French-Forager — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$304

Unrealized P&L

+$42

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$3.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$68

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 09-30 13:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 75% -$55

Politics

42% 50% -$176

Other

10% 40% -$81

Tech

4% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+200	$32	18¢	$37	+$5	06-03 08:41
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+200	$30	11¢	$21	-$9	09-30 13:50
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+700	$21	1¢	$8	-$13	05-19 10:28
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-190	-$61	1¢	$-2	+$59	07-07 11:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	2	$202	115	115	+0	Yes	+$2	03-15 20:52
Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$192	100	100	+0	Yes	+$6	05-08 21:06
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 17:00 UTC	5	$130	71	71	+0	Down	+$10	02-02 20:48
ethereum up or down february 1 3pm et	2	$129	72	72	+0	Down	+$5	02-01 20:59
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	2	$123	160	160	+0	No	+$14	02-23 23:20
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	2	$122	107	107	+0	Yes	+$22	02-04 01:21
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$100	114	0	+114	open	—	09-05 12:50
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	1	$100	103	0	+103	Yes	+$3	02-04 09:37
bitcoin up or down february 1 9am et	3	$92	52	52	+0	Down	+$12	02-01 15:00
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$90	112	0	+112	Yes	-$90	02-27 15:56
ethereum up or down january 31 8am et	2	$85	45	45	+0	Down	+$5	01-31 13:59
will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	2	$82	55	55	+0	No	-$18	03-15 20:16
will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	3	$81	78	40	+38	Yes	+$19	03-16 16:01
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	1	$64	69	0	+69	No	+$4	01-12 20:51
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$64	93	93	+0	open	—	09-05 12:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:00 UTC	3	$63	70	37	+33	Down	+$17	02-02 23:02
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$61	0	190	-190	open	—	07-07 11:52
lol g2 kc 2026 03 01	5	$56	75	50	+26	G2 Esports	-$26	03-01 20:05
solana up or down january 29 3pm et	2	$51	30	30	+0	Up	+$9	01-29 21:01
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$50	72	0	+72	open	—	05-03 18:01
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	2	$50	74	0	+74	No	-$50	03-15 21:00
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-30 13:00 UTC	2	$48	28	28	+0	Up	+$8	01-30 17:01
bitcoin up or down january 31 5pm et	2	$48	29	29	+0	Down	+$8	01-31 22:58
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 8	2	$45	25	25	+0	Yes	+$5	02-09 06:49
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-30 09:00 UTC	2	$45	25	25	+0	Up	+$5	01-30 13:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:15 UTC	2	$44	41	40	+1	Down	+$5	02-02 23:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 16:00 UTC	2	$44	24	24	+0	Down	+$4	02-01 16:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 18:00 UTC	2	$44	24	24	+0	Down	+$4	01-30 18:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 22:45 UTC	2	$43	36	36	+1	Down	+$4	02-01 22:47
ethereum up or down january 30 1pm et	2	$43	36	36	+0	Up	+$3	01-30 18:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 13:52:56	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xf4a787…
09-30 13:50:30	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xc0161c…
09-28 20:45:33	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x87b90f…
09-05 12:50:13	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x46aa47…
09-05 12:41:55	Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	93	26¢	$24	0x2f1420…
07-07 11:52:17	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	190	32¢	$61	0x391ae4…
06-03 08:41:45	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x0995e8…
05-19 10:28:30	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	207	3¢	$6	0x52bc88…
05-19 09:28:23	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	53	3¢	$2	0xfcb67d…
05-19 07:06:17	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	440	3¢	$13	0xafa37e…
05-08 22:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xac2d73…
05-08 21:06:25	Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xa5c46b…
05-07 13:30:59	Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xe3fc77…
05-06 13:47:24	Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0xde9ca0…
05-06 09:45:38	Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	78	39¢	$30	0x80c0e5…
05-06 09:44:26	Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	99	30¢	$30	0x0d488e…
05-03 18:05:58	Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0x87a0f1…
05-03 18:01:08	Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x7b20b4…
05-03 17:59:10	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x2e2b9c…
04-17 12:55:14	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	259	12¢	$30	0x93feb6…
03-16 16:01:15	will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x4af83a…
03-16 15:52:03	will franois piquemal be the next mayor of toulouse following the 2026 toulouse municipal election	Yes	BUY	74	40¢	$30	0x6c53df…
03-16 15:44:33	will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	SELL	40	78¢	$31	0xbc92c5…
03-15 21:00:39	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x1e2298…
03-15 20:55:35	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x3978a7…
03-15 20:52:55	will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	Yes	SELL	115	89¢	$102	0xde9e56…
03-15 20:28:49	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	45	59¢	$26	0xc291ae…
03-15 20:19:19	will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xa4ce8d…
03-15 20:16:57	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	SELL	55	58¢	$32	0xb13520…
03-01 20:05:53	lol g2 kc 2026 03 01	Karmine Corp	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0xd230ca…
03-01 20:05:23	lol g2 kc 2026 03 01	G2 Esports	SELL	22	58¢	$13	0x9a02e4…
03-01 17:58:45	lol g2 kc 2026 03 01	G2 Esports	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x1c3d46…
03-01 17:57:15	lol g2 kc 2026 03 01	Karmine Corp	SELL	28	8¢	$2	0x8be07d…
03-01 17:03:47	lol g2 kc 2026 03 01 game1	G2 Esports	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x559527…
03-01 16:39:01	lol g2 kc 2026 03 01 game1	G2 Esports	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xdd202e…
03-01 16:19:21	lol g2 kc 2026 03 01	Karmine Corp	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x032b01…
02-27 15:56:19	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	85	82¢	$70	0xf090b2…
02-27 10:44:25	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xe34a70…
02-23 23:20:18	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	160	43¢	$69	0x081e19…
02-20 16:46:34	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xa99ba4…
02-09 06:49:03	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 8	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x487cb3…
02-08 19:31:23	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 8	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xe4b2bc…
02-08 16:00:23	will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x7df411…
02-04 09:37:08	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x745a2a…
02-04 04:27:12	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x835df8…
02-04 01:21:44	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	107	67¢	$72	0xedb396…
02-04 01:02:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xaffadf…
02-04 00:49:42	xrp up or down february 3 7pm et	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xb259b8…
02-04 00:47:04	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-03 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb32458…
02-03 00:13:30	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x852c33…
02-03 00:13:16	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	28	34¢	$9	0x9e1b46…
02-02 23:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xd25d01…
02-02 23:20:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:15 UTC	Down	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0x28a401…
02-02 23:15:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x813026…
02-02 23:02:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xc8ec36…
02-02 23:00:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	37	64¢	$23	0x6379ed…
02-02 23:00:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x847153…
02-02 22:42:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xe7181c…
02-02 22:42:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xbbd6ee…
02-02 22:26:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x30ef48…
02-02 20:48:30	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x5c5e8b…
02-02 20:48:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x44a2e7…
02-02 20:48:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2bf59b…
02-02 20:36:54	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x56ced9…
02-02 20:36:04	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	46	86¢	$40	0xcc0e4f…
02-01 22:47:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	36	65¢	$23	0x6451dd…
02-01 22:44:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x25e039…
02-01 20:59:34	ethereum up or down february 1 3pm et	Down	SELL	72	94¢	$67	0x252f31…
02-01 20:30:00	ethereum up or down february 1 3pm et	Down	BUY	72	86¢	$62	0x3b7ab3…
02-01 20:08:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xefa880…
02-01 18:03:44	ethereum up or down february 1 12pm et	Up	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x089e4e…
02-01 17:58:26	ethereum up or down february 1 12pm et	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xaf820a…
02-01 16:15:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xbe5269…
02-01 16:08:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xad55c7…
02-01 15:57:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x335b91…
02-01 15:52:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xae68ba…
02-01 15:00:24	bitcoin up or down february 1 9am et	Down	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xfddf2b…
02-01 14:50:28	bitcoin up or down february 1 9am et	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xce58e6…
02-01 14:46:16	bitcoin up or down february 1 9am et	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xc4126d…
02-01 02:02:30	ethereum up or down january 31 8pm et	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xca24b2…
02-01 01:51:32	ethereum up or down january 31 8pm et	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xba4322…
02-01 00:01:58	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-31 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x4d6b84…
01-31 23:57:44	bitcoin up or down january 31 6pm et	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3c6564…
01-31 23:44:08	bitcoin up or down january 31 6pm et	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2c327a…
01-31 22:58:48	bitcoin up or down january 31 5pm et	Down	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x5bb47b…
01-31 22:43:40	bitcoin up or down january 31 5pm et	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x7ed72d…
01-31 13:59:32	ethereum up or down january 31 8am et	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xb145b0…
01-31 13:48:12	ethereum up or down january 31 8am et	Down	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x5e11e3…
01-30 18:42:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 18:30 UTC	Up	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0xe9939d…
01-30 18:42:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 18:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0xafeb51…
01-30 18:42:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 18:30 UTC	Up	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xf006b2…
01-30 18:29:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x06f557…
01-30 18:16:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 18:00 UTC	Down	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xca375a…
01-30 18:11:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x058104…
01-30 18:02:26	ethereum up or down january 30 1pm et	Up	SELL	36	63¢	$23	0x29fd31…
01-30 18:00:06	ethereum up or down january 30 1pm et	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x44845b…
01-30 17:01:16	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-30 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x6764d8…
01-30 16:45:38	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-30 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xe3bc11…
01-30 15:01:08	solana up or down january 30 9am et	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x132dde…
01-30 14:54:02	solana up or down january 30 9am et	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x526ab5…