Realized P&L (90d)
-$45
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
3.0%
Resolved (90d)
45
Trades (90d)
3
1,057 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$6
$3.52K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$40
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 08-26 08:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Politics
49% 2% -$73
Other
23% 20% -$19
Tech
14% — —
Sports
11% 20% -$9
Crypto
4% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +31 $14 98¢ $30 +$17 07-09 20:54
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +7 $2 96¢ $7 +$5 07-09 17:23
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes +5 $3 29¢ $1 -$2 07-05 21:49
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $3 6¢ $1 -$2 06-28 22:14
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +45 $5 1¢ $1 -$4 06-28 21:31
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +3 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-08 22:12
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +9 $6 2¢ $0 -$6 07-10 05:36
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 07-06 09:54