Agile-Mambo 0x31060e…0cd672 Create alert
whale hot 10W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$10.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.79K
Hit rate
78.6%
Resolved
144
Trades
1,339
lifetime
Volume
$118.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$88
Open exposure
$10.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 11-04 18:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Politics
59% 64% +$11,897
Other
36% 52% -$1,157
Sports
4% 38% +$125
Crypto
0% 0% -$22
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,664 $2,144 92¢ $2.5K +$307 11-04 08:20
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +2,298 $1,295 100¢ $2.3K +$1,003 11-03 23:54
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,900 $872 92¢ $1.7K +$876 11-04 02:33
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +1,416 $243 100¢ $1.4K +$1,166 11-03 02:09
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -834 -$822 99¢ $-828 -$5 10-15 17:24
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +858 $561 68¢ $579 +$19 10-15 17:25
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? Yes +314 $52 99¢ $312 +$260 10-02 20:29
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +233 $171 76¢ $177 +$7 11-04 18:29
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -150 -$144 100¢ $-149 -$5 05-28 22:07
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +116 $55 100¢ $116 +$62 10-17 18:32
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -75 -$61 96¢ $-72 -$11 09-25 19:48
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +100 $39 70¢ $70 +$31 11-01 20:20
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -59 -$36 97¢ $-57 -$21 09-04 21:17
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +300 $28 18¢ $54 +$26 10-29 17:51
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No -50 -$44 99¢ $-50 -$6 05-28 22:10
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +46 $30 92¢ $43 +$13 08-29 20:35
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? Yes +40 -$2 100¢ $40 +$42 11-04 09:16
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +32 $10 99¢ $32 +$22 11-03 01:35
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +200 $28 14¢ $28 $0 09-15 14:32
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +836 $26 3¢ $26 $0 10-17 04:43
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $16 24¢ $24 +$8 09-13 00:49
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +23 $20 94¢ $21 +$1 08-16 18:32
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $26 19¢ $19 -$7 10-17 04:42
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -20 -$10 95¢ $-19 -$9 05-22 14:50
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -187 -$39 8¢ $-16 +$23 05-18 16:00
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -11 -$11 97¢ $-11 $0 07-15 15:08
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -105 -$9 8¢ $-9 +$0 09-04 21:19
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $5 5¢ $5 -$1 09-12 23:37
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$3 3¢ $-3 -$1 09-10 16:42
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? Yes +20 $8 1¢ $0 -$8 09-23 23:51