Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
7,540
lifetime
Volume
$108.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$233
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 07-20 17:32
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
34%
Crypto
32%
Other
29%
Sports
3%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 489 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +264 $57 23¢ $61 +$4 06-13 12:36
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +29 $26 96¢ $28 +$2 06-18 19:38
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +25 $22 100¢ $25 +$3 07-14 09:14
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? No +31 $25 76¢ $23 $-2 07-15 00:54
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes -20 $-17 92¢ $-18 $-2 07-17 02:21
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +60 $19 29¢ $17 $-2 07-09 15:26
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -22 $-16 69¢ $-15 +$1 06-10 13:13
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +30 $11 41¢ $12 +$1 07-14 22:33
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -20 $-10 59¢ $-12 $-1 06-23 05:28
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -20 $-12 54¢ $-11 +$1 06-16 21:49
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? No -22 $-4 48¢ $-11 $-7 06-02 04:26
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? No +0 $0 44¢ $0 +$0 07-05 14:36
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 $0 $-1 06-12 20:46