Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
91.5%
Resolved
120
Trades
152
lifetime
Volume
$13.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$91
Open exposure
$516
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-24 09:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Other
52% 79% +$122
Tech
19% 95% +$259
Crypto
14% 91% -$52
Sports
8% 62% -$28
Politics
7% 44% -$323
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +174 $173 100¢ $174 +$0 10-18 14:23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +116 $92 90¢ $105 +$13 10-24 09:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +59 $56 99¢ $59 +$3 10-05 19:46
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +63 $42 91¢ $57 +$15 10-05 19:47
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +61 $42 88¢ $54 +$12 10-05 19:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +53 $42 94¢ $50 +$8 10-05 19:48
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +58 $15 15¢ $9 -$6 09-05 12:04
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +100 $15 4¢ $4 -$11 09-05 12:04
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +68 $15 4¢ $3 -$12 08-07 08:58
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +47 $20 5¢ $2 -$18 10-05 19:45