Aromatic-Invasion-Everybody 0x3d60a4…866df2
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
7,117
lifetime
Volume
$99.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$1.67K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 06-30 11:53
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
35% — —
Crypto
34% — —
Other
26% — —
Sports
4% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 489 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -140 $-114 100¢ $-139 $-25 06-28 21:23
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No -104 $-63 98¢ $-102 $-39 06-16 14:55
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? No +63 $60 99¢ $63 +$3 06-02 18:30
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +60 $59 100¢ $60 +$1 06-16 18:37
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +60 $59 100¢ $60 +$1 06-10 18:11
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -60 $-64 100¢ $-60 +$4 06-15 09:03
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +60 $58 100¢ $60 +$2 06-07 05:52
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -60 $-57 100¢ $-60 $-3 06-11 17:46
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -60 $-59 100¢ $-60 $-0 06-15 15:47
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -60 $-59 100¢ $-60 $-1 06-16 16:09
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +60 $47 100¢ $60 +$12 06-12 04:06
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? No +60 $59 99¢ $60 +$0 06-28 03:46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +60 $53 100¢ $60 +$7 06-11 09:21
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +60 $53 99¢ $60 +$6 06-07 04:31
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +60 $53 99¢ $60 +$7 05-31 04:56
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -59 $-58 100¢ $-59 $-1 06-18 17:24
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +60 $39 98¢ $59 +$20 06-10 00:26
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +60 $57 98¢ $59 +$2 06-05 16:45
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +60 $56 98¢ $59 +$3 06-29 06:50
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June? No +60 $46 90¢ $54 +$8 06-02 12:08
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +51 $46 100¢ $51 +$5 06-02 18:10
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No +51 $50 100¢ $50 +$0 06-17 12:57
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +44 $16 99¢ $44 +$28 06-28 21:47
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? No +40 $33 99¢ $39 +$7 06-11 04:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +39 $23 100¢ $39 +$16 06-27 19:24
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No -37 $-37 100¢ $-37 +$0 06-15 13:54
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +29 $26 95¢ $27 +$1 06-18 19:38
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No -26 $-24 100¢ $-26 $-2 06-05 08:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +264 $57 10¢ $25 $-32 06-13 12:36
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +21 $19 99¢ $21 +$2 06-02 01:17