Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$694

Unrealized P&L

+$567

Hit rate

92.1%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

110 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$25.1K

$48.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$436

Open exposure

$10.2K

8 positions

First seen

2026-08-25

last 11-06 23:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Politics

62% 86% +$186

Other

32% 89% +$832

Pop-Culture

4% 100% +$37

Tech

2% 100% +$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+4,924	$4,638	96¢	$4.7K	+$77	11-06 23:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,850	$1,424	86¢	$1.6K	+$176	11-05 19:21
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,737	$1,500	88¢	$1.5K	+$37	11-03 09:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	+797	$693	96¢	$761	+$68	09-25 19:11
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?	No	+736	$632	89¢	$655	+$23	09-21 08:18
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	+658	$500	92¢	$609	+$109	10-01 10:05
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?	No	+334	$200	83¢	$277	+$77	10-01 15:16
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	+$0	10-08 13:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	17	$11.8K	7,767	5,917	+1,850	open	—	11-05 19:21
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	9	$4.6K	4,924	0	+4,924	open	—	11-06 23:12
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	3	$3.5K	2,856	1,677	+1,180	No	-$245	09-09 21:20
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	4	$3.0K	3,193	0	+3,193	No	+$228	10-19 13:10
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	5	$2.3K	1,202	1,202	+0	open	—	10-08 13:37
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	4	$1.9K	1,002	1,002	+0	No	+$37	10-02 09:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	5	$1.9K	1,786	300	+1,486	No	+$160	10-13 20:18
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.5K	1,737	0	+1,737	open	—	11-03 09:51
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	2	$1.5K	1,626	0	+1,626	No	+$126	09-22 15:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	1	$1.4K	1,382	0	+1,382	No	+$19	08-25 17:49
Will Russia enter Moskovka by September 30?	4	$1.2K	1,322	0	+1,322	No	+$169	09-28 21:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,236	0	+1,236	No	+$136	09-13 20:45
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	5	$1.1K	847	847	+0	open	—	10-17 12:31
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800?	1	$1.0K	1,084	0	+1,084	Yes	+$34	09-06 18:48
will steve witkoff visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126051	1	$1.0K	1,086	0	+1,086	Yes	+$44	09-05 09:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	1	$826	868	0	+868	No	+$42	10-02 09:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	1	$693	797	0	+797	open	—	09-25 19:11
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?	2	$632	736	0	+736	open	—	09-21 08:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$618	361	361	+0	open	—	11-06 16:00
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	3	$592	343	343	+0	Yes	+$2	10-16 15:35
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 9, 2026?	2	$503	279	279	+0	Yes	-$27	10-09 12:18
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	1	$500	658	0	+658	open	—	10-01 10:05
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	1	$480	506	0	+506	No	+$26	09-16 07:16
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?	2	$435	243	243	+0	No	+$35	09-19 08:18
Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?	3	$400	515	0	+515	No	+$115	10-08 10:11
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?	2	$323	367	0	+367	Yes	+$44	10-17 09:27
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 17, 2026?	1	$297	351	0	+351	Yes	+$54	10-16 15:42
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 11, 2026?	1	$251	252	0	+252	Yes	+$1	10-11 06:47
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 10, 2026?	1	$238	251	0	+251	Yes	+$13	10-09 17:28
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	5	$225	150	150	+0	No	-$13	10-31 12:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 23:12:06	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	990	95¢	$941	0x1488b6…
11-06 22:28:48	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x9f42e9…
11-06 21:55:37	Will Russia target Kyiv on November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xca3682…
11-06 20:11:57	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0xcc7010…
11-06 18:46:15	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,559	96¢	$1,500	0x293a29…
11-06 16:00:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	361	88¢	$318	0x134621…
11-05 19:21:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	585	85¢	$500	0xefef58…
11-05 19:20:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0x6bae7a…
11-05 19:18:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0xefd516…
11-05 19:17:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	376	85¢	$320	0xf14887…
11-04 21:19:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	747	88¢	$657	0xe81d37…
11-04 19:31:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	88¢	$62	0xd23bb5…
11-04 19:05:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x165f24…
11-04 18:37:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	920	88¢	$810	0xdced16…
11-04 18:24:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	113	88¢	$100	0x5cffbd…
11-04 18:04:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x0c46b6…
11-04 17:52:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xd3ce38…
11-04 17:52:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,877	88¢	$3,414	0xbd349c…
11-04 17:52:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0xab7b38…
11-04 09:12:22	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	223	90¢	$200	0x799024…
11-03 14:25:04	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,104	91¢	$1,000	0xe2dc06…
11-03 09:51:28	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,737	86¢	$1,500	0xacf03a…
11-01 20:19:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	361	83¢	$300	0x4e0935…
10-31 14:35:27	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	82¢	$63	0xf0edc8…
10-31 12:05:45	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$63	0xab2526…
10-28 19:53:23	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	65	67¢	$43	0x4732a8…
10-28 19:50:52	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	50¢	$38	0x57995c…
10-28 19:47:38	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xb7e8c6…
10-27 20:42:47	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	89¢	$76	0xfb90b4…
10-27 18:40:00	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0xe01ad4…
10-27 18:39:51	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5d335a…
10-27 18:12:23	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0x5f03c4…
10-26 07:47:41	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	83¢	$86	0xe32223…
10-24 20:17:23	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	89¢	$76	0xd72977…
10-23 19:59:11	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	78¢	$60	0x6076cd…
10-23 19:44:08	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	54¢	$60	0x334b4e…
10-19 13:10:05	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	399	92¢	$367	0x8b4faa…
10-17 16:02:53	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	652	94¢	$613	0xcf283a…
10-17 12:31:05	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	515	69¢	$356	0x9584c2…
10-17 09:27:11	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	81¢	$23	0xfbfd39…
10-17 03:12:39	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	338	89¢	$300	0xed7127…
10-16 23:59:20	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x8d9f70…
10-16 23:47:18	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x52d8b5…
10-16 21:43:27	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	69¢	$22	0x2bdfb0…
10-16 15:42:19	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	351	85¢	$297	0xedfc1c…
10-16 15:35:39	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	87¢	$87	0x826295…
10-16 15:34:36	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	242	86¢	$210	0x3542e6…
10-16 11:05:07	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,581	94¢	$1,486	0x6d7ca9…
10-13 20:19:01	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	343	86¢	$295	0xfd865c…
10-13 20:18:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	300	98¢	$295	0x704641…
10-12 12:53:38	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	358	96¢	$343	0xf35f18…
10-12 11:07:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,381	84¢	$2,000	0x12479a…
10-11 06:47:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	252	100¢	$251	0x06f5b8…
10-09 17:28:17	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	251	95¢	$238	0x7e2b91…
10-09 12:18:55	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	279	85¢	$238	0xb73fa5…
10-08 13:42:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	711	91¢	$647	0x488022…
10-08 13:37:09	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	687	94¢	$646	0x40238d…
10-08 12:31:48	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8ef978…
10-08 11:41:29	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	279	95¢	$265	0xbb5ece…
10-08 10:35:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,264	87¢	$1,100	0xc6f38c…
10-08 10:11:11	Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x652286…
10-08 06:47:52	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x9b9570…
10-08 06:22:29	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	500	94¢	$470	0xbee0e3…
10-07 20:33:24	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	228	97¢	$220	0x3abf3b…
10-06 13:13:30	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x59f9b3…
10-05 17:42:32	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	490	88¢	$431	0x6e8665…
10-05 17:41:47	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	214	94¢	$200	0xd14cad…
10-05 15:54:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,170	85¢	$1,000	0x76143c…
10-05 13:15:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0xdfe97f…
10-04 12:49:11	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x61a1d3…
10-04 06:43:52	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	99¢	$109	0x4f7b87…
10-02 09:10:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	868	95¢	$826	0x824d95…
10-02 09:07:42	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	837	99¢	$825	0x0118dc…
10-01 21:53:56	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0xdcbb42…
10-01 21:53:26	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0x2c1960…
10-01 19:13:42	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x6cd6a6…
10-01 19:13:03	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0xe1c0a5…
10-01 15:20:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,102	87¢	$959	0x881513…
10-01 15:19:32	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0xb4a764…
10-01 15:16:21	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?	No	BUY	334	60¢	$200	0x6fc740…
10-01 10:05:17	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	658	76¢	$500	0x36327f…
10-01 10:02:18	Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0xf48e92…
10-01 10:00:35	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x5c4532…
09-28 21:05:26	Will Russia enter Moskovka by September 30?	No	BUY	215	98¢	$210	0xa8648a…
09-27 13:21:17	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	BUY	1,002	95¢	$950	0x2b1ca8…
09-27 13:20:45	Will Russia target Kyiv on September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	95¢	$200	0x4b737f…
09-26 18:12:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on September 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0xdcd124…
09-25 19:11:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	797	87¢	$693	0xe0eee2…
09-25 19:04:33	Will Russia enter Moskovka by September 30?	No	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0x2f1198…
09-25 18:53:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on September 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xb23012…
09-25 18:52:39	Will Russia target Kyiv on September 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x704a45…
09-23 09:08:43	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	BUY	1,202	94¢	$1,130	0x97ca6a…
09-23 09:05:10	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0x1c0b57…
09-22 15:00:25	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	BUY	551	91¢	$500	0x22ab95…
09-21 08:18:14	Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	86¢	$32	0x1c4423…
09-20 04:33:46	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	BUY	1,075	93¢	$1,000	0x9432cc…
09-19 21:04:47	Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?	No	BUY	171	59¢	$100	0x373fd7…
09-19 20:44:14	Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	699	86¢	$600	0x822ead…
09-19 08:36:52	Will Russia enter Moskovka by September 30?	No	BUY	277	88¢	$243	0x0aa069…
09-19 08:18:55	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?	No	SELL	243	97¢	$235	0x933b8a…