Petty-Silver — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$1.77K

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

992 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$345

$40.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$1.59K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-13 04:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

55% 42% +$371

Other

45% 39% -$291

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	+31,660	$2,614	4¢	$1.2K	-$1,443	11-10 12:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+3,101	$120	4¢	$113	-$6	11-13 04:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	Yes	+387	$116	26¢	$101	-$16	10-25 17:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+130	$72	53¢	$69	-$3	10-29 06:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+167	$55	36¢	$60	+$5	10-21 12:57
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	+575	$59	8¢	$43	-$16	10-10 01:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?	Yes	+35	$20	58¢	$21	+$1	10-21 12:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+80	$13	12¢	$9	-$4	10-29 06:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+100	$4	0¢	$0	-$4	09-16 17:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+33	$5	1¢	$0	-$5	09-09 14:28
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$278	3¢	$0	-$278	10-25 23:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	46	$14.5K	21,929	15,815	+6,114	Yes	+$2,749	05-09 11:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	47	$5.5K	11,179	11,079	+100	No	-$257	09-16 17:54
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	92	$4.6K	104,862	99,711	+5,151	No	-$271	04-12 19:59
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	7	$3.6K	22,549	0	+22,549	No	-$3,589	02-02 21:56
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	214	$3.4K	36,730	5,070	+31,660	open	—	11-10 12:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	21	$2.6K	2,518	1,377	+1,140	Yes	+$504	10-16 04:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	143	$1.9K	132,434	132,434	+0	No	-$368	09-21 11:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	28	$1.1K	5,604	2,503	+3,101	open	—	11-13 04:17
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	44	$1.1K	4,884	4,884	+0	open	—	10-25 23:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$750	1,550	1,550	+0	No	+$26	10-01 17:57
Macron out by December 31, 2026?	47	$391	4,605	4,605	+0	open	—	10-29 05:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	15	$384	1,480	0	+1,480	Yes	+$1,096	02-26 15:11
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	3	$135	414	2,544	-2,131	No	+$120	01-23 11:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	10	$116	387	0	+387	open	—	10-25 17:31
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	9	$96	236	86	+150	Yes	+$128	06-02 09:07
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$72	200	200	+0	open	—	10-01 15:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	5	$72	130	0	+130	open	—	10-29 06:16
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	9	$59	575	0	+575	open	—	10-10 01:32
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?	8	$58	4,322	4,110	+212	No	+$25	05-16 01:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	3	$55	167	0	+167	open	—	10-21 12:57
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	7	$55	49	49	+0	No	+$5	05-16 05:29
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?	7	$34	2,614	2,614	+0	No	+$19	05-22 00:04
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	7	$31	1,275	1,275	+0	No	-$11	05-18 07:16
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	28	$26	2,421	2,421	+0	No	+$8	05-21 22:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	7	$24	3,000	2,500	+500	No	+$2	09-16 15:53
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	29	$22	1,233	20	+1,213	No	-$21	06-04 11:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?	1	$20	35	0	+35	open	—	10-21 12:56
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	38	$20	3,151	3,151	+0	No	-$1	06-01 11:43
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	31	$17	1,745	1,121	+624	No	-$6	05-27 01:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$16	62	62	+0	No	+$1	05-13 15:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 04:17:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,030	4¢	$41	0xa5e63f…
11-10 13:43:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x73ad9e…
11-10 13:42:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2867da…
11-10 13:42:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xbf0668…
11-10 13:42:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$12	0x45dd09…
11-10 13:42:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	280	2¢	$7	0xb45258…
11-10 13:42:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xad61aa…
11-10 12:12:46	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xfc7e36…
11-10 10:39:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xd76813…
11-10 10:17:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x8f1659…
11-10 10:15:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x628531…
11-10 10:11:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x3e07de…
11-10 10:10:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0x6e86ee…
11-10 10:09:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0xaa955d…
11-10 10:08:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xe84a11…
11-10 10:07:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0x28a0ce…
11-10 10:04:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x7a0de1…
11-10 10:02:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xcf9fd2…
11-10 10:01:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x28a828…
11-10 10:00:49	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x3a82d6…
11-10 09:59:55	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	97	5¢	$5	0x33e3a0…
11-08 10:44:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	301	22¢	$66	0xe3e91f…
11-07 11:48:24	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	78	5¢	$4	0x1f478f…
11-07 11:47:19	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x57f3d6…
11-06 13:57:10	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	907	8¢	$73	0xb59858…
11-05 15:48:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,473	31¢	$457	0x453648…
10-31 08:09:52	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	450	8¢	$36	0x43298c…
10-29 17:48:44	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	594	8¢	$48	0x852323…
10-29 17:47:19	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	103	8¢	$8	0xb167b7…
10-29 06:16:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	55¢	$44	0xe42212…
10-29 06:16:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	16¢	$13	0x486c44…
10-29 05:47:35	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	328	3¢	$10	0xc0b23f…
10-29 04:53:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0x80a991…
10-29 04:46:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x8b2494…
10-29 04:46:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	37	20¢	$7	0x59920d…
10-29 04:46:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	263	20¢	$53	0xd31906…
10-29 04:45:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x092bcc…
10-28 15:40:35	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x1489b1…
10-28 13:17:20	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	79	5¢	$4	0x7d7d28…
10-27 15:12:38	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x75687b…
10-27 15:11:47	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	79	5¢	$4	0xdd4fb3…
10-27 15:10:54	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	79	5¢	$4	0x3b8832…
10-27 15:10:05	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x9c35b9…
10-27 10:27:02	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xd2ba92…
10-26 05:19:41	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xa62cdd…
10-25 23:09:23	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	265	9¢	$24	0x921516…
10-25 21:57:08	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	8¢	$80	0xe578e1…
10-25 18:37:26	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xa10f38…
10-25 17:31:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x9c4222…
10-25 17:29:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x4466bc…
10-25 16:48:30	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xb54bf6…
10-24 21:01:32	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x2cc7fe…
10-24 20:43:05	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x89a413…
10-24 14:52:33	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xd69845…
10-24 14:38:08	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x4857ce…
10-24 14:33:57	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xd82d2e…
10-24 14:32:06	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xc5aee5…
10-24 13:58:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd0a3f0…
10-24 13:07:27	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0xa57fe8…
10-24 12:03:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0x257384…
10-24 12:03:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x209ac0…
10-24 12:03:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa98f0f…
10-24 11:56:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	75	29¢	$22	0x7c9e89…
10-24 11:53:05	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,200	4¢	$48	0x1cec94…
10-24 11:42:24	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x562568…
10-24 00:04:11	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	6¢	$18	0xa0cb19…
10-23 21:58:03	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xf23eb9…
10-23 21:25:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0xc497a6…
10-23 21:25:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x67bca6…
10-23 21:07:14	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	360	5¢	$19	0xb345e6…
10-23 20:07:26	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x229028…
10-23 20:07:23	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x8bf54f…
10-23 20:07:14	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xbbdd36…
10-23 20:07:12	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0xbfa608…
10-23 20:07:09	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x85ab74…
10-23 20:06:11	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0x1f45c8…
10-23 20:05:51	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	327	5¢	$17	0x5fb51f…
10-23 18:11:53	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0x05dd3c…
10-23 12:48:23	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x9a7b34…
10-23 12:48:08	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x9d7845…
10-23 12:02:45	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$12	0xaff98e…
10-23 00:18:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x7593b6…
10-23 00:17:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xbb9d01…
10-22 23:16:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x62f5ae…
10-22 16:56:05	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x685692…
10-22 13:22:05	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xde5726…
10-22 11:20:41	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xdaeaf1…
10-22 10:16:14	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0xc2f2a2…
10-22 10:13:06	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xdc6f0c…
10-22 02:09:02	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3a5663…
10-22 01:58:29	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	62	8¢	$5	0x89452b…
10-22 00:06:30	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xeb5a9f…
10-21 22:05:39	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	112	8¢	$9	0xe6cbc8…
10-21 21:13:23	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0xd9fad1…
10-21 19:53:35	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x4dadcf…
10-21 19:09:09	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$24	0x9deccd…
10-21 18:43:36	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	988	8¢	$79	0xf398e9…
10-21 18:09:29	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x7d8ea3…
10-21 18:00:44	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xe6bc72…
10-21 17:26:03	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	654	8¢	$52	0xdcf648…