Mad-Jelly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

268

lifetime

Volume

$267

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-11 00:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

50% 0% $-0

Politics

20% — —

Crypto

15% — —

Tech

7% — —

Sports

6% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	14	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	03-01 00:43
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-31 01:44
Will the Chicago Mercantile Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-06 00:52
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-23 00:40
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-26 00:48
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-20 02:37
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 160 179	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-09 00:34
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-17 01:30
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	03-11 01:03
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-16 00:44
will bayern mnchen reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-17 01:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 00:35
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-05 06:44
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-19 02:21
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-01 00:26
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 00:36
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 00:35
wix quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 1pt47	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 01:02
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 00:41
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-10 00:53
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-25 01:34
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 00:40
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 09:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-27 00:40
bitcoin above 62k on march 22	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 01:30
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 00:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-19 00:35
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 00:33
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-10 01:03
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 01:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 00:56:31	xrp above 0pt6 on june 13 2026	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x315be8…
06-11 00:54:57	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x15c545…
06-11 00:34:19	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x27c705…
06-11 00:29:12	xrp above 0pt6 on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd48dd4…
06-10 00:53:19	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xef1329…
06-10 00:53:04	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7e6ff8…
06-10 00:26:09	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5f52df…
06-10 00:22:37	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1a7a56…
06-09 00:44:57	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 30 20260607232624537	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa0c55a…
06-09 00:44:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x847db8…
06-09 00:35:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8d0147…
06-09 00:31:51	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 30 20260607232624537	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x97e629…
06-08 00:38:46	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6f5ce3…
06-08 00:38:33	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x034c9c…
06-08 00:26:55	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1b4570…
06-08 00:23:48	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5d2ba3…
06-06 00:44:48	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa46643…
06-06 00:11:55	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x324341…
06-05 00:50:19	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x32cec6…
06-05 00:49:21	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6590f1…
06-05 00:24:37	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf3a3a7…
06-05 00:22:49	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9e1430…
06-04 03:04:03	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xee4a82…
06-04 03:03:46	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2e32ec…
06-04 03:01:13	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x52e2c3…
06-04 00:35:06	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1924d7…
06-03 10:23:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 6?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5f975a…
06-03 10:22:50	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2cb2bd…
06-03 10:05:01	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb21493…
06-03 10:00:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x020512…
06-02 00:31:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x51233a…
06-02 00:18:38	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9cb9bd…
06-01 01:20:52	Israeli forces enter Choukine by May 31?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x5bb121…
06-01 01:17:09	Israeli forces enter Choukine by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x69fe8e…
06-01 00:48:27	Israeli forces enter Choukine by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x609b2c…
05-30 00:41:55	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe512b2…
05-29 00:52:22	open above 1pt5 on may 29 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x843430…
05-29 00:51:56	open above 1pt5 on may 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x500a74…
05-28 00:33:54	GTA VI released before November 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb4f012…
05-28 00:18:54	GTA VI released before November 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb1df1e…
05-27 00:40:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9be4bf…
05-27 00:28:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5a5921…
05-26 00:48:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xdaa3ec…
05-26 00:20:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x69b41b…
05-26 00:14:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa360cb…
05-25 01:34:49	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd0f072…
05-25 01:34:33	Will the price of Solana be above $40 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4d15c2…
05-25 01:14:19	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x512b33…
05-25 01:11:43	Will the price of Solana be above $40 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5eff58…
05-19 00:35:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x60462f…
05-19 00:31:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x70d34b…
05-14 00:33:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9bc6e5…
05-14 00:21:26	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5df300…
05-12 00:30:12	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe916b6…
05-12 00:17:01	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8b01f2…
05-09 00:21:03	Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xab2f60…
05-09 00:11:26	Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdf211b…
05-08 00:22:20	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe23f18…
05-08 00:13:24	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf05e89…
05-07 00:08:07	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4dd88f…
05-06 23:57:35	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6b2980…
05-06 00:07:24	Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6d3aba…
05-06 00:05:00	Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xed692b…
05-05 06:46:34	Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2a44fc…
05-05 06:44:12	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5b63f1…
05-05 06:40:56	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe9e49f…
05-05 06:37:58	Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xffd8a7…
05-04 00:49:24	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe60d12…
05-04 00:39:52	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xac1560…
04-30 00:21:16	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x99e815…
04-30 00:20:50	Another crypto hack over $100m by April 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8b8bd9…
04-30 00:16:20	Another crypto hack over $100m by April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xde698c…
04-30 00:09:50	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9cc489…
04-29 00:32:44	megaeth fdv above 500m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe27b26…
04-29 00:30:42	megaeth fdv above 500m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2c46f1…
04-28 01:00:22	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xce5fe9…
04-28 01:00:14	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9e688f…
04-28 00:57:30	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x46f30f…
04-28 00:51:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd0e73c…
04-27 00:36:10	Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x60783d…
04-27 00:35:56	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x63a9e5…
04-27 00:32:54	Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5abdfc…
04-27 00:25:56	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbf0ba9…
04-25 00:41:22	Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe602e4…
04-25 00:41:00	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb5b754…
04-25 00:34:26	Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb835f6…
04-25 00:26:12	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7991f1…
04-24 00:45:44	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x49898e…
04-24 00:45:26	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa91fa9…
04-24 00:42:54	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe40f3b…
04-24 00:30:08	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbcfb40…
04-23 05:38:20	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 April 20-26?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x893c89…
04-23 05:37:56	GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb05194…
04-23 05:31:30	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4e5048…
04-23 05:26:46	GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x33134f…
04-21 00:34:18	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x6738c4…
04-21 00:33:58	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x838a44…
04-21 00:31:42	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc512c3…
04-21 00:20:04	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xddadf0…
04-20 00:23:22	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe591bb…