Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$137

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

31.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,989

lifetime

Volume

$65.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-01

last 10-30 16:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Politics

70% 0% -$1

Other

23% 0% -$2

Crypto

6% 65% -$134

Tech

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1032 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	$0	98¢	$0	$0	10-27 00:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	74	$3.3K	1,666	1,666	+0	open	—	10-30 16:06
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	50	$2.2K	1,090	1,090	+0	open	—	10-30 16:20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	44	$1.9K	991	991	+0	open	—	10-29 17:06
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	30	$1.4K	711	711	+0	open	—	10-28 07:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	18	$862	445	445	+0	Yes	$0	10-28 04:52
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	20	$844	425	425	+0	open	—	10-29 17:21
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	20	$739	370	370	+0	open	—	10-29 17:00
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	22	$733	378	378	+0	open	—	10-29 17:38
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	18	$699	350	350	+0	open	—	10-29 17:31
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	20	$677	340	340	+0	open	—	10-29 17:08
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	12	$646	325	325	+0	open	—	10-28 14:47
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	22	$645	336	336	+0	open	—	10-29 17:36
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	18	$618	310	310	+0	open	—	10-30 16:18
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	20	$609	310	310	+0	open	—	10-29 17:39
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	22	$599	300	300	+0	open	—	10-29 17:43
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	20	$599	300	300	+0	open	—	10-29 17:37
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	18	$590	302	302	+0	open	—	10-29 17:36
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?	20	$579	290	290	+0	open	—	10-30 16:22
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	22	$579	290	290	+0	open	—	10-29 17:56
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	16	$579	295	295	+0	open	—	10-29 17:42
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	16	$561	292	292	+0	open	—	10-28 11:27
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	18	$559	280	280	+0	open	—	10-29 14:26
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?	14	$559	280	280	+0	No	$0	10-28 20:36
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	18	$559	280	280	+0	open	—	10-29 16:28
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	16	$559	280	280	+0	open	—	10-29 17:29
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	18	$519	260	260	+0	open	—	10-30 16:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	10	$519	275	275	+0	Yes	$0	10-28 15:00
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	16	$479	240	240	+0	open	—	10-28 13:26
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	12	$459	230	230	+0	open	—	10-29 17:07
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	10	$459	230	230	+0	open	—	10-29 15:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:32:52	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xbb0609…
10-30 16:32:27	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xa3514d…
10-30 16:32:22	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x140c48…
10-30 16:32:19	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x632388…
10-30 16:32:03	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x8343d6…
10-30 16:31:33	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xea671d…
10-30 16:31:27	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x924915…
10-30 16:30:51	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd92155…
10-30 16:30:18	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x932947…
10-30 16:29:31	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x47cfac…
10-30 16:27:36	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xa81fb0…
10-30 16:26:37	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x774ef8…
10-30 16:25:19	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x91eb77…
10-30 16:24:55	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x810a12…
10-30 16:22:04	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xa22c76…
10-30 16:21:46	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8b8d24…
10-30 16:20:49	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0xbeabcc…
10-30 16:20:19	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0x1228ae…
10-30 16:18:37	Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xdabf10…
10-30 16:18:07	Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x644d7f…
10-30 16:17:48	Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x40d384…
10-30 16:17:45	Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x08303b…
10-30 16:17:00	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x40661f…
10-30 16:16:22	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5d532c…
10-30 16:16:15	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe08e28…
10-30 16:16:01	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc54a8d…
10-30 16:15:42	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdd409c…
10-30 16:15:25	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$12	0x251f37…
10-30 16:15:22	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x404fd4…
10-30 16:15:21	Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf45dec…
10-30 16:15:00	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xd4bcf0…
10-30 16:14:25	Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9320c0…
10-30 16:14:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x097aa0…
10-30 16:14:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b7f8b…
10-30 16:14:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x69969c…
10-30 16:13:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2f2612…
10-30 16:12:40	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x20fe75…
10-30 16:11:54	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x08ce0e…
10-30 16:11:45	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x05fd91…
10-30 16:10:46	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x7cfbf9…
10-30 16:09:34	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x85a6ab…
10-30 16:09:04	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0a4b5d…
10-30 16:07:30	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2f17ae…
10-30 16:06:45	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x964bf8…
10-30 16:06:34	Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe8e47a…
10-30 16:06:18	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xf340dd…
10-30 16:06:00	Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe013e1…
10-30 16:05:28	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xf12fc6…
10-29 17:56:04	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x26fea3…
10-29 17:55:13	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5d1343…
10-29 17:52:50	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xbcf061…
10-29 17:52:37	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb62a6c…
10-29 17:51:08	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd7cf29…
10-29 17:50:11	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd70460…
10-29 17:49:37	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x34285a…
10-29 17:49:02	Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x757749…
10-29 17:48:53	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x74dbac…
10-29 17:48:10	Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7874dc…
10-29 17:46:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x31016d…
10-29 17:45:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x3f884a…
10-29 17:44:55	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xa6adf4…
10-29 17:44:41	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x162594…
10-29 17:44:40	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2ec6d3…
10-29 17:44:32	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x35d37a…
10-29 17:44:25	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0184b3…
10-29 17:44:23	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x781a53…
10-29 17:44:11	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3bed5…
10-29 17:44:11	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7ac189…
10-29 17:43:40	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7bcd1b…
10-29 17:43:37	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa7615c…
10-29 17:43:35	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xceba58…
10-29 17:43:32	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$12	0xe76f7f…
10-29 17:43:20	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x669812…
10-29 17:43:14	Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x474756…
10-29 17:42:53	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xe984d9…
10-29 17:42:34	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xf8dd58…
10-29 17:42:14	Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf94f9d…
10-29 17:42:05	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf94fb1…
10-29 17:41:56	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd9d7f3…
10-29 17:41:50	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xbafaee…
10-29 17:41:31	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe41c88…
10-29 17:41:13	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x920c52…
10-29 17:41:07	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x8b42ae…
10-29 17:40:55	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1ff7bf…
10-29 17:40:11	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x02b9ad…
10-29 17:40:01	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xd021cb…
10-29 17:40:01	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x7d5262…
10-29 17:40:01	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x320799…
10-29 17:39:41	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x198648…
10-29 17:39:38	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xee1447…
10-29 17:39:25	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x97891c…
10-29 17:39:01	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xdd80bd…
10-29 17:38:46	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa2fb70…
10-29 17:38:43	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x76e5ce…
10-29 17:38:32	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x08f0d8…
10-29 17:38:29	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5f5565…
10-29 17:38:19	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xce60d4…
10-29 17:38:08	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98d9fd…
10-29 17:38:08	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7fbb6a…
10-29 17:38:07	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b35b3…