Realized P&L
-$35
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
47.4%
Resolved
559
Trades
1,702
lifetime
Volume
$5.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$48
17 positions
First seen
2026-06-08
last 10-22 19:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Other
43% 57% +$6
Sports
26% 43% -$12
Crypto
22% 65% -$30
Politics
9% 44% +$1
Tech
0% 50% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +8 $6 83¢ $6 $0 08-20 00:04
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +7 $6 86¢ $6 $0 08-20 00:04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 09-19 07:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +6 $4 88¢ $5 +$1 09-28 17:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $0 09-10 05:25
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +4 $4 88¢ $4 $0 10-21 04:30
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +3 $2 93¢ $3 +$0 09-05 14:19
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 09-10 05:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3 $2 78¢ $2 +$0 10-22 19:45
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 10-21 04:30
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 09-10 05:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 09-24 22:24
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 09-28 06:17
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +2 $1 52¢ $1 +$0 10-03 23:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +2 $1 60¢ $1 $0 10-01 18:08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +2 $1 56¢ $1 $0 10-13 20:37
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-21 07:11