Upset-Jeans — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-25 12:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

47% 0% $-0

Politics

37% — —

Sports

16% 0% $-5

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	8	$733	428	428	+0	open	—	06-24 10:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	7	$532	580	580	+0	open	—	04-25 19:16
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$516	598	598	+0	No	$-5	04-22 02:52
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	5	$507	321	321	+0	open	—	06-05 00:11
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	7	$483	565	565	+0	open	—	06-07 03:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$474	538	538	+0	open	—	06-19 03:57
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	7	$466	287	287	+0	open	—	06-23 12:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$332	171	171	+0	open	—	03-21 06:14
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$331	172	172	+0	open	—	03-21 01:22
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$321	165	165	+0	open	—	03-16 17:30
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$303	155	155	+0	open	—	03-18 13:24
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	6	$294	238	238	+0	open	—	05-20 23:51
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$292	150	150	+0	open	—	03-16 23:38
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$282	471	471	+0	No	$-0	04-03 06:30
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	3	$275	170	170	+0	open	—	05-24 20:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$274	140	140	+0	open	—	05-30 17:08
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$274	139	139	+0	open	—	05-30 22:59
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$273	139	139	+0	open	—	03-22 16:23
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$272	138	138	+0	open	—	04-06 18:23
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	11	$270	501	501	+0	open	—	05-26 09:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$270	141	141	+0	open	—	03-26 14:07
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$255	130	130	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 15:21
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$254	129	129	+0	open	—	04-25 00:01
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$254	132	132	+0	No	$-0	04-26 00:48
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	2	$249	126	126	+0	open	—	05-29 23:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	5	$248	285	285	+0	open	—	06-06 07:03
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$241	122	122	+0	open	—	06-04 01:11
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	2	$238	243	0	+243	open	—	06-13 16:17
will robert macintyre win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$234	119	119	+0	open	—	03-17 11:29
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$233	119	119	+0	open	—	06-25 12:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 12:12:58	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	119	98¢	$116	0x5a9e33…
06-25 10:09:58	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	119	98¢	$117	0xe7f483…
06-24 21:20:01	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	129	90¢	$116	0x206625…
06-24 19:44:49	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	129	90¢	$116	0xff6ddf…
06-24 14:39:08	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	262	9¢	$23	0x19a739…
06-24 13:36:16	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	262	9¢	$24	0xff8121…
06-24 10:19:19	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	122	96¢	$117	0x7e806c…
06-24 08:01:46	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	122	96¢	$117	0xe02613…
06-23 12:49:19	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	133	81¢	$108	0xfb2969…
06-23 12:49:19	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x720d80…
06-23 11:33:49	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	45	80¢	$36	0x640aa9…
06-23 11:33:47	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x837ba8…
06-20 19:10:13	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	142	82¢	$116	0x445b60…
06-20 15:04:35	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	107	82¢	$88	0x7786ad…
06-20 15:04:34	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	35	82¢	$29	0x4c941f…
06-20 09:11:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	305	5¢	$15	0x6dc318…
06-20 07:36:20	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	141	5¢	$7	0xcaa26e…
06-20 07:36:20	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	164	5¢	$8	0xa0130b…
06-19 19:02:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xa652e2…
06-19 19:01:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	297	6¢	$18	0xa83beb…
06-19 17:44:26	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	160	6¢	$10	0x4f05aa…
06-19 17:44:26	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	147	6¢	$9	0x251d9a…
06-19 03:57:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	278	46¢	$128	0xb2833a…
06-19 03:56:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	278	46¢	$128	0xfdc787…
06-18 03:29:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	67	96¢	$64	0xf4216d…
06-18 03:28:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x53acaf…
06-17 23:02:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	121	96¢	$117	0x94fdd7…
06-15 01:52:42	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	15	77¢	$11	0x620c0f…
06-15 01:52:42	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	152	77¢	$116	0x1f7fa9…
06-15 00:13:52	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	167	78¢	$130	0x0b0e95…
06-14 12:21:33	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xa1b3ee…
06-13 16:17:24	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	123	97¢	$120	0xcdc40f…
06-12 16:06:31	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0x87bec7…
06-12 11:26:46	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0xe3f726…
06-12 11:26:45	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	39	84¢	$33	0x7c40a0…
06-12 09:57:09	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	139	88¢	$122	0x5484b1…
06-07 16:43:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	54¢	$18	0x384908…
06-07 16:12:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0xd0a976…
06-07 11:52:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	54¢	$22	0x7e6140…
06-07 03:47:19	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	135	39¢	$53	0x641a30…
06-07 03:47:18	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	87	39¢	$34	0xf65985…
06-07 03:47:18	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	93	39¢	$36	0x0b8221…
06-07 01:28:22	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	315	38¢	$120	0xded112…
06-06 07:03:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	162	3¢	$5	0x254819…
06-06 05:52:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	150	3¢	$4	0xf2d5d3…
06-06 05:52:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x8706b5…
06-05 00:11:31	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	163	81¢	$131	0x181040…
06-04 22:28:42	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	163	81¢	$132	0xd2cc98…
06-04 01:11:13	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	122	99¢	$120	0xe401da…
06-03 22:47:34	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	122	99¢	$120	0x2504bd…
06-03 17:23:25	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	79	48¢	$38	0xfdfdb3…
06-03 17:23:25	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	171	48¢	$82	0x3a2315…
06-03 15:05:07	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	250	48¢	$120	0x9ab6e0…
06-03 12:58:35	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	137	79¢	$108	0x775c9d…
06-03 09:58:03	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	137	79¢	$108	0x448b0a…
06-02 07:30:37	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x336e4f…
06-02 07:30:36	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xcefcb8…
06-01 18:50:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	123	97¢	$119	0xe6b0c7…
06-01 12:52:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	123	97¢	$119	0x261618…
05-31 05:00:30	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	134	76¢	$101	0xe091f9…
05-31 05:00:30	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	24	76¢	$18	0x3a3511…
05-31 02:24:55	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	158	79¢	$125	0x2ccf81…
05-30 22:59:06	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	139	98¢	$136	0xc7edd8…
05-30 21:48:18	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	139	99¢	$137	0x791458…
05-30 17:08:03	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	140	98¢	$137	0x35f4ba…
05-30 14:55:11	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	140	98¢	$137	0x5f5565…
05-29 23:02:01	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	126	99¢	$125	0xc0404b…
05-29 21:36:30	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0x752b6c…
05-29 15:58:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	278	17¢	$47	0x016349…
05-29 13:34:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	278	17¢	$47	0x0bddb3…
05-29 10:20:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	55	42¢	$23	0xc6a258…
05-29 10:20:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	205	42¢	$86	0x6d2967…
05-29 07:20:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	260	42¢	$109	0x4f936f…
05-28 09:07:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	88¢	$70	0x66d558…
05-28 09:07:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	62	88¢	$55	0x0c952c…
05-26 09:48:29	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	132	96¢	$127	0xe1f8dd…
05-26 07:04:55	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	132	96¢	$126	0x45791e…
05-24 20:34:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	170	83¢	$142	0x77fceb…
05-24 16:52:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	113	78¢	$89	0xbdaa72…
05-24 16:52:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	57	78¢	$45	0x3f1ad6…
05-20 23:51:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	154	91¢	$140	0xd0ed91…
05-20 23:51:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xb6a65e…
05-20 22:46:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	157	91¢	$142	0xe94889…
05-19 03:55:37	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	81	6¢	$5	0x479383…
05-19 02:27:57	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xf9c160…
05-19 02:27:57	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	74	6¢	$4	0x3430fa…
05-16 16:07:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x8cfb44…
05-16 16:07:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	108	2¢	$2	0x6d37ac…
05-16 14:52:10	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xf189cc…
05-16 14:52:10	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	149	2¢	$3	0xb80dde…
05-16 09:42:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x6ea0ec…
05-16 09:42:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	203	3¢	$5	0x5fad46…
05-16 07:51:53	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x9d6863…
05-16 07:51:53	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	90	3¢	$2	0x824d53…
05-16 07:51:53	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	91	3¢	$2	0x57aabf…
05-15 10:52:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	59	4¢	$2	0x76f615…
05-15 08:55:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	59	4¢	$2	0xd2defc…
04-26 22:39:06	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	249	3¢	$7	0x56e3ee…
04-26 22:39:06	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	81	3¢	$2	0x0f2a53…
04-26 20:14:10	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xabb847…