Realized P&L
-$17
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
48.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
353
lifetime
Volume
$717
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$28
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 07-10 13:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
89% 25% $-17
Other
11%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -18 $-15 70¢ $-13 +$3 07-10 13:26
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-6 56¢ $-6 $-0 07-10 13:28
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 95¢ $-5 $-0 07-10 13:27
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +2 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 06-08 07:44
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -2 $-2 78¢ $-2 $-0 07-10 13:30