Vigilant-Twins — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

88.0%

Resolved

Trades

328

lifetime

Volume

$9.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$12

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 07-21 08:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

62% 56% $-1

Crypto

22% 100% +$0

Sports

15% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$10	98¢	$10	+$0	07-03 09:28
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	06-28 17:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	44¢	$1	$-0	07-13 20:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
over 14m committed to the laso finance public sale	4	$1.3K	675	675	+0	open	—	07-01 18:46
crint ind3 bgd3 2026 06 25	5	$791	398	398	+0	open	—	06-25 16:36
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$703	355	355	+0	open	—	07-04 15:10
Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$695	350	350	+0	open	—	07-04 14:55
will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	2	$619	310	310	+0	open	—	07-11 18:43
crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 04	2	$603	303	303	+0	open	—	07-04 17:09
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	2	$599	300	300	+0	open	—	07-11 18:44
will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	2	$579	290	290	+0	open	—	07-15 17:05
crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 19	5	$521	273	273	+0	open	—	07-19 18:05
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts first half	2	$462	233	233	+0	open	—	07-19 19:53
crint zaf3 bgd3 2026 06 28	4	$410	210	210	+0	open	—	06-28 12:47
crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 16	3	$406	206	206	+0	open	—	07-16 19:43
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts first half	2	$300	150	150	+0	open	—	07-09 20:55
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 btts	2	$210	110	110	+0	open	—	07-04 19:04
will bitcoin reach 66k on july 3	4	$124	62	62	+0	open	—	07-03 21:41
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings	4	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	05-23 17:39
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	4	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	05-18 18:03
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	05-29 19:13
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	4	$51	29	29	+0	Royal Challengers Bangalore	+$7	05-13 18:46
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	05-16 18:29
btc updown 5m 1775407800	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-05 16:55
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	3	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	04-27 16:49
Bitcoin above 80,000 on May 9, 3PM ET?	3	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 19:05
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 penalty shootout	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	07-09 21:28
crint ind3 pak3 2026 06 14	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-14 16:42
taylor swift x travis kelce get married by august 31	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	06-30 19:42
crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 06	2	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	07-06 08:47
cricipl raj roy 2026 04 10	4	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	04-10 18:11
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Multan Sultans	3	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-21 17:13
cricipl pun sun 2026 04 11	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-11 14:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 08:37:15	crint wst2 nzl7 2026 07 21 completed match	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf95bf3…
07-19 19:53:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts first half	No	SELL	233	100¢	$232	0xe6d97e…
07-19 19:48:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts first half	No	BUY	233	99¢	$230	0x627314…
07-19 18:05:21	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 19	England	SELL	270	100¢	$270	0x05959f…
07-19 18:00:48	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 19	England	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd3a93a…
07-19 17:50:42	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 19	England	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0xb7358e…
07-19 17:50:00	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 19	India	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x029138…
07-19 17:43:12	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 19	India	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1cd775…
07-18 18:17:06	cricmlc los was 2026 07 18 completed match	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcea858…
07-17 18:59:49	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6fc4a0…
07-17 18:58:09	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa6d045…
07-17 14:13:25	crict20lpl jaf gal 2026 07 17 completed match	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7adb1a…
07-17 14:05:19	crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 17	Bangladesh	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfc5f05…
07-17 13:03:27	crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 17	Bangladesh	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7bedb7…
07-16 19:43:28	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 16	England	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0x8797fd…
07-16 19:43:26	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 16	England	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x661adb…
07-16 19:32:01	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 16	England	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xfe7577…
07-16 08:35:23	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 16 completed match	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcf6471…
07-15 17:05:08	will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	290	100¢	$289	0x565892…
07-15 17:03:02	will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xa81eed…
07-14 20:36:44	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 penalty shootout	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x3c1232…
07-14 20:32:34	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 penalty shootout	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf1b56c…
07-14 19:30:13	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 penalty shootout	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x553a41…
07-14 15:37:59	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 14	India	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x2933f8…
07-14 11:41:49	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 14	India	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xfac468…
07-13 20:41:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdb4985…
07-13 20:19:40	atp kopriva prizmic 2026 07 13	Dino Prizmic	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb4f970…
07-12 17:59:23	bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xdd133e…
07-12 17:47:11	will lionel messi score 13 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232556159	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x098f97…
07-12 15:31:25	crint hun tur 2026 07 12	Hungary	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x00de5a…
07-12 15:29:52	crint irl7 wst4 2026 07 12	West Indies	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb54411…
07-12 13:38:50	crictelangana anv hyd 2026 07 11 completed match	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbc5e3e…
07-12 10:30:35	crint irl7 wst4 2026 07 12	West Indies	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6506b1…
07-11 18:44:50	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x204142…
07-11 18:43:46	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xfd71b6…
07-11 18:43:29	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	No	SELL	310	100¢	$309	0x0e3668…
07-11 18:42:56	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	No	BUY	310	100¢	$310	0xe254d0…
07-11 04:20:31	will bitcoin reach 71k on july 11	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08d506…
07-11 04:20:19	will bitcoin reach 72k on july 11	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x393280…
07-11 04:19:49	ethereum above 1830 on july 11 2026 1am et	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x05a806…
07-11 04:19:04	bitcoin above 65000 on july 11 2026 1am et	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0b2203…
07-11 04:11:53	crint wst2 nzl7 2026 07 11 completed match	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x88c386…
07-10 18:54:13	crict20blast mid sus 2026 07 10	Sussex	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xeae201…
07-10 18:44:49	crict20blast mid sus 2026 07 10	Sussex	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x991755…
07-10 14:43:52	cricmaharaja kal coa 2026 07 10 completed match	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8c88be…
07-09 21:28:04	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 penalty shootout	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x4e1bd8…
07-09 20:55:53	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts first half	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xd9f72d…
07-09 20:43:53	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts first half	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x345d2e…
07-09 20:20:49	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 penalty shootout	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa3e586…
07-09 18:23:29	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x511d38…
07-08 16:34:53	crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 09 completed match	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbdfbef…
07-07 18:44:58	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb987cc…
07-07 18:42:23	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7e0bb0…
07-06 08:47:07	crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 06	Bangladesh	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x188211…
07-06 08:40:46	crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 06	Bangladesh	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x876590…
07-06 08:38:10	crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 06 completed match	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4d2aa9…
07-05 14:40:07	crint gbr3 aus2 2026 07 05	Australia	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xda5484…
07-05 13:29:34	crint fin3 prt 2026 07 05 completed match	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x17ff39…
07-05 13:28:26	crint gbr3 aus2 2026 07 05 completed match	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x83c236…
07-04 19:29:16	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xbb457f…
07-04 19:04:37	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 btts	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xd79d81…
07-04 18:58:23	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 btts	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x936406…
07-04 18:39:41	ethereum above 1770 on july 4 2026 3pm et	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x84a124…
07-04 18:37:37	bitcoin above 64800 on july 4 2026 3pm et	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdda760…
07-04 17:10:07	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 04 completed match	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb9e4ba…
07-04 17:09:37	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 04	England	SELL	303	100¢	$303	0xb0c133…
07-04 16:55:52	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 04	England	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x8cee15…
07-04 15:10:05	Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	355	99¢	$351	0x9a516d…
07-04 15:09:23	Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	355	99¢	$352	0xbd6357…
07-04 14:55:10	Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	350	99¢	$347	0x75c016…
07-04 14:54:59	Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	350	99¢	$348	0x5720b2…
07-04 12:28:07	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 04 completed match	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc66499…
07-03 21:41:22	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 3	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xdc5983…
07-03 21:10:17	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 3	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x31b7cf…
07-03 21:10:17	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 3	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x29db0c…
07-03 21:09:20	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 3	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x04e98a…
07-03 20:54:32	will egypt reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120761	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3f0213…
07-03 20:09:34	will egypt reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120761	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x83a881…
07-03 09:28:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x174bb0…
07-03 09:24:35	btc updown 5m 1783070400	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe76530…
07-03 09:24:20	btc updown 5m 1783070400	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x48925a…
07-03 09:21:17	will cape verde reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120766	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb58fb9…
07-02 20:40:41	will algeria reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149747	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x588295…
07-02 20:35:41	will austria reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134504	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4e5416…
07-02 20:35:23	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf33849…
07-02 08:50:17	will bitcoin dip to 54k on july 2	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x880dc8…
07-02 08:49:16	will xrp reach 1pt3 on july 2	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2d3ba0…
07-02 08:48:59	will xrp dip to 0pt85 on july 2	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe557b6…
07-02 08:47:17	will solana dip to 55 on july 2	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ecaa4…
07-01 19:53:02	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xca61ec…
07-01 18:46:23	over 14m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	325	100¢	$324	0xf348aa…
07-01 18:46:05	over 14m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	325	100¢	$325	0x78bea1…
07-01 18:45:28	over 14m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	350	100¢	$349	0xe04de8…
07-01 18:44:11	over 14m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	350	100¢	$350	0x099355…
07-01 18:30:34	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbbd417…
06-30 19:42:22	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by august 31	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xad17ea…
06-30 19:41:22	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by august 31	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x44d0a2…
06-29 22:44:34	btc updown 5m 1782772800	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdf1fa1…
06-28 18:46:37	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa98ea4…
06-28 18:44:59	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9c82cf…