Realized P&L
-$12
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
50.1%
Resolved
800
Trades
2,854
lifetime
Volume
$5.13K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$37
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-31 22:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Other
65% 49% +$159
Politics
22% 39% +$1
Sports
14% 38% -$170
Crypto
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -8 -$7 92¢ $-7 +$0 10-30 23:50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No -6 -$6 96¢ $-6 $0 10-28 23:19
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? No -3 -$3 94¢ $-3 +$0 07-03 18:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +132 $7 2¢ $3 -$4 07-03 08:11
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 $0 10-31 20:25
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 10-25 22:03
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2 $1 94¢ $2 +$1 10-31 18:41
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 $0 10-17 21:28
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 07-19 21:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1 -$1 94¢ $-1 $0 10-30 20:15
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No -1 -$1 86¢ $-1 $0 10-23 07:31
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-23 20:48
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $0 10-12 19:12
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 10-07 13:08
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $0 10-31 20:43
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 10-29 11:26
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +1 $1 67¢ $0 -$1 10-31 13:16
Trump out as President before 2027? No -0 $0 96¢ $-0 $0 10-18 17:53
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 10-31 22:07