Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$25
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
7
159 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$371
$14.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$433
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-08 11:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Other
53% 78% +$135
Tech
18% 91% +$168
Crypto
14% 92% -$49
Sports
7% 62% -$28
Politics
7% 44% -$323
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? No +193 $193 100¢ $192 -$1 11-08 11:41
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +61 $42 97¢ $59 +$17 10-05 19:47
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +59 $46 80¢ $47 +$1 11-08 11:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +44 $34 86¢ $38 +$4 11-08 11:40
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes +40 $34 87¢ $34 +$0 11-08 11:40
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +37 $34 91¢ $34 $0 11-08 11:40
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +77 $15 16¢ $13 -$2 11-08 11:39
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +58 $15 10¢ $6 -$9 09-05 12:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +54 $15 10¢ $5 -$10 11-08 11:38
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +68 $15 4¢ $3 -$12 08-07 08:58
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +100 $15 2¢ $2 -$13 09-05 12:04