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	Down	SELL	243	93¢	$226	0xe352f7…
07-13 10:14:25	spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	Down	SELL	35	92¢	$32	0x1ce37e…
07-13 09:07:47	spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	Down	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0xe44ec7…
07-13 09:07:13	wti closes above 71 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xd5cc85…
07-13 08:12:46	spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0xd8c21d…
07-13 06:27:49	spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x706e36…
07-13 06:25:52	spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	225	94¢	$211	0x072190…
07-13 06:10:02	wti closes above 71 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,010	98¢	$990	0x45bdc7…
07-13 05:32:49	spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	68	94¢	$64	0x9ba4a8…
07-09 16:14:37	spy up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	420	97¢	$407	0xabcabb…
07-09 15:49:13	spy up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x1a7f95…
07-09 15:48:37	spx up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	215	96¢	$206	0xe83374…
07-09 15:09:56	wti closes above 75 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0xd33ee9…
07-09 14:02:05	wti closes above 76 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	194	91¢	$177	0xd79feb…
07-09 14:01:10	wti closes above 78 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0xa32f64…
07-09 11:35:38	wti closes above 77 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xe63e42…
07-09 11:34:01	wti closes above 77 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0xd29631…
07-08 20:10:02	wti up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x183fa9…
07-03 22:19:40	untitled market 1 20260629172613097	No	BUY	258	96¢	$248	0xb278c1…
06-22 20:17:08	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	292	100¢	$291	0x8f500f…
06-22 20:06:17	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xbe81d5…
06-22 19:48:23	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc1f19e…
06-22 19:27:11	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	109	40¢	$43	0x524952…
06-22 19:26:26	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	310	39¢	$121	0x38d76b…
06-22 18:24:23	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	124	100¢	$123	0xe7943a…
06-22 18:21:17	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xbccd2d…
06-22 18:18:35	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x3d0d13…
06-22 15:14:44	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	700	95¢	$664	0x07ff7e…
06-22 14:20:59	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	700	91¢	$638	0xac1809…
06-22 14:08:41	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xecc066…
06-22 14:05:35	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0xa68845…
06-22 14:02:55	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	163	94¢	$153	0x6b9239…
06-22 14:02:50	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	518	94¢	$487	0xa88fa1…
06-19 17:17:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	1,143	82¢	$937	0xad4cca…
06-17 06:17:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	SELL	1,467	99¢	$1,457	0xe89204…
06-16 16:04:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	760	98¢	$744	0x3c26b9…
06-15 07:46:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	1,004	82¢	$823	0xca96f8…