Realized P&L
+$748
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved
232
Trades
1,544
lifetime
Volume
$47.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$1.33K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-26 21:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 116 days
Categories
Other
46% 37% -$424
Politics
45% 49% +$819
Sports
7% 42% +$269
Pop-Culture
1% 67% +$51
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -435 -$416 92¢ $-399 +$17 09-28 06:18
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +368 $280 78¢ $287 +$7 10-25 21:50
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +180 $148 86¢ $155 +$7 09-26 14:25
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -165 -$152 92¢ $-153 -$1 08-27 23:27
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No -100 -$91 84¢ $-84 +$6 07-25 21:25
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +12,621 $172 1¢ $76 -$97 10-11 16:17
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +439 $136 12¢ $50 -$86 08-09 20:13
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +440 $274 10¢ $45 -$230 09-27 10:55
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes -31 -$30 97¢ $-30 $0 10-11 10:26
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -4,000 -$88 1¢ $-26 +$62 05-07 10:58
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -867 -$303 2¢ $-13 +$290 07-13 03:08
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt4 before 2027 Yes +20 -$43 23¢ $5 +$47 10-23 16:06
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -200 $0 1¢ $-2 -$2 07-06 19:01
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? No +12 $7 14¢ $2 -$6 09-27 10:55
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -230 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$1 10-13 06:27
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -43 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 10-13 06:27
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -30 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 10-13 06:28