Realized P&L
+$10
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
70.6%
Resolved
249
Trades
637
lifetime
Volume
$735
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$8
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 10-25 11:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Crypto
62% 70% -$5
Politics
16% 72% +$3
Other
12% 67% +$1
Sports
10% 75% +$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775 No +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$1 08-01 15:13
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -1 -$1 94¢ $-1 $0 06-01 06:37
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 07-11 17:48
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 08-01 15:23
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7 $1 15¢ $1 +$0 08-01 15:24
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2 $1 38¢ $1 $0 08-01 15:27
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5 $1 17¢ $1 $0 08-01 15:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -2 -$1 14¢ $-0 +$0 05-01 20:19