Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.76K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

15.3%

Resolved

1,481

Trades

2,373

lifetime

Volume

$5.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

30 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 09-30 10:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 39% -$1,614

Other

31% 43% -$135

Politics

7% 28% -$16

Sports

1% 45% +$5

Tech

0% 25% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 841 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+100	$1	0¢	$0	$0	09-02 12:11
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	No	+0	$0	95¢	$0	$0	09-02 17:23
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	$0	09-02 17:22
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	$0	09-01 19:14
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?	No	+0	$0	96¢	$0	+$0	09-01 19:13
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	$0	09-02 17:22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	$0	09-02 17:21
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	+0	$0	96¢	$0	+$0	09-02 17:21
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	88¢	$0	$0	09-02 17:22
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	98¢	$0	$0	09-01 19:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+0	$0	88¢	$0	+$0	09-01 19:13
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+0	$0	96¢	$0	$0	09-02 17:22
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	$0	09-02 17:23
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	No	+0	$0	96¢	$0	$0	09-02 17:23
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	$0	09-02 17:21
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	$0	09-02 17:21
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	$0	09-02 17:21
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?	No	+0	$0	93¢	$0	$0	09-02 17:24
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	96¢	$0	$0	09-02 17:22
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	09-02 17:21
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	09-02 17:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	90¢	$0	$0	09-01 19:14
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	$0	09-02 17:21
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	$0	09-02 17:21
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	$0	09-02 17:21
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	$0	09-02 17:21
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	$0	09-02 17:21
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	+0	$0	92¢	$0	$0	09-02 17:22
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	$0	09-02 17:22
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	82¢	$0	+$0	09-01 19:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$425	1,247	1,247	+0	No	-$175	03-16 21:42
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	2	$411	6,014	6,014	+0	No	-$189	03-16 21:42
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	2	$391	2,727	2,727	+0	No	-$209	03-16 21:42
will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	2	$380	21,837	21,837	+0	No	-$220	03-16 21:41
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$369	11,152	11,152	+0	No	-$231	03-16 21:42
will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	2	$280	20,643	20,643	+0	No	-$120	03-16 21:42
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$250	863	0	+863	No	-$250	05-15 21:57
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	3	$159	1,905	932	+973	No	-$41	04-26 13:56
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	3	$150	6,642	4,345	+2,296	No	-$20	04-26 13:56
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$100	1,511	0	+1,511	No	-$100	05-15 21:43
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$83	16,667	16,667	+0	No	-$17	03-16 21:42
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	2	$70	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$10	08-07 10:49
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	3	$67	379	254	+125	No	-$1	08-18 22:25
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	2	$59	67	67	+0	No	-$1	08-06 23:23
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	3	$57	2,349	2,349	+0	No	-$5	08-06 23:59
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	2	$40	685	685	+0	No	$0	08-07 10:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 26	1	$30	995	0	+995	No	-$30	03-25 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?	2	$23	19	19	+0	Down	+$9	09-09 15:39
bitcoin above 74k on october 5 2026	2	$19	1,185	1,185	+0	Yes	-$7	09-30 10:30
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	09-01 19:03
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	4	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	09-01 19:14
Will GS Markó vs. AE Kifisiás end in a draw?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	09-02 17:20
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	4	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	09-01 19:14
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	09-01 19:03
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	4	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	09-01 19:04
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	4	$4	5	4	+0	open	—	09-01 19:04
val c9 bst1 2026 08 19	4	$4	4	4	+0	BESTIA	$0	08-19 22:10
No one announced as next James Bond?	4	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	09-01 19:15
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	4	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	09-01 19:15
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$4	9	9	+0	open	—	09-02 17:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 10:31:08	bitcoin above 94k on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa79a78…
09-30 10:30:38	bitcoin above 74k on october 5 2026	No	SELL	1,185	1¢	$6	0xefcef3…
09-30 06:11:36	bitcoin above 74k on october 5 2026	No	BUY	1,185	1¢	$13	0xc95bb0…
09-09 15:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?	Down	SELL	19	82¢	$16	0x21029c…
09-09 10:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?	Down	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x61bf15…
09-03 10:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 3?	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4c3ef3…
09-03 10:43:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x400f22…
09-02 17:26:24	Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xb9b2ed…
09-02 17:26:24	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on September 2?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x726c63…
09-02 17:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 104°F or higher on September 3?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd5e4ef…
09-02 17:26:21	Huddle FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x7c716f…
09-02 17:26:21	Will the highest temperature during Burning Man 2026 be 86°F or below?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x17e3bb…
09-02 17:26:18	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on September 3?	No	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xf88c42…
09-02 17:26:18	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on September 2?	No	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x1e6324…
09-02 17:26:16	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in September?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xe3c84e…
09-02 17:26:15	Will Peter Hambálek win the 2026 Trnava Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x4db16f…
09-02 17:26:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 3?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xf66938…
09-02 17:26:13	Will SPD win less than 5% of all valid second votes?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x1bffd7…
09-02 17:26:12	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on September 8?	No	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0xf3204f…
09-02 17:26:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x1f9b3f…
09-02 17:26:10	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $155B by September 30?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x3577d2…
09-02 17:26:09	Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.5B by September 30?	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x1fc86e…
09-02 17:26:07	Will Pimenta win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x258567…
09-02 17:26:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xd17ef6…
09-02 17:26:06	Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC vs. Hapoel Haifa FC: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xaad0a1…
09-02 17:26:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xfa12f5…
09-02 17:26:03	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xcf4986…
09-02 17:26:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 6?	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0x0dd02a…
09-02 17:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 3?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x28f29e…
09-02 17:26:00	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 13°C or below on September 4?	No	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x18c8f2…
09-02 17:25:57	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on September 8?	No	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x577865…
09-02 17:25:54	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September?	No	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x2304e6…
09-02 17:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 30°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xcc6304…
09-02 17:25:49	Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C on September 3?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x93f986…
09-02 17:25:49	Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 23°C on September 3?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x3b73b5…
09-02 17:25:48	Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on September 3?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x34b1da…
09-02 17:25:46	Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 25°C on September 3?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xac242a…
09-02 17:25:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 7?	No	SELL	40	1¢	$1	0x77347e…
09-02 17:25:45	Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 24°C on September 3?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xedb705…
09-02 17:25:43	Will Alexandre Leduc win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$1	0x2abafd…
09-02 17:25:42	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in September?	No	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0x6a6088…
09-02 17:25:42	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on September 3?	No	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x401d06…
09-02 17:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0xf209a4…
09-02 17:25:39	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xa391c5…
09-02 17:25:37	Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x29ecd7…
09-02 17:25:34	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in September?	No	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0xab09de…
09-02 17:25:34	Will Lamine Yamal be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x219928…
09-02 17:25:33	Will Gertrude Bourdon win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?	No	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x272020…
09-02 17:25:31	Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0xfac90b…
09-02 17:25:30	Will Linke win at least 15% of all valid second votes?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x97d464…
09-02 17:25:28	Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xea1b97…
09-02 17:25:28	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on September 8?	No	SELL	1	43¢	$1	0x1e79a3…
09-02 17:25:27	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $465 in September?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x89a26c…
09-02 17:25:25	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on September 4?	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x64621f…
09-02 17:25:24	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x34e26a…
09-02 17:25:24	Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?	No	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x0568dc…
09-02 17:25:19	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $435 in September?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0xd640af…
09-02 17:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on September 4?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xb914ca…
09-02 17:25:16	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x5fe6b2…
09-02 17:25:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 0%-25%?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0xe39952…
09-02 17:25:13	Will Nancy Joannette win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xf73169…
09-02 17:25:12	Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0xe905e5…
09-02 17:25:12	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xc15e20…
09-02 17:25:10	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x6c220d…
09-02 17:25:09	NATO dissolves before 2027?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0xfd5870…
09-02 17:25:07	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x249442…
09-02 17:25:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xff3ca8…
09-02 17:25:04	Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x95bef4…
09-02 17:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	No	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x43b214…
09-02 17:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 4?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xb4e025…
09-02 17:25:01	Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xe2ae9e…
09-02 17:25:01	Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x91db95…
09-02 17:25:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x9b53ca…
09-02 17:24:58	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0xa7fc4c…
09-02 17:24:57	Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0xc8778e…
09-02 17:24:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xb3ea4f…
09-02 17:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on September 4?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xbcba5b…
09-02 17:24:54	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 10%?	Over	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xfda571…
09-02 17:24:52	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0xe88dbb…
09-02 17:24:51	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in September?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x3ca595…
09-02 17:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 3?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xc2321e…
09-02 17:24:49	Will Chainlink dip to $10 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xa78210…
09-02 17:24:48	Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x8e55ad…
09-02 17:24:48	M25+H Bagnères-de-Bigorre: Alexis Gautier vs Nicolas Tepmahc	Alexis Gautier	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x696074…
09-02 17:24:46	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xb72907…
09-02 17:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 4?	No	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xcdde9e…
09-02 17:24:43	Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xdd91ef…
09-02 17:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 4?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xb0bf14…
09-02 17:24:42	Will there be at least 3300+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x46ea9e…
09-02 17:24:40	Will Club León FC win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xcd35ec…
09-02 17:24:40	Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-09-05?	No	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x0cc5bd…
09-02 17:24:39	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0xbd21b9…
09-02 17:24:37	Will Artúr Benes win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x56cf37…
09-02 17:24:36	Will Simon Allaire win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x72a606…
09-02 17:24:34	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in September?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x917ef0…
09-02 17:24:33	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xc9c79d…
09-02 17:24:33	USV Hercules vs. EVV Echt: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x303a18…
09-02 17:24:31	GMGN FDV above $800M one day after launch	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x702b28…
09-02 17:24:30	Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xa2dcc2…
09-02 17:24:28	Burnley FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	Over	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xd01447…