Realized P&L
-$54
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
43.4%
Resolved
103
Trades
675
lifetime
Volume
$1.18K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$66
18 positions
First seen
2026-07-26
last 10-30 11:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Politics
57% 48% -$33
Other
43% 53% -$17
Crypto
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +12 $7 94¢ $11 +$5 07-30 22:40
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 $5 64¢ $6 +$2 07-26 21:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +7 $5 83¢ $6 +$1 10-04 04:11
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-26 21:02
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 10-29 22:33
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $0 07-26 21:02
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +12 $6 38¢ $4 -$1 09-28 22:55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7 $5 62¢ $4 $0 09-30 05:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +11 $5 38¢ $4 -$1 10-29 17:23
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 95¢ $4 $0 10-20 11:56
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +4 $2 62¢ $2 +$0 09-11 15:40
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +37 $3 6¢ $2 -$1 07-31 07:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +4 $3 50¢ $2 -$1 10-30 11:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +2 $2 87¢ $2 +$0 08-05 07:18
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +11 $2 11¢ $1 -$1 10-19 02:40
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +9 $1 10¢ $1 $0 10-29 17:17
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +23 $1 2¢ $1 $0 09-11 03:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-19 15:59