Realized P&L
-$1.56K
Unrealized P&L
+$62
Hit rate
49.6%
Resolved
351
Trades
677
lifetime
Volume
$18.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$225
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 06-13 21:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Crypto
56%
64%
-$629
Other
25%
45%
-$616
Politics
14%
35%
-$122
Sports
5%
44%
-$196
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-13).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | No | -57 | -$54 | 97¢ | $-56 | -$2 | 05-05 19:54 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | -53 | -$39 | 90¢ | $-47 | -$8 | 05-05 19:55 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | -48 | -$43 | 98¢ | $-47 | -$4 | 06-13 21:23 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | -500 | -$37 | 4¢ | $-20 | +$18 | 05-05 19:53 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | -55 | -$18 | 31¢ | $-17 | +$1 | 06-13 21:23 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -113 | -$23 | 13¢ | $-15 | +$8 | 05-05 19:56 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -245 | -$42 | 6¢ | $-15 | +$27 | 05-05 19:54 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | -406 | -$26 | 1¢ | $-6 | +$20 | 06-13 21:24 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | -37 | -$6 | 8¢ | $-3 | +$3 | 06-13 21:21 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | 6 | $811 | 30,382 | 382 | +30,000 | Yes | -$58 | 03-24 17:23 |
| lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad | 1 | $500 | 1,316 | 0 | +1,316 | No | -$500 | 04-18 12:22 |
| sea fio int 2026 03 22 int | 2 | $348 | 273 | 272 | +1 | No | +$196 | 03-22 22:37 |
| will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529 | 2 | $249 | 127 | 127 | +0 | Yes | +$0 | 03-24 23:00 |
| lal bar ray 2026 03 22 bar | 11 | $244 | 610 | 610 | +0 | Yes | +$0 | 03-22 11:25 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | 1 | $228 | 1,344 | 0 | +1,344 | No | -$228 | 06-13 21:28 |
| will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026 | 15 | $216 | 990 | 536 | +455 | No | -$34 | 03-28 02:01 |
| lal rea mad 2026 03 22 rea | 3 | $216 | 143 | 143 | -0 | Yes | +$67 | 03-22 21:57 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 21:10 UTC | 2 | $211 | 195 | 188 | +7 | Down | +$11 | 03-31 21:13 |
| SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 22:45 UTC | 2 | $204 | 485 | 0 | +485 | Up | -$39 | 03-24 22:56 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 2 | $200 | 220 | 220 | +0 | Yes | -$2 | 03-23 21:30 |
| will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165 | 5 | $198 | 152 | 152 | +0 | No | +$98 | 03-31 00:51 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 4 | $197 | 548 | 548 | +0 | No | +$0 | 03-22 12:50 |
| sea rom lec 2026 03 22 rom | 2 | $191 | 116 | 116 | +0 | Yes | +$42 | 03-22 19:20 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 3 | $190 | 339 | 339 | +0 | Yes | +$54 | 03-24 19:15 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 22:45 UTC | 2 | $177 | 462 | 0 | +462 | Up | -$177 | 03-24 22:55 |
| lal rea mad 2026 03 22 mad | 2 | $147 | 259 | 259 | +0 | No | -$3 | 03-22 19:57 |
| lol g2 blg 2026 03 22 | 3 | $145 | 263 | 263 | -0 | Bilibili Gaming | -$3 | 03-22 11:55 |
| dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 03 27 | 2 | $140 | 121 | 121 | +0 | Xtreme Gaming | +$102 | 03-28 01:21 |
| ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 19:45 UTC | 1 | $125 | 165 | 0 | +165 | Down | +$40 | 03-24 19:46 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 19:45 UTC | 1 | $125 | 178 | 0 | +178 | Down | +$53 | 03-24 19:46 |
| SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 19:30 UTC | 1 | $125 | 181 | 0 | +181 | Down | +$56 | 03-24 19:32 |
| ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 21:15 UTC | 1 | $125 | 187 | 0 | +187 | Up | -$125 | 03-24 21:17 |
| SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 20:15 UTC | 1 | $125 | 223 | 0 | +223 | Up | -$125 | 03-24 20:17 |
| ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 19:15 UTC | 1 | $125 | 230 | 0 | +230 | Down | +$105 | 03-24 19:16 |
| SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 21:15 UTC | 1 | $125 | 191 | 0 | +191 | Up | -$125 | 03-24 21:17 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 19:30 UTC | 1 | $124 | 208 | 0 | +208 | Down | +$84 | 03-24 19:31 |
| ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 20:00 UTC | 1 | $124 | 176 | 0 | +176 | Up | +$52 | 03-24 20:01 |
| SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 19:15 UTC | 1 | $124 | 205 | 0 | +205 | Down | +$80 | 03-24 19:17 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 19:15 UTC | 1 | $124 | 234 | 0 | +234 | Down | +$110 | 03-24 19:16 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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