Dramatic-Court — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

127

Trades

450

lifetime

Volume

$8.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 08-24 18:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

50% 63% -$2

Crypto

29% 79% +$11

Politics

12% 47% -$42

Sports

8% 50% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	3	$398	200	200	+0	Yes	+$1	05-06 11:11
Will Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	13	$284	143	143	+0	No	$0	04-14 08:06
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	10	$257	129	129	+0	No	+$0	04-27 08:58
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	10	$223	112	112	+0	No	+$0	04-03 11:42
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	10	$217	109	109	+0	No	+$0	04-07 08:19
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	8	$205	103	103	+0	No	+$0	03-20 07:39
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	8	$201	101	101	+0	No	$0	04-22 13:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on May 6?	2	$198	100	100	+0	No	+$2	05-06 14:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	2	$194	101	101	+0	Yes	+$6	05-06 14:34
will tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in q1 2026	13	$177	89	89	+0	No	$0	03-27 02:52
highest temperature in nyc on april 22 2026 55forbelow	5	$166	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	04-22 13:30
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	9	$155	78	78	+0	No	+$0	04-17 03:52
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	6	$146	73	73	+0	No	+$0	04-14 08:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 6?	2	$140	71	71	+0	No	+$0	05-06 14:32
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	6	$140	70	70	+0	No	$0	03-17 04:59
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	6	$132	66	66	+0	No	+$0	04-22 13:50
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	6	$128	78	51	+27	No	+$0	05-28 13:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	6	$126	150	150	+0	No	-$23	05-11 05:51
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	6	$119	60	60	+0	No	+$0	04-22 13:49
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	5	$117	47	71	-24	open	—	08-24 10:40
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	8	$115	58	58	+0	No	+$0	02-24 06:07
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 100 119	3	$110	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	03-31 09:53
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	4	$110	55	55	+0	No	+$0	05-25 01:57
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	4	$104	52	52	+0	open	—	06-07 11:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	5	$104	52	52	+0	No	+$0	02-20 19:39
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$98	49	49	+0	No	+$0	05-15 10:22
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the Western Conference?	4	$96	48	48	+0	No	+$0	04-07 08:15
will kate hudson win best actress at the 98th academy awards	4	$93	47	47	+0	No	+$0	03-03 07:01
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$90	45	45	+0	No	$0	03-20 07:49
will stanley leavell be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	4	$86	43	43	+0	No	+$0	03-17 04:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 18:28:40	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	78	2¢	$1	0x677bbe…
08-24 17:36:34	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	222	2¢	$4	0xccce3e…
08-24 10:41:25	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xd413a7…
08-24 10:40:57	Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xe3de91…
08-24 10:40:46	Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist for 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xe743a8…
08-04 12:17:56	Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x7f3750…
07-21 13:15:40	Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$5	0xa06b84…
07-01 08:16:23	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x05f417…
06-13 16:21:46	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	1¢	$0	0x3c7530…
06-13 16:21:04	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xd70259…
06-13 16:13:03	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	1¢	$0	0x4601e9…
06-13 15:24:22	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xf1be1c…
06-13 15:22:12	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xf198cf…
06-13 15:07:43	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x0ad3bf…
06-13 14:30:22	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x084714…
06-13 14:13:13	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x8b7964…
06-13 14:03:24	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	1¢	$0	0xeebb19…
06-13 13:59:12	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	1¢	$0	0x7d8518…
06-13 13:52:06	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$0	0x7217a9…
06-13 13:46:12	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	1¢	$0	0xd43210…
06-13 13:41:39	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	1¢	$0	0xa856cd…
06-12 12:22:03	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0xb74e25…
06-10 13:43:52	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$1	0x7842e0…
06-09 12:20:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0x6056cb…
06-09 12:18:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0x4b361c…
06-09 12:18:31	Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$5	0x701ddf…
06-09 12:16:37	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x445537…
06-09 12:16:15	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0x690c54…
06-09 12:14:30	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	350	1¢	$4	0x93f2cb…
06-08 11:57:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x2d80e3…
06-08 05:52:28	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x56f3f8…
06-07 11:56:30	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$3	0xd1f53c…
06-07 11:55:52	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xe9cc96…
06-07 11:54:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa91ba8…
06-07 11:52:33	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	350	1¢	$4	0x2de69d…
06-07 11:52:09	Will ByteDance have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x53a5c6…
06-07 11:51:48	Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xecbbad…
06-07 11:51:22	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x3dbed9…
05-31 00:02:23	Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist for 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x839c09…
05-30 08:18:56	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2e9db6…
05-28 13:57:59	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xae4fac…
05-28 11:14:43	Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x395880…
05-28 08:20:51	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0xa16638…
05-28 05:49:53	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x95945f…
05-28 04:33:53	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc94892…
05-28 03:00:17	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x299a33…
05-27 17:37:06	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe44326…
05-27 17:37:06	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xe3e3aa…
05-27 17:37:06	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	136	1¢	$2	0x955d4c…
05-27 17:37:06	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	42	1¢	$1	0x753783…
05-27 11:48:14	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xc661b3…
05-27 10:53:10	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	400	1¢	$6	0x057e4f…
05-27 04:12:57	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x34de60…
05-27 01:56:22	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x66ad8d…
05-26 12:01:48	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	366	1¢	$5	0x9db884…
05-26 11:59:46	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x43d4b1…
05-26 07:22:07	Will ByteDance have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x60ae96…
05-25 13:20:34	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x23a6b4…
05-25 13:01:01	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$3	0x5f685c…
05-25 08:52:42	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x33afff…
05-25 01:57:03	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x08558d…
05-25 01:36:13	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0x96b9d9…
05-25 01:11:34	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x80a3a5…
05-25 00:21:17	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x0101f3…
05-25 00:00:58	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	157	5¢	$8	0x074379…
05-24 20:51:21	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x162d97…
05-24 15:00:07	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0x381f89…
05-24 14:11:16	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x53d38f…
05-22 11:26:41	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd34b29…
05-22 10:14:59	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x74463a…
05-21 14:47:37	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc5cd46…
05-21 06:51:13	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0x0d9fc1…
05-18 13:20:01	Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x60ec0c…
05-18 12:59:01	Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x7a5378…
05-17 23:41:48	Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0f2539…
05-15 12:35:20	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x22ffd1…
05-15 11:16:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 15?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9ca8fe…
05-15 10:22:25	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x31c387…
05-15 10:22:01	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x666825…
05-15 07:08:09	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$15	0x040d6c…
05-15 07:07:07	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xba9a71…
05-14 20:52:03	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	597	2¢	$10	0xf8ee63…
05-14 16:18:46	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8f72fd…
05-14 07:13:05	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x420459…
05-12 10:34:22	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xda54c1…
05-12 06:51:46	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	600	2¢	$14	0x01b772…
05-12 06:51:07	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	571	2¢	$14	0x57f0fa…
05-12 06:50:27	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	229	2¢	$5	0x0c34b5…
05-12 01:34:47	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	800	2¢	$19	0xb99f59…
05-11 19:16:33	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x07eb13…
05-11 05:51:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	54	34¢	$18	0xbb0a4e…
05-11 05:49:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x0e8e32…
05-11 05:48:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xb41d0e…
05-11 05:47:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	46	38¢	$18	0x7a7fd7…
05-11 05:31:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x8969de…
05-11 05:31:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x0f0364…
05-11 01:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 11?	No	SELL	24	49¢	$12	0xe47130…
05-11 01:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 11?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x85f2f3…
05-11 01:29:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 11?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xe35ee3…
05-11 01:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 11?	No	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x90e942…