Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$42
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
4,148
lifetime
Volume
$55.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$1.12K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 06-09 18:47
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
45%
Politics
26%
Other
23%
Sports
5%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 489 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +92 $60 74¢ $69 +$8 06-08 22:15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? No +60 $59 99¢ $60 +$0 06-04 19:05
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No +60 $59 98¢ $59 +$0 06-08 17:20
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +60 $58 98¢ $59 +$1 06-09 14:19
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +60 $57 97¢ $58 +$1 06-05 16:45
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? No +63 $60 92¢ $58 $-2 06-02 18:30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +60 $58 96¢ $58 $-0 06-07 05:52
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +60 $53 94¢ $56 +$3 06-07 04:31
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +60 $55 90¢ $54 $-2 06-09 23:46
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +60 $53 89¢ $53 +$0 05-31 04:56
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +60 $46 88¢ $53 +$7 06-08 19:45
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +59 $53 89¢ $53 $-0 06-10 00:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +80 $59 62¢ $49 $-10 06-08 14:34
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +51 $46 96¢ $49 +$3 06-02 18:10
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June? No +60 $46 70¢ $42 $-5 06-02 12:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -60 $-25 64¢ $-39 $-14 06-09 11:10
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +60 $39 64¢ $39 $-0 06-10 00:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +39 $29 86¢ $34 +$4 06-09 11:16
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +165 $61 20¢ $32 $-29 06-09 13:23
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No -26 $-24 98¢ $-26 $-2 06-05 08:27
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +43 $20 50¢ $21 +$1 06-09 00:05
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +21 $19 85¢ $18 $-1 06-02 01:17
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -21 $-16 76¢ $-16 $-0 06-09 10:14
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? No +16 $14 93¢ $15 +$1 06-08 03:53
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? No +17 $15 84¢ $14 $-1 06-04 21:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +11 $8 88¢ $10 +$1 06-07 22:15
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$0 06-08 03:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +60 $14 14¢ $8 $-6 06-01 12:03
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? No -22 $-4 36¢ $-8 $-4 06-02 04:26
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +8 $7 94¢ $7 +$1 06-09 16:45