Aromatic-Invasion-Everybody 0x3d60a4…866df2
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.54K
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
72.3%
Resolved
4,193
Trades
14,559
lifetime
Volume
$236.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$639
24 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 10-30 00:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Other
51% 77% -$177
Politics
29% 65% -$820
Crypto
17% 78% -$781
Sports
2% 70% +$151
Tech
1% 73% +$88
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +113 $47 72¢ $81 +$35 10-06 13:24
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +72 $60 95¢ $69 +$9 07-25 12:21
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +107 $60 60¢ $64 +$5 10-28 18:04
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +67 $60 93¢ $62 +$2 10-25 21:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +66 $49 90¢ $60 +$10 10-30 00:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +64 $47 72¢ $46 -$2 10-27 20:29
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +41 $23 94¢ $39 +$16 05-19 01:57
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +34 $30 95¢ $33 +$3 10-29 00:13
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +31 $30 99¢ $30 +$0 10-29 14:04
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +33 $10 88¢ $29 +$18 10-29 21:37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +92 $60 29¢ $27 -$33 10-28 02:48
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +34 $12 61¢ $21 +$9 10-26 00:08
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +20 $15 97¢ $20 +$4 05-19 04:24
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +20 $16 78¢ $15 -$1 05-19 04:54
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +40 $21 39¢ $15 -$5 10-29 15:54
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +9 $8 100¢ $9 +$1 10-27 20:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +8 $7 97¢ $7 +$0 10-30 00:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +222 $47 3¢ $7 -$40 10-29 22:59
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-28 00:33
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-08 10:45
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 $0 05-19 04:17
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +20 $6 0¢ $0 -$6 05-19 02:34
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? No +0 $0 65¢ $0 +$0 07-05 14:36
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $3 6¢ $0 -$3 10-25 18:02