Mad-Jelly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

370

lifetime

Volume

$368

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 08-03 00:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

54% 0% $-0

Politics

23% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Sports

5% 0% $-0

Tech

5% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	14	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	03-01 00:43
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-31 01:44
Will the Chicago Mercantile Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-06 00:52
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-23 00:40
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-26 00:48
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-20 02:37
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-23 00:59
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 160 179	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-09 00:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 09:56
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-06 00:14
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-17 01:30
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	03-11 01:03
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-16 00:44
will bayern mnchen reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-17 01:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 00:35
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-05 06:44
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-19 02:21
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-01 00:26
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 00:36
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 00:35
Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-09 09:18
wix quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 1pt47	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 01:02
will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	06-15 00:48
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 00:41
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-10 00:53
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-25 01:34
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 00:40
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 09:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-27 00:40
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-29 00:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 00:34:29	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x00e0b5…
08-03 00:22:00	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x009f6c…
07-31 00:43:45	will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260727151618909	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4d38dc…
07-31 00:33:11	will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260727151618909	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x33e9f7…
07-30 01:03:06	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4bfe10…
07-30 00:46:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6ee456…
07-28 01:28:49	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa676d0…
07-28 01:15:07	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x081045…
07-27 00:40:27	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc5f883…
07-27 00:17:46	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf054cc…
07-25 00:52:09	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbdb862…
07-25 00:45:51	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x29a199…
07-24 09:43:22	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 23 2026 20260722224646692	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf626da…
07-24 09:33:25	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 23 2026 20260722224646692	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf1dc89…
07-23 00:56:12	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xcc6522…
07-23 00:55:55	Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x367226…
07-23 00:49:25	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x11cb53…
07-23 00:43:45	Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x640e2d…
07-22 00:57:34	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2649a3…
07-22 00:57:19	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc0a3a8…
07-22 00:41:25	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xabac47…
07-22 00:39:04	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe76b2c…
07-21 09:52:01	over 250k committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129594	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x267c44…
07-21 09:51:43	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd47633…
07-20 00:57:36	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1bd4d6…
07-20 00:43:42	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x74c553…
07-18 01:02:54	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x97fdb4…
07-18 00:52:27	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb916a9…
07-17 09:38:10	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4ee593…
07-17 09:30:18	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbd7f72…
07-16 00:30:17	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 17 2026 20260714210303207	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb1e543…
07-16 00:29:53	will bts perform at the 2026 fifa world cup final halftime show 20260706143941002	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdf1713…
07-16 00:06:23	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 17 2026 20260714210303207	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x627782…
07-16 00:04:47	will bts perform at the 2026 fifa world cup final halftime show 20260706143941002	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8eef4d…
07-15 00:44:19	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfc0dff…
07-15 00:44:02	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfa0a27…
07-15 00:34:08	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe36a0a…
07-15 00:27:14	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc6531a…
07-14 06:59:35	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc82b93…
07-14 06:59:17	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb04566…
07-14 06:51:10	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x98e15a…
07-14 06:48:26	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x601336…
07-13 00:28:59	over 2m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325641	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x27c054…
07-13 00:02:13	over 2m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325641	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd81940…
07-10 00:16:37	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcb6c2d…
07-10 00:16:17	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x576d37…
07-09 23:58:41	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9f80c1…
07-09 23:57:01	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xec4449…
07-09 09:18:14	Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xee20f5…
07-09 09:10:31	Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8a614d…
07-08 00:25:37	iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x03755e…
07-08 00:05:49	iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc6a1c…
07-07 10:03:02	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x56fd25…
07-07 09:48:44	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x56b235…
07-06 00:14:49	will anyone say rick 20 times during rick and morty e7 s9 20260630142926977	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x51b944…
07-06 00:14:31	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5b1562…
07-06 00:06:55	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x752294…
07-06 00:02:35	will anyone say rick 20 times during rick and morty e7 s9 20260630142926977	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f7ec2…
07-04 00:17:37	Will Truist fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x41b576…
07-04 00:08:01	Will Truist fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa9acfa…
07-03 01:22:16	Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x604f03…
07-03 01:12:31	Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe2188d…
07-02 00:42:58	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8edc6c…
07-02 00:41:55	will polymarket mindshare hit 70 by december 31 20260630144203054	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8706bc…
07-02 00:12:20	will polymarket mindshare hit 70 by december 31 20260630144203054	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x19d57a…
07-02 00:09:19	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xded9b9…
07-01 00:27:47	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6d4d48…
07-01 00:17:41	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x148ba7…
06-30 06:26:46	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026 12	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeddd74…
06-30 04:44:56	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb60bec…
06-29 00:29:59	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe03a35…
06-29 00:22:01	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5b1b6c…
06-27 00:27:20	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeaf8dd…
06-27 00:14:16	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x04267b…
06-26 09:56:22	will marco rubio attend nato summit	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xda0acd…
06-26 09:56:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf54786…
06-26 09:44:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0a8376…
06-26 09:40:32	will marco rubio attend nato summit	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2f8a35…
06-25 00:43:11	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3c7a7e…
06-25 00:21:37	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x76152c…
06-24 03:51:19	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x436830…
06-24 03:51:02	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc2f85c…
06-24 03:34:53	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfbf326…
06-24 03:18:38	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x204bc4…
06-23 01:00:17	will the announcers say header during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729501	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe523d2…
06-23 00:59:56	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa8356b…
06-23 00:44:46	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcbdaf3…
06-23 00:40:52	will the announcers say header during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729501	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6594bd…
06-22 07:26:13	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x72892d…
06-22 07:15:22	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x00e58f…
06-21 01:02:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1a22d5…
06-21 00:46:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbfb78b…
06-16 00:56:39	will spacex have fewer than 11 launches in june 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3e9f1f…
06-15 00:48:55	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xca086a…
06-15 00:48:40	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd09002…
06-15 00:39:21	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x10b20c…
06-15 00:37:28	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa0df06…
06-13 00:35:30	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7ed51d…
06-12 00:30:55	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbde2ee…
06-12 00:30:30	will decibel launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6028df…