Realized P&L (90d)
+$141
Unrealized P&L
+$234
Hit rate
80.6%
Resolved (90d)
44
Trades (90d)
179
345 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$25.9K
$48.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$141
Open exposure
$2.20K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 20:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Politics
55% 62% +$142
Other
43% 67% +$366
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% 0% -$103
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 No +597 $250 61¢ $362 +$112 09-24 06:17
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +522 $150 48¢ $253 +$103 10-03 01:40
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No -291 -$204 86¢ $-250 -$46 06-30 20:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +391 $250 56¢ $221 -$29 10-06 19:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +309 $219 68¢ $208 -$11 10-21 03:06
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +468 $257 39¢ $184 -$73 10-18 22:48
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +238 $150 70¢ $165 +$15 10-25 05:10
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +224 $145 70¢ $158 +$13 10-25 05:09
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -180 -$121 81¢ $-146 -$25 07-07 21:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +143 $50 48¢ $68 +$18 10-28 20:04
Blue tsunami in 2026? No -143 -$83 40¢ $-57 +$26 07-21 22:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +278 $50 20¢ $54 +$4 10-26 03:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +333 -$6 12¢ $38 +$44 10-13 19:21
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $49 29¢ $29 -$20 09-11 12:18
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -150 -$106 4¢ $-5 +$101 07-04 03:51
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +0 -$3 72¢ $0 +$3 08-22 14:47