Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
76.8%
Resolved
19
Trades
4,426
lifetime
Volume
$18.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$43
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 06-29 23:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
50% 40% +$2
Other
36% 44% $-5
Sports
7% 0% $-1
Tech
5%
Crypto
2% 50% $-2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +10 $8 100¢ $10 +$2 05-31 15:39
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -15 $-8 59¢ $-9 $-0 06-06 12:38
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +22 $8 32¢ $7 $-1 06-22 21:38
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 06-07 00:09
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No -15 $0 28¢ $-4 $-4 06-07 12:56
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -5 $-2 55¢ $-3 $-0 06-07 13:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $1 18¢ $2 +$0 06-23 16:28
Will Trump Airport become law this year? Yes +18 $6 $1 $-5 06-11 23:32
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-28 15:25
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? Yes -0 $-0 86¢ $-0 $-0 05-31 23:25
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes -15 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-07 13:54
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -2 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-15 14:48
Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026? No +15 $6 $0 $-6 06-24 18:37