Verifiable-Level-Conviction 0x2e2f62…c56884
6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$158
Unrealized P&L
-$850
Hit rate
80.1%
Resolved
231
Trades
425
lifetime
Volume
$14.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$3.50K
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 10-25 07:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Tech
39% 82% +$9
Other
36% 77% +$227
Crypto
13% 83% -$127
Sports
9% 58% -$329
Politics
2% 100% +$61
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,076 $788 54¢ $575 -$212 09-28 20:39
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +656 $546 82¢ $541 -$5 10-19 13:20
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +509 $457 92¢ $470 +$14 10-02 00:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +401 $313 96¢ $385 +$72 10-06 16:36
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +395 $350 84¢ $329 -$21 09-18 09:27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +582 $490 46¢ $268 -$222 09-25 09:35
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +363 $298 70¢ $256 -$42 09-08 15:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +246 $199 77¢ $189 -$10 10-17 13:38
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +99 $89 94¢ $93 +$4 10-22 17:29
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +152 $132 55¢ $84 -$48 07-17 22:21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +130 $92 64¢ $84 -$8 06-23 20:12
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +62 $50 96¢ $59 +$9 07-15 02:17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +511 $436 11¢ $55 -$381 09-17 18:39
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +49 $40 97¢ $47 +$7 07-13 15:10
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +32 $28 68¢ $22 -$6 08-01 02:03
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +22 $20 96¢ $21 +$1 09-29 05:12
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes +26 $20 73¢ $19 -$1 09-28 20:13