Realized P&L
-$17
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
48.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
320
lifetime
Volume
$574
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$16
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 06-28 21:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
88% 25% $-17
Other
12%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 06-04 21:55
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +4 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 06-28 15:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +3 $2 100¢ $3 +$1 05-29 19:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3 $-2 86¢ $-2 $-0 06-24 17:36
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +2 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 06-08 07:44
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $-0 06-20 12:12
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 56¢ $-0 +$0 06-05 22:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +0 $-0 $0 +$0 06-14 22:33