Realized P&L
+$405
Unrealized P&L
+$263
Hit rate
75.9%
Resolved
87
Trades
345
lifetime
Volume
$48.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$141
Open exposure
$2.23K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 20:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Politics
55% 62% +$142
Other
43% 67% +$366
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% 0% -$103
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 No +597 $250 60¢ $356 +$106 09-24 06:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +309 $219 96¢ $298 +$78 10-21 03:06
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No -291 -$204 86¢ $-249 -$45 06-30 20:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +391 $250 56¢ $217 -$33 10-06 19:28
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +522 $150 42¢ $217 +$67 10-03 01:40
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +468 $257 42¢ $198 -$59 10-18 22:48
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +238 $150 68¢ $163 +$13 10-25 05:10
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +224 $145 68¢ $153 +$8 10-25 05:09
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -180 -$121 82¢ $-149 -$28 07-07 21:58
Blue tsunami in 2026? No -143 -$83 40¢ $-58 +$25 07-21 22:55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +143 $50 36¢ $51 +$1 10-28 20:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +278 $50 18¢ $51 +$1 10-26 03:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +333 -$6 12¢ $38 +$44 10-13 19:21
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $49 29¢ $29 -$20 09-11 12:18
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -150 -$106 4¢ $-6 +$101 07-04 03:51
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +0 -$3 67¢ $0 +$3 08-22 14:47